DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s7

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

109

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

45.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4252

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0271

actual +0.3186

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.377658	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.378038	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.3734	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.372358	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.354931	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.375411	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.359147	-7.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.383085	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.387774	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.42212	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.411974	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.466759	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.505038	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.480315	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.408337	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.348126	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.382967	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.386739	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.390798	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.358299	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.370003	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.368705	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.363869	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.356226	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.344872	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.407712	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.387503	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.416192	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.422617	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.445106	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.402849	-7.67%	0.40159	-7.96%	0.0292	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.37149	-8.12%	0.402115	-0.54%	0.1220	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.352146	-10.06%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.0908	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.381717	-14.51%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0326	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.268664	-8.99%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3304	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.232684	-8.78%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.4569	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.224297	-8.29%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.4478	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.133757	-2.40%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0104	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.141197	+0.15%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0229	✓	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.141261	-1.60%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.0500	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.147276	-1.76%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0178	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.146635	-1.26%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1085	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.145199	-1.70%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2016	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.153588	-0.33%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.1394	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.161583	-1.43%	0.436745	+166.42%	0.9393	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.159104	+1.02%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.7820	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.168088	+1.79%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.7984	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.171895	-0.20%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.7753	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.156065	+4.29%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.8626	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.166038	+4.72%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.7799	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.148035	+3.01%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.8507	✓	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.148568	+4.01%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.8394	✓	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.160258	+4.23%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.8115	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.159343	+1.93%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.7800	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.172414	+0.30%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.6923	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.16944	+0.00%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.8550	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.179966	+1.97%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.7768	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.169791	+1.72%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.8961	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.156285	+5.57%	0.45364	+206.43%	0.9906	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.166235	+1.48%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0051	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.13991	+6.73%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.0392	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.122048	+7.68%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.0901	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.128116	+7.77%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.0849	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.101477	+3.05%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4112	✓	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.099121	+0.44%	0.29519	+199.11%	0.9793	✓	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.092001	-1.58%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9002	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.093548	-2.31%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8401	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.097687	-5.63%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.1847	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.089803	-3.41%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.2706	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.089995	-2.96%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3008	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.0926	-2.51%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3174	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.096167	-2.51%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.2699	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.095208	-2.49%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.2834	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.090985	-2.55%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.3558	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.094462	-2.69%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.3935	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.094871	-2.56%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3431	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.094551	-2.41%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.3807	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.095146	-2.72%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4117	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.098326	-2.53%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.2450	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.098894	-2.73%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.2715	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.094516	-2.72%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.2557	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.096893	-2.82%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2238	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.101968	-3.58%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2151	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.110395	-5.39%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.1618	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.092128	-2.59%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4084	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.094092	-2.68%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.3589	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.100055	-3.01%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.2995	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.102512	-3.14%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2335	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.111108	-3.03%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.0809	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.109723	-3.48%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.1671	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.110938	-3.52%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0535	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.114875	-3.56%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.2042	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.117318	-3.52%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1769	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.115681	-3.55%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2655	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.118749	-4.01%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2569	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.11797	-4.14%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.2327	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.120964	-4.07%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.2277	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.124577	-4.12%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1646	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.129578	-4.22%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.3172	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.138267	-5.20%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3664	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.14579	-6.06%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3992	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.112219	-4.00%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.1417	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.118549	-3.88%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1920	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.119277	-3.82%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.2464	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.113024	-3.99%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1595	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.110225	-3.62%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.1417	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.105115	-3.61%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.1075	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.106628	-3.54%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0954	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.10973	-3.45%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0898	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.108288	-3.47%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0675	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.103919	-3.48%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0708	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.105766	-4.12%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0686	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.10672	-4.80%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0227	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.100714	-6.16%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1175	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.104551	-7.97%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1812	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.099836	-5.53%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0871	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.096225	-5.36%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0060	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.084798	-2.89%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.1665	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.081257	-2.05%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.2584	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.081676	-1.64%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.2565	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.081511	-1.53%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.2944	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.084511	-1.91%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3055	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.085373	-2.18%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3208	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.088646	-2.37%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2518	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.095662	-2.92%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2419	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.092445	-2.82%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.2673	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.091342	-2.90%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.2924	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.094897	-3.09%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3228	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.097315	-3.10%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.3580	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.098623	-3.31%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4151	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.097038	-3.80%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.4806	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.096353	-4.38%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2274	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.097437	-4.63%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2325	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.099335	-4.80%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2187	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.093682	-4.99%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.1857	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.099342	-5.44%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1170	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.104685	-6.02%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.0540	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.09757	-5.87%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1245	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.086214	-5.81%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2258	✗	1.00