DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s7

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

65.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0638

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0206

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.4561	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.4536	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.2316	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.1875	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.1545	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.4875	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.851	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.8207	-2.06%	14.773	-8.54%	0.0788	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.0451	-1.95%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0828	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.0081	-1.99%	14.512	-11.15%	0.0990	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.367	-1.91%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1077	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.5612	-1.96%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1246	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.1099	-2.14%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1384	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.0057	-2.15%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1215	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.6793	-2.26%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0743	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.9499	-2.21%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0702	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.1155	-2.25%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0671	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.9573	-2.17%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0477	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.8935	-2.20%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0406	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.8514	-2.21%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0025	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.7743	-2.18%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0068	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.0122	-2.29%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0069	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.7142	-2.22%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0179	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.4322	-2.16%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0399	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.0931	-2.30%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0048	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.8578	-2.27%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0212	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.3156	-2.17%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0489	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.8428	-2.33%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0138	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.8409	-2.38%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0406	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.2729	-2.44%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0172	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.5607	-2.28%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0433	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.8979	-2.34%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0590	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.0854	-2.39%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0358	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.3047	-2.45%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0098	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.4453	-2.41%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0219	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.3353	-2.24%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0900	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.4536	-2.02%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1481	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.3068	-2.31%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0206	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.9604	-2.27%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0392	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.7056	-2.20%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0707	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.525	-2.19%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0977	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.2205	-2.17%	16.852	+8.32%	0.1037	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.0983	-2.31%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0055	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.9035	-2.62%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1090	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.5095	-1.77%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0824	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.2833	-1.90%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0368	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.6622	-1.45%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0495	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.4406	-0.75%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0504	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.4658	+1.20%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1200	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.8262	-0.87%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1646	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.2396	-1.01%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1861	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.5154	-0.20%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0783	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.035	-0.23%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1390	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.2534	+0.01%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0917	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.1042	-0.18%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0783	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.0404	+0.78%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0071	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.8911	+0.29%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0235	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.6734	+0.06%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0633	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.8407	-0.07%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0542	✗	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.1444	-0.75%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0048	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.8645	-0.86%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0142	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	12.9995	-0.05%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0890	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.8317	-1.03%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0816	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.7653	-1.37%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0415	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.5353	-1.51%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0314	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.8768	-1.66%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0574	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.7666	-1.69%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0333	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.8289	-1.73%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0451	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.7633	-1.73%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1301	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.9266	-1.76%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1462	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.0226	-1.82%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1016	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.709	-2.13%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1006	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.5114	-2.13%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0446	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.6666	-2.20%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0232	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.5166	-2.20%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0077	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.4727	-2.19%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0093	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.2369	-2.18%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0060	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.6842	-2.26%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0156	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.074	-2.32%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0019	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.963	-2.32%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0214	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.9208	-2.34%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0201	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.7866	-2.41%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0350	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.8264	-2.52%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0404	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.2545	-2.58%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0503	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.439	-1.81%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1153	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.3762	-1.77%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1595	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.0024	-1.61%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1909	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.4807	-1.75%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1693	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.3742	-1.78%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1647	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.3791	-1.85%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1643	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.7636	-1.92%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1503	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.2226	-1.98%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0163	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.3413	-2.04%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0250	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.4484	-2.20%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0844	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.4223	-2.34%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0710	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.3963	-2.51%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0606	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.2596	-2.58%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0587	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.962	-2.80%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.0972	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.0975	-3.00%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0697	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.3432	-3.06%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0803	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.1511	-2.89%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0066	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.8998	-2.44%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0533	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.0316	-1.97%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1278	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.9459	-1.92%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1428	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.7942	-1.98%	13.336	+21.10%	0.2031	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.7466	-2.05%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1931	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.7824	-2.08%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2205	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.9768	-2.13%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1560	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.902	-2.18%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.1101	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.0319	-2.24%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0099	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.2197	-2.30%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0290	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.9251	-2.30%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0168	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.6877	-2.31%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0075	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.4832	-2.29%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0216	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.0144	-2.36%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0358	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.8423	-2.37%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0299	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.2068	-2.45%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0371	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.9174	-2.50%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0157	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.6738	-2.61%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0222	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.8489	-2.71%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0671	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.9209	-2.29%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0440	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.2435	-2.34%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0585	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.1658	-2.34%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0498	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.5871	-2.41%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0606	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.3373	-2.41%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0438	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.2009	-2.42%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0301	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.7379	-2.51%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0921	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.0715	-2.57%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0306	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.3305	-2.68%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0329	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.4576	-2.77%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0475	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.8991	-2.80%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.6969	-2.79%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0059	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.8361	-2.76%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0198	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.5138	-2.69%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.6425	-2.67%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.9382	-2.71%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0098	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.0428	-2.74%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0246	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.9732	-2.58%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0350	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.7879	-2.60%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0197	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.7896	-2.76%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0457	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.0982	-2.81%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1339	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.3189	-2.90%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1023	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.163	-2.89%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0887	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.542	-2.87%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0769	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.