DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s7

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

63.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0925

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0237

actual +0.0158

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	13.9169	-9.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	13.393	-9.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.1847	-9.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.1498	-9.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.1494	-8.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	13.5032	-8.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	13.8862	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	14.7844	-8.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.1026	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.0695	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.6017	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	15.7665	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.3389	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.2458	-6.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	16.9851	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.4425	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.6443	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.5607	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.4408	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.3652	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.3636	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.4398	-5.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.2286	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.0154	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.5646	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.398	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.0031	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.3954	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.4292	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.9583	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.5886	-2.13%	15.295	-14.89%	0.1162	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.4104	-5.15%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1245	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.5788	-5.28%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1392	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.7301	-5.69%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1578	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	15.8226	-6.11%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1468	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	14.9365	-4.78%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0691	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.1516	-4.07%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0038	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	15.8887	-4.81%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0153	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.5558	-4.75%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0085	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.4791	-3.61%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0113	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.4644	-2.57%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0142	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.2582	-1.93%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0403	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.3118	-1.02%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0304	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.0993	-1.49%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0134	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.0127	+1.42%	18.089	+14.57%	0.0825	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.8856	+1.73%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0364	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.3468	+2.86%	18.533	+16.62%	0.0720	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.7704	+1.37%	18.355	+17.98%	0.0922	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.6146	+2.24%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.1917	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.1986	+1.80%	18.255	+30.88%	0.1737	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.81	+2.95%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1232	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	15.1743	+4.33%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1414	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.6028	+3.81%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1525	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.9871	+5.15%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1182	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.9718	+5.96%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1435	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	15.0204	+7.81%	18.273	+31.16%	0.1518	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	15.0275	+8.49%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1088	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.948	+9.39%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1379	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	15.2822	+10.33%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1217	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	15.5578	+9.17%	18.729	+31.42%	0.0943	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	15.0981	+7.96%	17.971	+28.50%	0.0714	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	14.0086	+7.71%	17.302	+33.04%	0.1786	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.2762	+2.69%	17.503	+46.41%	0.2626	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.8122	-0.97%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2635	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.2393	-4.04%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2334	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.582	-4.10%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1302	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.438	-4.43%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0592	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.5355	-4.17%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1417	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.4791	-4.10%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1429	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.6839	-3.76%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1097	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.7957	-3.68%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0890	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.4753	-3.93%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0240	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.2545	-4.14%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0812	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.3942	-4.31%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1347	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.2442	-4.33%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0446	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.2498	-3.94%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0773	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.0298	-3.84%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0494	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.4888	-3.76%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0010	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.8454	-4.03%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1474	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.7386	-4.01%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1202	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.7243	-3.83%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0888	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.615	-3.72%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0978	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.6609	-3.78%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1215	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.1006	-3.71%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.1183	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.2758	-3.21%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0316	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.1856	-3.41%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0052	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.758	-3.80%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0425	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.3014	-3.28%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0134	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.2268	-3.05%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0121	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.2678	-2.81%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0490	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.6881	-2.55%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0178	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.209	-2.09%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0969	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.4015	-1.56%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1245	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.4766	-1.98%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.1037	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.5103	-1.65%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0659	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.5673	-1.17%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0350	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.4388	-1.15%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0224	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.1438	-1.44%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0763	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.2835	-1.62%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0773	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.4637	-2.18%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0796	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.2101	-2.42%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0128	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.9505	-2.02%	12.985	+6.46%	0.0860	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.0312	-1.97%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1455	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.9316	-2.05%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1595	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.7785	-2.12%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1475	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.7205	-2.28%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1360	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.7599	-2.29%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1372	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.9483	-2.39%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1615	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.8814	-2.37%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.2004	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.0261	-2.29%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1798	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.2199	-2.30%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1504	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.9039	-2.49%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1649	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.6496	-2.65%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1693	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.436	-2.73%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1748	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.9998	-2.49%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0049	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.8375	-2.42%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0053	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.2303	-2.25%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0565	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.9511	-2.20%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0074	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.6748	-2.60%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0199	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.8194	-2.95%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0567	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.867	-2.77%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0644	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.1935	-2.77%	12.47	+8.32%	0.0783	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.0904	-3.00%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.0820	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.5078	-3.08%	12.729	+7.21%	0.0856	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.243	-3.22%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1046	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.1164	-3.16%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1044	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.6296	-3.41%	12.584	+4.52%	0.0875	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.9268	-3.74%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1402	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.1366	-4.21%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1304	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.1946	-4.82%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1321	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.5858	-5.36%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1112	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.3787	-5.43%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0663	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.4643	-5.81%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0219	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.2478	-4.94%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0506	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.3111	-5.44%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0507	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.4179	-6.95%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0268	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.4465	-7.56%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0390	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.5731	-5.83%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0818	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.327	-6.40%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0572	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	11.9745	-8.95%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.1323	-9.47%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1101	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.2324	-10.26%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.0875	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.0056	-10.30%	10.94	-29.93%	0.0736	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.3559	-10.28%	10.729	-32.95%	0.0623	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.