BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s7
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +7d
assessed
44
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
18.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2803
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0400
actual +0.2213
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 1.6621 | 1.5891 | -4.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 1.6423 | 1.5717 | -4.30% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.965 | -3.83% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8901 | -3.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3055 | -4.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3168 | -4.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8486 | -4.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7437 | -4.01% | 1.6621 | -8.51% | 0.0103 | ✓ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2417 | -5.82% | 1.6423 | -31.00% | 0.2695 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9778 | -5.29% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0299 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6726 | -4.40% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1635 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5591 | -4.10% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4083 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5199 | -4.06% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4454 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5098 | -4.16% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2259 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3399 | -3.80% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3124 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2498 | -3.68% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6131 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1691 | -3.66% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5368 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1877 | -3.73% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3151 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1984 | -3.80% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2536 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.997352 | -3.89% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4240 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3212 | -4.37% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1348 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3517 | -4.69% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0375 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.267 | -4.66% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0176 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3172 | -5.15% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0405 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0716 | -4.25% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1910 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.162 | -4.81% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1170 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.960755 | -4.07% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0846 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2357 | -6.06% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1210 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.914608 | -4.17% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4487 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.986816 | -4.91% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2796 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.861411 | -4.05% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.5077 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.770588 | -3.76% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.4101 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.720225 | -3.59% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4877 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.570805 | -3.30% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5238 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.609747 | -3.25% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7298 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.694599 | -3.51% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2177 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.720579 | -3.95% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2621 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.677971 | -3.84% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1494 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.562709 | -3.41% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2504 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.700556 | -4.61% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.533151 | -3.12% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0517 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.49331 | -3.04% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1985 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.484464 | -3.12% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3985 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.437493 | -3.02% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5670 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.424359 | -3.06% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5449 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.437226 | -3.06% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2987 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.434192 | -2.95% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5707 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.438656 | -3.00% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2595 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.442734 | -3.03% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1705 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.44169 | -2.80% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1840 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.473791 | -3.23% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0616 | ✓ | 1.00 |