BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s7
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +1d
assessed
50
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
38.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1150
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0108
actual +0.0228
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 1.6621 | 1.6455 | -1.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 1.6423 | 1.6262 | -0.98% | 1.6621 | +1.20% | 0.0256 | ✗ | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.024 | -0.94% | 1.6423 | -19.62% | 0.1896 | ✓ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9474 | -0.97% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0681 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3839 | -1.29% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1957 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.4014 | -1.51% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0174 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.9062 | -1.12% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2440 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7971 | -1.07% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0588 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.3347 | -1.92% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2414 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.0532 | -1.68% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1232 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7277 | -1.25% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2138 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.608 | -1.09% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0503 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5676 | -1.05% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0499 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5582 | -1.08% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0230 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3797 | -0.94% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1483 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2859 | -0.90% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0511 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.2028 | -0.88% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0356 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2223 | -0.92% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0109 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2339 | -0.96% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0138 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0283 | -0.91% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2285 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.365 | -1.19% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2692 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3991 | -1.35% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0199 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.3108 | -1.36% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1069 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3667 | -1.58% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0299 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.1057 | -1.21% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2320 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.203 | -1.45% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.0960 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.990025 | -1.15% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2105 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2886 | -2.04% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2446 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.942963 | -1.20% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3265 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0221 | -1.51% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0684 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.887479 | -1.15% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1778 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.792349 | -1.04% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1295 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.740099 | -0.93% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0139 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.585848 | -0.75% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2440 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.625456 | -0.75% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0623 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.713359 | -0.91% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1815 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.74171 | -1.13% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0325 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.697302 | -1.10% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0657 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.57728 | -0.91% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2336 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.723784 | -1.45% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2347 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.546022 | -0.78% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.3025 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.505033 | -0.74% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0851 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.496191 | -0.77% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0164 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.447915 | -0.71% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1327 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.434592 | -0.72% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0394 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.44768 | -0.75% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.444195 | -0.72% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0310 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.448832 | -0.74% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.453018 | -0.77% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.451084 | -0.73% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0318 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.485549 | -0.83% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1162 | ✓ | 1.00 |