BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s7

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 594

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

191

of 198 predictions shown

direction hit

56.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1405

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0228

actual -0.0054

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.054285	0.053569	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-21	oos	0.054325	0.05363	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.049463	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.046708	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.048134	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.05223	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.055178	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.044109	-1.10%	0.054285	+21.72%	0.1849	✗	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.043403	-0.94%	0.054325	+23.99%	0.1978	✗	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.047331	-1.12%	0.050125	+4.72%	0.0590	✗	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.05407	-1.17%	0.047365	-13.43%	0.1334	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.065261	-1.47%	0.048835	-26.27%	0.2770	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.066955	-1.60%	0.05305	-22.04%	0.2200	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.067397	-1.65%	0.056	-18.28%	0.1765	✓	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.064936	-1.56%	0.0446	-32.39%	0.3793	✓	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.06647	-1.51%	0.043815	-35.08%	0.4031	✓	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.06626	-1.30%	0.047865	-28.70%	0.3031	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.061455	-1.15%	0.05471	-12.00%	0.0801	✓	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.061737	-1.09%	0.066235	+6.12%	0.0967	✗	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.061135	-1.19%	0.068045	+9.98%	0.1245	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.062091	-1.19%	0.068525	+9.05%	0.1173	✗	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.064463	-1.17%	0.065965	+1.13%	0.0529	✗	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.065312	-1.28%	0.06749	+2.01%	0.0354	✗	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.06603	-1.30%	0.06713	+0.34%	0.0028	✓	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.066337	-1.27%	0.06217	-7.47%	0.0853	✓	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.070093	-1.22%	0.062415	-12.04%	0.1289	✓	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.070287	-1.19%	0.06187	-13.02%	0.1296	✓	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.068471	-1.08%	0.06284	-9.21%	0.0883	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.066237	-0.98%	0.065225	-2.49%	0.0182	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.063024	-0.98%	0.06616	+3.94%	0.0536	✗	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.068649	-0.40%	0.0669	-2.94%	0.0088	✓	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.068	-0.26%	0.06719	-1.45%	0.0135	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.065296	-1.28%	0.07096	+7.28%	0.0570	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.064691	-1.25%	0.071135	+8.59%	0.0697	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.064372	-1.24%	0.069215	+6.19%	0.0483	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.061568	-1.43%	0.06689	+7.09%	0.0259	✗	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.060552	-1.41%	0.06365	+3.63%	0.0091	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.062254	-1.50%	0.068925	+9.06%	0.0490	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.061822	-1.31%	0.06818	+8.84%	0.0559	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.060997	-1.35%	0.066145	+6.98%	0.0581	✗	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.063163	-1.35%	0.06551	+2.31%	0.0151	✗	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.063369	-1.36%	0.06518	+1.46%	0.0076	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.05987	-1.19%	0.06246	+3.09%	0.0433	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.06126	-1.08%	0.06142	-0.82%	0.0134	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.066888	-1.16%	0.0632	-6.61%	0.0377	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.066764	-1.00%	0.062645	-7.11%	0.0576	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.066937	-0.70%	0.06183	-8.27%	0.0561	✓	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.068282	-0.69%	0.06403	-6.87%	0.0469	✓	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.068268	-0.56%	0.064245	-6.42%	0.0428	✓	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.06969	+0.09%	0.06059	-12.98%	0.1066	✗	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.06653	-1.10%	0.06193	-7.94%	0.0783	✓	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.066725	-1.10%	0.06767	+0.30%	0.0067	✓	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.067928	-0.65%	0.06744	-1.37%	0.0101	✓	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.067091	-1.10%	0.067405	-0.64%	0.0135	✓	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.069988	-0.87%	0.068755	-2.61%	0.0282	✓	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.070731	-1.05%	0.068655	-3.95%	0.0420	✓	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.073525	+0.36%	0.06963	-4.95%	0.0608	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.071941	-0.38%	0.06727	-6.85%	0.0561	✓	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.068379	-0.91%	0.067465	-2.24%	0.0062	✓	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.071792	-0.67%	0.068375	-5.40%	0.0462	✓	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.07246	-1.35%	0.06784	-7.64%	0.0654	✓	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.073231	-1.62%	0.0706	-5.16%	0.0449	✓	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.089729	-1.32%	0.07148	-21.39%	0.2245	✓	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.082498	-1.99%	0.07326	-12.97%	0.1545	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.078846	-2.35%	0.072215	-10.56%	0.1495	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.07672	-2.86%	0.06901	-12.62%	0.2038	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.075168	-2.91%	0.072275	-6.65%	0.1469	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.075378	-3.34%	0.07345	-5.82%	0.1436	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.076933	-3.56%	0.07444	-6.68%	0.1437	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.072778	-3.08%	0.09093	+21.09%	0.1003	✗	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.073038	-3.10%	0.084175	+11.67%	0.0638	✗	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.074059	-3.24%	0.080745	+5.49%	0.0274	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.074103	-3.34%	0.078975	+3.02%	0.0523	✗	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.074715	-3.39%	0.07742	+0.10%	0.0292	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.071897	-2.91%	0.077985	+5.31%	0.1038	✗	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.074736	-3.21%	0.07977	+3.31%	0.0862	✗	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.075313	-3.31%	0.07509	-3.59%	0.0185	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.081072	-3.76%	0.075375	-10.52%	0.0627	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.077706	-3.48%	0.07654	-4.93%	0.0008	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.074368	-3.05%	0.07666	-0.07%	0.0363	✗	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.074198	-2.98%	0.07734	+1.12%	0.0365	✗	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.07375	-2.79%	0.074055	-2.39%	0.0103	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.073217	-2.63%	0.077215	+2.69%	0.0313	✗	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.076713	-2.94%	0.07789	-1.45%	0.0058	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.077312	-2.77%	0.08424	+5.94%	0.0906	✗	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.078002	-2.73%	0.08051	+0.39%	0.0244	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.077176	-2.57%	0.07671	-3.16%	0.0080	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.077347	-2.48%	0.07648	-3.57%	0.0091	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.084727	-2.66%	0.07587	-12.83%	0.0946	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.082384	-2.60%	0.075195	-11.10%	0.0788	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.082276	-2.53%	0.07904	-6.37%	0.0300	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.074444	-1.96%	0.079515	+4.72%	0.0688	✗	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.082314	-2.30%	0.080195	-4.81%	0.0071	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.083471	-2.27%	0.07921	-7.26%	0.0287	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.08386	-2.30%	0.079315	-7.60%	0.0448	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.088122	-2.36%	0.08704	-3.56%	0.0176	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.089937	-2.37%	0.08458	-8.18%	0.0554	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.089536	-2.38%	0.084415	-7.96%	0.0613	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.089134	-2.41%	0.07593	-16.87%	0.1792	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.087283	-2.44%	0.08425	-5.83%	0.0498	✓	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.085177	-2.52%	0.08541	-2.25%	0.0163	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.09234	-2.52%	0.085835	-9.39%	0.1211	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.099586	-2.54%	0.09025	-11.68%	0.1129	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.095857	-2.49%	0.09212	-6.29%	0.0566	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.101326	-2.53%	0.09172	-11.77%	0.0961	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.108493	-2.63%	0.091335	-18.03%	0.1814	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.08474	-2.66%	0.08947	+2.77%	0.0204	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.082659	-2.80%	0.08738	+2.75%	0.0341	✗	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.092338	-2.65%	0.094725	-0.13%	0.0474	✗	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.08979	-2.78%	0.102185	+10.64%	0.1271	✗	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.089407	-2.84%	0.098305	+6.83%	0.0851	✗	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.092243	-2.86%	0.10396	+9.48%	0.0971	✗	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.09821	-2.98%	0.11142	+10.07%	0.1013	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.125444	-3.90%	0.087055	-33.31%	0.4071	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.097334	-2.86%	0.08504	-15.13%	0.2071	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.079206	-2.51%	0.09485	+16.75%	0.1123	✗	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.078568	-2.58%	0.09236	+14.52%	0.1036	✗	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.072901	-2.64%	0.09202	+22.90%	0.1874	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.065051	-2.92%	0.09496	+41.71%	0.3418	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.069101	-2.80%	0.101225	+42.39%	0.3554	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.081162	-2.71%	0.13053	+56.47%	0.4889	✗	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.096389	-3.12%	0.1002	+0.71%	0.0859	✗	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.091553	-2.86%	0.081245	-13.79%	0.0745	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.090921	-3.04%	0.08065	-13.99%	0.0747	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.085934	-2.84%	0.074875	-15.35%	0.0845	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.094283	-3.63%	0.06701	-31.51%	0.2957	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.091831	-3.67%	0.07109	-25.43%	0.2142	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.075821	-2.54%	0.08342	+7.23%	0.1499	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.074209	-2.53%	0.09949	+30.68%	0.3400	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.076413	-2.75%	0.094245	+19.94%	0.2457	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.06986	-2.36%	0.09377	+31.06%	0.3319	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.067469	-2.36%	0.08845	+28.00%	0.2739	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.07273	-2.92%	0.097835	+30.59%	0.2975	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.071054	-2.83%	0.09533	+30.37%	0.3048	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.061631	-1.95%	0.077795	+23.76%	0.1922	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.063261	-2.15%	0.076135	+17.76%	0.1326	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.063344	-2.16%	0.078575	+21.37%	0.1721	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.068275	-2.64%	0.07155	+2.02%	0.0146	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.064886	-2.28%	0.0691	+4.07%	0.0160	✓	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.061283	-1.38%	0.07492	+20.57%	0.1677	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.061951	-1.71%	0.07312	+16.01%	0.1691	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.068236	-2.73%	0.06286	-10.39%	0.0461	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.063658	-2.03%	0.06465	-0.51%	0.0992	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.069281	-2.76%	0.06474	-9.14%	0.0606	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.069402	-2.73%	0.07013	-1.71%	0.1792	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.074494	-3.22%	0.0664	-13.74%	0.0980	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.073919	-3.18%	0.06214	-18.61%	0.0296	✓	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.06027	-1.02%	0.06303	+3.51%	0.2082	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.061537	-1.09%	0.07015	+12.75%	0.3033	✗	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.061541	-1.02%	0.06498	+4.51%	0.2101	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.067601	-1.68%	0.07125	+3.63%	0.1424	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.06746	-1.52%	0.07135	+4.16%	0.1068	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.07078	-1.76%	0.076975	+6.84%	0.1271	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.069953	-1.61%	0.07635	+7.38%	0.1188	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.081919	-2.48%	0.06089	-27.51%	0.2502	✓	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.075042	-2.10%	0.062215	-18.83%	0.1507	✓	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.069602	-1.65%	0.062175	-12.14%	0.1024	✓	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.070285	-1.69%	0.068755	-3.83%	0.0254	✓	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.069242	-1.70%	0.0685	-2.75%	0.0059	✓	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.074328	-1.93%	0.07205	-4.93%	0.0156	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.073496	-1.89%	0.0711	-5.09%	0.0072	✓	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.08497	-2.24%	0.084	-3.36%	0.0159	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.08679	-2.30%	0.07665	-13.71%	0.1092	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.107263	-2.95%	0.07077	-35.97%	0.3994	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.101722	-2.87%	0.07149	-31.74%	0.3256	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.095452	-2.86%	0.07044	-28.31%	0.2730	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.093589	-2.78%	0.07579	-21.27%	0.1951	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.087733	-2.61%	0.07491	-16.84%	0.1511	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.089442	-2.73%	0.08692	-5.48%	0.0350	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.08551	-2.88%	0.08883	+0.89%	0.0543	✗	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.087776	-3.03%	0.11052	+22.09%	0.2336	✗	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.091774	-3.11%	0.10473	+10.57%	0.1173	✗	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.095842	-3.15%	0.09826	-0.71%	0.0060	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.113019	-2.90%	0.09627	-17.29%	0.1751	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.106866	-3.01%	0.09008	-18.24%	0.1855	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.109069	-2.94%	0.091955	-18.17%	0.2012	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.126259	-2.80%	0.088045	-32.22%	0.4101	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.134382	-2.95%	0.09052	-34.63%	0.4535	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.132694	-3.12%	0.09472	-30.84%	0.3688	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.129718	-3.06%	0.09896	-26.04%	0.2692	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.130348	-3.21%	0.11639	-13.58%	0.1265	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.11876	-3.20%	0.11018	-10.19%	0.0849	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.130778	-3.71%	0.11237	-17.27%	0.1261	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.110735	-3.49%	0.12989	+13.20%	0.1915	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.125006	-4.32%	0.13847	+5.99%	0.1027	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.109423	-3.98%	0.136965	+20.19%	0.2049	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.083332	-3.33%	0.13381	+55.23%	0.4100	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.087885	-3.66%	0.134675	+47.64%	0.4019	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.117064	-5.02%	0.122685	-0.46%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.155404	-6.47%	0.13582	-18.25%	0.1753	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.082538	-3.50%	0.11474	+34.14%	0.2853	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.072911	-2.97%	0.13065	+73.86%	0.5545	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.064004	-2.58%	0.11396	+73.46%	0.5580	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.058037	-2.47%	0.0862	+44.86%	0.3531	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.053442	-2.27%	0.09122	+66.81%	0.4991	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.052621	-2.29%	0.12325	+128.86%	0.7964	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.05234	-2.33%	0.16615	+210.04%	1.1093	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.06048	-2.36%	0.085535	+38.09%	0.2952	✗	1.00