BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s7

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 591

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

167

of 197 predictions shown

direction hit

70.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2460

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0661

actual -0.0910

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05086	0.049413	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.048865	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.046104	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.04779	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.052178	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.055092	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.0435	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.042545	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.04653	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.053284	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.064226	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.065876	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.066395	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.064132	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.065525	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.06524	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.060269	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.060709	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.06021	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.061359	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.063826	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.064689	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.065646	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.065929	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.069795	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.069892	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.067861	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.065858	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.062811	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.069249	+0.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.068889	+1.04%	0.05086	-25.40%	0.2716	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.064897	-1.89%	0.050125	-24.22%	0.2725	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.064243	-1.93%	0.047365	-27.70%	0.3097	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.063776	-2.15%	0.048835	-25.08%	0.2755	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.060665	-2.87%	0.05305	-15.07%	0.1705	✓	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.059704	-2.79%	0.056	-8.82%	0.1031	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.061161	-3.23%	0.0446	-29.43%	0.3491	✓	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.060957	-2.69%	0.043815	-30.06%	0.3476	✓	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.060202	-2.63%	0.047865	-22.59%	0.2620	✓	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.062378	-2.58%	0.05471	-14.56%	0.1553	✓	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.062716	-2.38%	0.066235	+3.10%	0.0190	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.058991	-2.64%	0.068045	+12.30%	0.1108	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.060402	-2.47%	0.068525	+10.65%	0.1055	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.065711	-2.89%	0.065965	-2.52%	0.0169	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.065753	-2.50%	0.06749	+0.07%	0.0007	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.065966	-2.13%	0.06713	-0.41%	0.0149	✓	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.06727	-2.16%	0.06217	-9.58%	0.1170	✓	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.067416	-1.80%	0.062415	-9.09%	0.1240	✓	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.068898	-1.05%	0.06187	-11.14%	0.1309	✓	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.065282	-2.95%	0.06284	-6.59%	0.0854	✓	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.065361	-3.12%	0.065225	-3.32%	0.0525	✓	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.066869	-2.20%	0.06616	-3.24%	0.0371	✓	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.065699	-3.16%	0.0669	-1.39%	0.0216	✓	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.068665	-2.74%	0.06719	-4.83%	0.0551	✓	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.069622	-2.60%	0.07096	-0.73%	0.0237	✓	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.074033	+1.05%	0.071135	-2.90%	0.0660	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.072319	+0.14%	0.069215	-4.15%	0.0749	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.068253	-1.10%	0.06689	-3.07%	0.0561	✓	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.072334	+0.08%	0.06365	-11.93%	0.1601	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.072351	-1.50%	0.068925	-6.16%	0.1044	✓	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.072911	-2.05%	0.06818	-8.41%	0.1306	✓	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.090464	-0.51%	0.066145	-27.26%	0.3294	✓	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.080856	-3.94%	0.06551	-22.17%	0.2507	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.076427	-5.35%	0.06518	-19.28%	0.2317	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.073464	-6.98%	0.06246	-20.91%	0.2460	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.071984	-7.02%	0.06142	-20.67%	0.2469	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.071745	-8.00%	0.0632	-18.96%	0.2290	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.072365	-9.28%	0.062645	-21.47%	0.2630	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.068293	-9.05%	0.06183	-17.66%	0.2108	✓	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.068507	-9.11%	0.06403	-15.05%	0.1771	✓	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.069361	-9.38%	0.064245	-16.06%	0.2074	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.069487	-9.36%	0.06059	-20.96%	0.2549	✓	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.069766	-9.79%	0.06193	-19.93%	0.2654	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.067232	-9.21%	0.06767	-8.62%	0.1296	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.069632	-9.82%	0.06744	-12.66%	0.1722	✓	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.070161	-9.92%	0.067405	-13.46%	0.1929	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.074783	-11.23%	0.068755	-18.38%	0.2506	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.071987	-10.59%	0.068655	-14.72%	0.2086	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.068915	-10.16%	0.06963	-9.23%	0.1621	✓	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.068744	-10.12%	0.06727	-12.04%	0.1629	✓	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.068327	-9.94%	0.067465	-11.08%	0.1486	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.067804	-9.83%	0.068375	-9.07%	0.1380	✓	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.070983	-10.19%	0.06784	-14.17%	0.1830	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.071877	-9.61%	0.0706	-11.21%	0.1466	✓	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.072583	-9.49%	0.07148	-10.87%	0.1446	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.072101	-8.98%	0.07326	-7.51%	0.1235	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.072365	-8.76%	0.072215	-8.95%	0.1355	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.079739	-8.39%	0.06901	-20.71%	0.2459	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.077521	-8.35%	0.072275	-14.55%	0.1768	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.077387	-8.33%	0.07345	-12.99%	0.1513	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.069614	-8.32%	0.07444	-1.96%	0.0311	✓	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.077872	-7.57%	0.09093	+7.93%	0.0593	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.079299	-7.16%	0.084175	-1.45%	0.0058	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.079598	-7.27%	0.080745	-5.93%	0.0140	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.083857	-7.08%	0.078975	-12.49%	0.0600	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.085804	-6.86%	0.07742	-15.96%	0.0990	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.085536	-6.74%	0.077985	-14.97%	0.0790	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.085098	-6.83%	0.07977	-12.66%	0.0534	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.083031	-7.20%	0.07509	-16.07%	0.0817	✓	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.080734	-7.61%	0.075375	-13.74%	0.0488	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.087849	-7.26%	0.07654	-19.20%	0.1568	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.095304	-6.73%	0.07666	-24.98%	0.2145	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.092088	-6.32%	0.07734	-21.33%	0.1768	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.097722	-6.00%	0.074055	-28.77%	0.2879	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.10466	-6.07%	0.077215	-30.70%	0.3310	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.080986	-6.97%	0.07789	-10.53%	0.0752	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.078837	-7.29%	0.08424	-0.94%	0.0540	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.089115	-6.05%	0.08051	-15.12%	0.1090	✓	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.086856	-5.96%	0.07671	-16.94%	0.1307	✓	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.086683	-5.80%	0.07648	-16.89%	0.1306	✓	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.089777	-5.46%	0.07587	-20.10%	0.1821	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.095964	-5.20%	0.075195	-25.71%	0.2628	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.122241	-6.35%	0.07904	-39.45%	0.4884	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.094848	-5.34%	0.079515	-20.64%	0.2684	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.076842	-5.42%	0.080195	-1.29%	0.0234	✓	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.076203	-5.51%	0.07921	-1.79%	0.0231	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.070143	-6.32%	0.079315	+5.93%	0.0689	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.061783	-7.80%	0.08704	+29.89%	0.2672	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.066143	-6.96%	0.08458	+18.98%	0.1794	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.078491	-5.91%	0.084415	+1.19%	0.0324	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.092984	-6.54%	0.07593	-23.68%	0.2287	✓	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.088257	-6.35%	0.08425	-10.61%	0.0707	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.08771	-6.46%	0.08541	-8.92%	0.0638	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.083152	-5.99%	0.085835	-2.96%	0.0200	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.090516	-7.48%	0.09025	-7.75%	0.0183	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.087739	-7.96%	0.09212	-3.37%	0.0245	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.073608	-5.38%	0.09172	+17.90%	0.2285	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.072222	-5.14%	0.091335	+19.96%	0.2636	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.07421	-5.55%	0.08947	+13.87%	0.2109	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.067713	-5.36%	0.08738	+22.12%	0.2657	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.065228	-5.60%	0.094725	+37.08%	0.4060	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.069476	-7.27%	0.102185	+36.39%	0.3826	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.067564	-7.60%	0.098305	+34.44%	0.3717	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.058849	-6.38%	0.10396	+65.38%	0.5325	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.060374	-6.61%	0.11142	+72.34%	0.5924	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.060617	-6.37%	0.087055	+34.47%	0.3734	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.065033	-7.27%	0.08504	+21.26%	0.2679	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.061655	-7.15%	0.09485	+42.85%	0.3893	✗	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.058441	-5.95%	0.09236	+48.63%	0.4238	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.059226	-6.04%	0.09202	+45.99%	0.4507	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.064861	-7.54%	0.09496	+35.37%	0.4021	✗	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.060659	-6.65%	0.101225	+55.78%	0.5994	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.066011	-7.35%	0.13053	+83.20%	0.8628	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.066275	-7.11%	0.1002	+40.43%	0.6701	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.070596	-8.29%	0.081245	+5.55%	0.3661	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.069612	-8.83%	0.08065	+5.63%	0.3789	✗	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.056641	-6.98%	0.074875	+22.97%	0.5148	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.057898	-6.94%	0.06701	+7.71%	0.3938	✗	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.058098	-6.56%	0.07109	+14.34%	0.4908	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.064344	-6.42%	0.08342	+21.33%	0.5254	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.064401	-5.98%	0.09949	+45.24%	0.6663	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.067895	-5.77%	0.094245	+30.80%	0.5322	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.066853	-5.97%	0.09377	+31.88%	0.5362	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.078419	-6.64%	0.08845	+5.30%	0.2841	✗	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.071443	-6.79%	0.097835	+27.64%	0.4902	✗	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.065589	-7.32%	0.09533	+34.70%	0.5428	✗	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.066336	-7.21%	0.077795	+8.82%	0.3097	✗	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.065168	-7.48%	0.076135	+8.08%	0.2991	✗	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.070644	-6.79%	0.078575	+3.67%	0.2419	✗	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.069988	-6.57%	0.07155	-4.49%	0.1817	✗	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.081767	-5.93%	0.0691	-20.50%	0.0272	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.083362	-6.16%	0.07492	-15.66%	0.0371	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.103056	-6.75%	0.07312	-33.84%	0.2611	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.097674	-6.74%	0.06286	-39.98%	0.3124	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.091217	-7.17%	0.06465	-34.21%	0.1968	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.087985	-8.61%	0.06474	-32.75%	0.1857	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.08111	-9.96%	0.07013	-22.15%	0.0307	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.082585	-10.19%	0.0664	-27.79%	0.0860	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.078473	-10.87%	0.06214	-29.42%	0.0585	✓	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.080659	-10.89%	0.06303	-30.37%	0.1022	✓	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.084677	-10.60%	0.07015	-25.94%	0.0475	✓	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.088793	-10.27%	0.06498	-34.34%	0.2001	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.106673	-8.35%	0.07125	-38.78%	0.3451	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.100466	-8.82%	0.07135	-35.24%	0.3060	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.103308	-8.06%	0.076975	-31.50%	0.2724	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.121164	-6.72%	0.07635	-41.22%	0.4399	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.129607	-6.40%	0.06089	-56.03%	0.7180	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.128361	-6.28%	0.062215	-54.58%	0.6840	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.125263	-6.39%	0.062175	-53.53%	0.6636	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.125894	-6.52%	0.068755	-48.95%	0.5997	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.11487	-6.37%	0.0685	-44.17%	0.5107	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.126987	-6.50%	0.07205	-46.95%	0.5457	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.107604	-6.22%	0.0711	-38.03%	0.3784	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.12142	-7.06%	0.084	-35.71%	0.3840	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.106089	-6.91%	0.07665	-32.74%	0.3460	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.080374	-6.76%	0.07077	-17.90%	0.1664	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.085186	-6.61%	0.07149	-21.63%	0.1911	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.112657	-8.59%	0.07044	-42.85%	0.4736	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.145785	-12.26%	0.07579	-54.38%	0.6926	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.079583	-6.96%	0.07491	-12.42%	0.1154	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.070368	-6.36%	0.08692	+15.67%	0.1223	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.061874	-5.82%	0.08883	+35.21%	0.2986	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.055288	-7.09%	0.11052	+85.73%	0.5638	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.050793	-7.12%	0.10473	+91.52%	0.6119	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.049872	-7.40%	0.09826	+82.45%	0.5594	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.049473	-7.68%	0.09627	+79.64%	0.5494	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.057728	-6.80%	0.09008	+45.43%	0.3245	✗	1.00