AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s7

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0678

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0309

actual -0.0063

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.018861	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019066	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.019976	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.018822	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.019873	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021361	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.019852	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018102	-2.92%	0.019479	+4.46%	0.0568	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.018829	-2.82%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0472	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018289	-2.81%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1214	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020071	-2.86%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0096	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.021703	-3.42%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0336	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019431	-2.57%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1462	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019415	-2.60%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0506	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.021658	-3.03%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1288	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021218	-2.45%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0586	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.021919	-2.65%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.0996	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022287	-2.61%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0389	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022205	-2.75%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0365	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022158	-2.75%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0789	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022356	-2.60%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0720	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.022959	-2.89%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0237	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.021955	-2.56%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0357	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021319	-2.42%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0228	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024138	-3.15%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0789	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.024652	-3.37%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.0807	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.023976	-3.28%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0558	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023347	-3.11%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0225	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.02259	-2.96%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0553	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.023823	-3.17%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0256	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.022656	-2.86%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020491	-3.06%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1560	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.02071	-3.09%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1701	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.02092	-3.15%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1307	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.019735	-3.32%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0996	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.019884	-3.36%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0550	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020557	-3.51%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0483	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.019763	-3.32%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0633	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.019553	-3.50%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.020758	-3.76%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0210	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.019737	-3.48%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0438	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018011	-3.36%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.1277	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.019439	-3.39%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0845	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.019814	-3.36%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.1097	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020095	-3.27%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.019968	-3.08%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0597	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.019956	-3.09%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.1105	✗	1.00