AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s7
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 144
Track record at +1d
assessed
47
of 48 predictions shown
direction hit
61.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0413
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0061
actual -0.0006
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.021245 | 0.021111 | -0.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.021361 | 0.021212 | -0.70% | 0.021245 | -0.54% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.019568 | -0.63% | 0.021361 | +8.47% | 0.0730 | ✗ | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.020529 | -0.72% | 0.019693 | -4.77% | 0.0572 | ✓ | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.019321 | -0.64% | 0.020678 | +6.34% | 0.0703 | ✗ | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.02041 | -0.66% | 0.019445 | -5.36% | 0.0576 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.021992 | -0.82% | 0.020546 | -7.34% | 0.0663 | ✓ | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.020397 | -0.71% | 0.022173 | +7.93% | 0.0929 | ✗ | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.018548 | -0.53% | 0.020543 | +10.17% | 0.0940 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.019273 | -0.53% | 0.018647 | -3.76% | 0.0108 | ✓ | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.018719 | -0.52% | 0.019376 | +2.97% | 0.0151 | ✗ | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.020544 | -0.57% | 0.018817 | -8.93% | 0.0623 | ✓ | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.022307 | -0.73% | 0.020663 | -8.05% | 0.0870 | ✓ | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.019855 | -0.45% | 0.022471 | +12.67% | 0.1188 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.019845 | -0.44% | 0.019944 | +0.05% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.022206 | -0.57% | 0.019933 | -10.75% | 0.0886 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.021655 | -0.44% | 0.022334 | +2.68% | 0.0608 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.022406 | -0.48% | 0.02175 | -3.40% | 0.0270 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.022775 | -0.48% | 0.022515 | -1.61% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.022717 | -0.51% | 0.022884 | +0.22% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.02267 | -0.51% | 0.022833 | +0.21% | 0.0040 | ✓ | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.022842 | -0.48% | 0.022786 | -0.73% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.02351 | -0.56% | 0.022953 | -2.92% | 0.0419 | ✓ | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.022424 | -0.48% | 0.023642 | +4.93% | 0.0540 | ✗ | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.021753 | -0.44% | 0.022532 | +3.13% | 0.0326 | ✗ | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.024766 | -0.63% | 0.021848 | -12.34% | 0.1126 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.025336 | -0.69% | 0.024924 | -2.31% | 0.0170 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.024624 | -0.67% | 0.025513 | +2.92% | 0.0316 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.023945 | -0.63% | 0.024789 | +2.87% | 0.0381 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.023143 | -0.59% | 0.024097 | +3.51% | 0.0403 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.024441 | -0.66% | 0.023279 | -5.38% | 0.0274 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.02319 | -0.57% | 0.024603 | +5.49% | 0.0638 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.021015 | -0.58% | 0.023323 | +10.34% | 0.0394 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.021244 | -0.59% | 0.021137 | -1.09% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.021468 | -0.61% | 0.021371 | -1.06% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.020284 | -0.63% | 0.0216 | +5.81% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.020441 | -0.65% | 0.020413 | -0.79% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.021154 | -0.71% | 0.020576 | -3.42% | 0.0351 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.020306 | -0.67% | 0.021305 | +4.22% | 0.0817 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.020113 | -0.74% | 0.020442 | +0.89% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.021392 | -0.82% | 0.020262 | -6.06% | 0.0482 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.020309 | -0.68% | 0.021569 | +5.48% | 0.0595 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.018524 | -0.61% | 0.020448 | +9.71% | 0.0901 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019993 | -0.63% | 0.018637 | -7.37% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.020373 | -0.63% | 0.02012 | -1.87% | 0.0104 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.020644 | -0.62% | 0.020503 | -1.30% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.020482 | -0.59% | 0.020774 | +0.83% | 0.0298 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.020468 | -0.60% | 0.020602 | +0.05% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.00 |