ASTEROID1

? · · lstm_s7

token id: #794
symbol: ASTEROID1
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-25
predictions: 516

Track record at +30d

assessed

142

of 172 predictions shown

direction hit

74.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4652

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0791

actual -0.3442

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.001541	0.00146	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.90
2026-10-21	oos	0.001549	0.001473	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-20	oos	0.001259	0.001193	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.001263	0.001194	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-18	oos	0.001148	0.001076	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.70
2026-10-17	oos	0.001229	0.001155	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-10-16	oos	0.001277	0.001199	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-10-15	oos	0.001258	0.001176	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.70
2026-10-14	oos	0.001084	0.000992197	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.68
2026-10-13	oos	0.001144	0.001045	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-12	oos	0.001126	0.001028	-8.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-11	oos	0.001367	0.001267	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.001357	0.001254	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-09	oos	0.00123	0.001118	-9.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.001355	0.001246	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-07	oos	0.001445	0.001332	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-06	oos	0.001564	0.001473	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-05	oos	0.001631	0.001551	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.70
2026-10-04	oos	0.001638	0.001573	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-10-03	oos	0.001698	0.001607	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.001759	0.001664	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.79
2026-10-01	oos	0.001888	0.001794	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-30	oos	0.001874	0.001763	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.81
2026-09-29	oos	0.001798	0.001692	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.70
2026-09-28	oos	0.001702	0.001594	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.68
2026-09-27	oos	0.001905	0.001811	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-26	oos	0.001983	0.001884	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.76
2026-09-25	oos	0.002018	0.001913	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.78
2026-09-24	oos	0.002258	0.002128	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.76
2026-09-23	oos	0.001934	0.001843	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.78
2026-09-22	oos	0.002158	0.002094	-3.00%	0.001541	-28.61%	0.2651	✓	1.79
2026-09-21	oos	0.001744	0.001699	-2.56%	0.001549	-11.18%	0.0376	✓	1.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0015	0.001371	-8.61%	0.001259	-16.10%	0.1247	✓	1.81
2026-09-19	oos	0.001787	0.001651	-7.60%	0.001263	-29.32%	0.2811	✓	1.78
2026-09-18	oos	0.001831	0.001688	-7.81%	0.001148	-37.27%	0.4103	✓	1.82
2026-09-17	oos	0.001605	0.00148	-7.80%	0.001229	-23.40%	0.2959	✓	1.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.001692	0.001562	-7.68%	0.001277	-24.56%	0.3171	✓	1.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.001676	0.001556	-7.17%	0.001258	-24.94%	0.3406	✓	1.54
2026-09-14	oos	0.001803	0.001669	-7.41%	0.001084	-39.89%	0.4948	✓	1.48
2026-09-13	oos	0.001903	0.001762	-7.42%	0.001144	-39.88%	0.5520	✓	1.52
2026-09-12	oos	0.001828	0.001704	-6.78%	0.001126	-38.38%	0.5020	✓	1.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.001956	0.001825	-6.68%	0.001367	-30.14%	0.4140	✓	1.55
2026-09-10	oos	0.002041	0.001907	-6.53%	0.001357	-33.50%	0.4665	✓	1.58
2026-09-09	oos	0.002186	0.002059	-5.83%	0.00123	-43.73%	0.5986	✓	1.58
2026-09-08	oos	0.00224	0.002118	-5.42%	0.001355	-39.52%	0.5242	✓	1.90
2026-09-07	oos	0.002308	0.002199	-4.71%	0.001445	-37.37%	0.5168	✓	1.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.002546	0.002433	-4.42%	0.001564	-38.57%	0.5658	✓	1.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.002485	0.002392	-3.73%	0.001631	-34.33%	0.5201	✓	1.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.003024	0.002813	-6.99%	0.001638	-45.86%	0.6985	✓	1.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.003109	0.002916	-6.22%	0.001698	-45.39%	0.6220	✓	1.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.002326	0.002266	-2.57%	0.001759	-24.38%	0.4168	✓	1.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.002382	0.002335	-1.95%	0.001888	-20.74%	0.3829	✓	1.85
2026-08-31	oos	0.002634	0.002557	-2.94%	0.001874	-28.85%	0.4175	✓	1.74
2026-08-30	oos	0.002947	0.002708	-8.10%	0.001798	-38.99%	0.5356	✓	1.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.002557	0.002496	-2.39%	0.001702	-33.44%	0.4960	✓	1.75
2026-08-28	oos	0.002101	0.002129	+1.33%	0.001905	-9.33%	0.2529	✗	1.74
2026-08-27	oos	0.002319	0.002358	+1.68%	0.001983	-14.49%	0.2587	✗	1.70
2026-08-26	oos	0.002166	0.002216	+2.29%	0.002018	-6.83%	0.1975	✗	1.68
2026-08-25	oos	0.001937	0.002023	+4.42%	0.002258	+16.57%	0.0115	✓	1.69
2026-08-24	oos	0.00227	0.002297	+1.18%	0.001934	-14.80%	0.2700	✗	1.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.00236	0.002338	-0.93%	0.002158	-8.54%	0.2403	✓	1.55
2026-08-22	oos	0.00264	0.002477	-6.18%	0.001744	-33.94%	0.5369	✓	1.59
2026-08-21	oos	0.002582	0.002492	-3.48%	0.0015	-41.91%	0.5649	✓	1.61
2026-08-20	oos	0.003052	0.002721	-10.85%	0.001787	-41.45%	0.6534	✓	2.18
2026-08-19	oos	0.002289	0.00209	-8.69%	0.001831	-20.01%	0.4098	✓	1.80
2026-08-18	oos	0.00195	0.001818	-6.75%	0.001605	-17.69%	0.4059	✓	1.69
2026-08-17	oos	0.001986	0.001844	-7.17%	0.001692	-14.80%	0.3614	✓	1.66
2026-08-16	oos	0.001873	0.001749	-6.64%	0.001676	-10.52%	0.3446	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.001955	0.001813	-7.27%	0.001803	-7.80%	0.3590	✓	1.64
2026-08-14	oos	0.002087	0.001911	-8.41%	0.001903	-8.82%	0.3316	✓	1.65
2026-08-13	oos	0.00194	0.001799	-7.25%	0.001828	-5.77%	0.3110	✓	1.66
2026-08-12	oos	0.002211	0.002006	-9.28%	0.001956	-11.53%	0.3585	✓	1.69
2026-08-11	oos	0.002031	0.001866	-8.12%	0.002041	+0.47%	0.2235	✓	1.68
2026-08-10	oos	0.001751	0.001642	-6.24%	0.002186	+24.84%	0.0598	✓	1.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.001717	0.001607	-6.41%	0.00224	+30.43%	0.0110	✓	1.69
2026-08-08	oos	0.001589	0.001488	-6.37%	0.002308	+45.25%	0.1109	✗	1.66
2026-08-07	oos	0.001601	0.001501	-6.23%	0.002546	+59.03%	0.2060	✗	1.51
2026-08-06	oos	0.002119	0.001925	-9.14%	0.002485	+17.25%	0.0945	✓	1.61
2026-08-05	oos	0.001998	0.001831	-8.38%	0.003024	+51.38%	0.1713	✗	1.58
2026-08-04	oos	0.002382	0.002107	-11.56%	0.003109	+30.54%	0.0310	✓	1.51
2026-08-03	oos	0.001356	0.001262	-6.95%	0.002326	+71.53%	0.3333	✗	1.41
2026-08-02	oos	0.001354	0.001258	-7.12%	0.002382	+75.92%	0.3587	✗	1.41
2026-08-01	oos	0.001573	0.001468	-6.66%	0.002634	+67.45%	0.2369	✗	1.55
2026-07-31	oos	0.001676	0.001561	-6.86%	0.002947	+75.84%	0.3071	✗	1.55
2026-07-30	oos	0.001696	0.001583	-6.67%	0.002557	+50.77%	0.1998	✗	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.001747	0.001624	-7.03%	0.002101	+20.26%	0.0384	✓	1.50
2026-07-28	oos	0.001803	0.00167	-7.39%	0.002319	+28.62%	0.0045	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.002076	0.001872	-9.82%	0.002166	+4.34%	0.1641	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.002034	0.001846	-9.23%	0.001937	-4.77%	0.2257	✓	1.49
2026-07-25	oos	0.002304	0.002017	-12.45%	0.00227	-1.48%	0.2069	✓	1.58
2026-07-24	oos	0.002315	0.002006	-13.33%	0.00236	+1.94%	0.1074	✓	1.40
2026-07-23	oos	0.001482	0.0014	-5.54%	0.00264	+78.14%	0.3621	✗	1.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.00136	0.001292	-5.00%	0.002582	+89.85%	0.4088	✗	1.67
2026-07-21	oos	0.001551	0.001468	-5.38%	0.003052	+96.78%	0.5782	✗	1.65
2026-07-20	oos	0.001198	0.001128	-5.80%	0.002289	+91.07%	0.6179	✗	1.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.001223	0.001149	-6.05%	0.00195	+59.44%	0.5289	✗	1.47
2026-07-18	oos	0.001349	0.00127	-5.87%	0.001986	+47.22%	0.4546	✗	1.47
2026-07-17	oos	0.001424	0.001333	-6.41%	0.001873	+31.53%	0.3654	✗	1.51
2026-07-16	oos	0.001041	0.000953273	-8.43%	0.001955	+87.80%	0.7355	✗	1.46
2026-07-15	oos	0.001046	0.000956349	-8.57%	0.002087	+99.52%	0.8206	✗	1.47
2026-07-14	oos	0.001158	0.001067	-7.86%	0.00194	+67.53%	0.6337	✗	1.47
2026-07-13	oos	0.001046	0.0009421	-9.93%	0.002211	+111.38%	0.8282	✗	1.36
2026-07-12	oos	0.001205	0.0011	-8.74%	0.002031	+68.55%	0.6178	✗	1.29
2026-07-11	oos	0.001323	0.001213	-8.35%	0.001751	+32.35%	0.3646	✗	1.30
2026-07-10	oos	0.001144	0.001023	-10.55%	0.001717	+50.09%	0.5028	✗	1.32
2026-07-09	oos	0.001093	0.00096032	-12.14%	0.001589	+45.38%	0.4688	✗	1.28
2026-07-08	oos	0.001003	0.000855494	-14.71%	0.001601	+59.62%	0.5758	✗	1.22
2026-07-07	oos	0.001139	0.000985923	-13.44%	0.002119	+86.04%	0.7478	✗	1.17
2026-07-06	oos	0.001392	0.001245	-10.57%	0.001998	+43.53%	0.4627	✗	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.001462	0.001308	-10.52%	0.002382	+62.93%	0.5910	✗	1.13
2026-07-04	oos	0.001537	0.001378	-10.35%	0.001356	-11.78%	0.0229	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.001855	0.001719	-7.33%	0.001354	-27.01%	0.2580	✓	1.24
2026-07-02	oos	0.001555	0.001385	-10.94%	0.001573	+1.16%	0.1049	✓	1.09
2026-07-01	oos	0.001815	0.001683	-7.27%	0.001676	-7.66%	0.0644	✓	1.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.001818	0.001699	-6.52%	0.001696	-6.71%	0.1337	✓	1.31
2026-06-29	oos	0.002226	0.002087	-6.23%	0.001747	-21.52%	0.2471	✓	1.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.002274	0.002133	-6.18%	0.001803	-20.71%	0.2507	✓	1.16
2026-06-27	oos	0.002491	0.002343	-5.95%	0.002076	-16.66%	0.1909	✓	1.15
2026-06-26	oos	0.002527	0.002376	-5.99%	0.002034	-19.51%	0.2533	✓	1.15
2026-06-25	oos	0.002311	0.002158	-6.61%	0.002304	-0.30%	0.0167	✓	1.11
2026-06-24	oos	0.002585	0.002425	-6.17%	0.002315	-10.44%	0.0987	✓	1.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.002713	0.002548	-6.07%	0.001482	-45.37%	0.5815	✓	1.05
2026-06-22	oos	0.003108	0.002945	-5.25%	0.00136	-56.24%	0.8042	✓	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.003271	0.003101	-5.21%	0.001551	-52.58%	0.7431	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.003663	0.00348	-5.01%	0.001198	-67.29%	1.0807	✓	0.95
2026-06-19	oos	0.003814	0.003615	-5.21%	0.001223	-67.93%	1.1023	✓	0.98
2026-06-18	oos	0.004509	0.004176	-7.38%	0.001349	-70.08%	1.1627	✓	1.09
2026-06-17	oos	0.003947	0.003726	-5.59%	0.001424	-63.92%	0.9511	✓	1.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.003759	0.003558	-5.35%	0.001041	-72.31%	1.1909	✓	1.34
2026-06-15	oos	0.003974	0.00374	-5.90%	0.001046	-73.68%	1.2424	✓	1.33
2026-06-14	oos	0.003552	0.003352	-5.63%	0.001158	-67.40%	1.0491	✓	1.25
2026-06-13	oos	0.003566	0.003347	-6.13%	0.001046	-70.67%	1.1197	✓	1.27
2026-06-12	oos	0.003336	0.00313	-6.18%	0.001205	-63.88%	0.9583	✓	1.21
2026-06-11	oos	0.004303	0.003871	-10.04%	0.001323	-69.25%	1.0778	✓	1.26
2026-06-10	oos	0.002921	0.002756	-5.63%	0.001144	-60.84%	0.8976	✓	0.43
2026-06-09	oos	0.002752	0.002619	-4.81%	0.001093	-60.28%	0.8840	✓	0.42
2026-06-08	oos	0.0034	0.003168	-6.82%	0.001003	-70.50%	1.1471	✓	0.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.002709	0.002589	-4.44%	0.001139	-57.95%	0.8211	✓	0.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.002536	0.002473	-2.48%	0.001392	-45.11%	0.5721	✓	-0.05
2026-06-05	oos	0.00276	0.002685	-2.73%	0.001462	-47.03%	0.6060	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.003442	0.00325	-5.57%	0.001537	-55.35%	0.7562	✓	-0.64
2026-06-03	oos	0.003874	0.003628	-6.35%	0.001855	-52.12%	0.6861	✓	-0.64
2026-06-02	oos	0.003912	0.003637	-7.04%	0.001555	-60.25%	0.9036	✓	-0.67
2026-06-01	oos	0.004258	0.003876	-8.98%	0.001815	-57.37%	1.0381	✓	-1.61
2026-05-31	oos	0.00464	0.004196	-9.57%	0.001818	-60.82%	1.3240	✓	-2.13
2026-05-30	oos	0.005079	0.004544	-10.54%	0.002226	-56.17%	1.1508	✓	-2.14
2026-05-29	oos	0.005568	0.004887	-12.23%	0.002274	-59.16%	1.2009	✓	-2.08
2026-05-28	oos	0.005328	0.004694	-11.90%	0.002491	-53.25%	1.0569	✓	-2.07
2026-05-27	oos	0.006092	0.005229	-14.16%	0.002527	-58.52%	1.2151	✓	-2.28
2026-05-26	oos	0.00445	0.003997	-10.17%	0.002311	-48.07%	0.8729	✓	-1.36
2026-05-25	oos	0.00509	0.004545	-10.71%	0.002585	-49.21%	0.9913	✓	-1.81
2026-05-24	oos	0.004153	0.00372	-10.43%	0.002713	-34.67%	0.1096	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.00441	0.003938	-10.70%	0.003108	-29.52%	0.0556	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.004059	0.003616	-10.91%	0.003271	-19.41%	0.0762	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.003775	0.003332	-11.73%	0.003663	-2.97%	0.2832	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.003886	0.003422	-11.93%	0.003814	-1.85%	0.3076	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.004278	0.003789	-11.44%	0.004509	+5.40%	0.3736	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.005165	0.004606	-10.82%	0.003947	-23.58%	0.0228	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.005415	0.004824	-10.92%	0.003759	-30.58%	0.0841	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.00561	0.004995	-10.97%	0.003974	-29.16%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.005628	0.005011	-10.96%	0.003552	-36.89%	0.1591	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.006103	0.005462	-10.50%	0.003566	-41.57%	0.1965	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.005994	0.005324	-11.18%	0.003336	-44.34%	0.2459	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.006296	0.005604	-11.00%	0.004303	-31.66%	0.0281	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.005912	0.005272	-10.82%	0.002921	-50.59%	0.3054	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.005016	0.004433	-11.63%	0.002752	-45.15%	0.1898	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.006054	0.005358	-11.50%	0.0034	-43.84%	0.2087	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.006363	0.005602	-11.96%	0.002709	-57.43%	0.4901	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.008334	0.007026	-15.70%	0.002536	-69.57%	0.7453	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.006596	0.005778	-12.40%	0.00276	-58.16%	0.4504	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.004356	0.003791	-12.98%	0.003442	-20.98%	0.1410	✗	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.004281	0.003706	-13.42%	0.003874	-9.51%	0.2649	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.