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2022-02-22 · +1d

lstm_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1019
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.7%
in alpha space · 88.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CELLCellframeEthereum1.721.7017-1.06%1.7484+1.65%0.0668✗1.53213k2022-02-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1390.137756-0.89%0.144+3.60%0.0717✗1.0551k2022-02-23
API3Api3Ethereum5.9795.9314-0.80%6.357+6.32%0.0786✗0.362.0M2022-02-23
DIADIAEthereum0.890.883148-0.77%1.1+23.60%0.2456✗1.00284k2022-02-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039970.039668-0.76%0.0366-8.43%0.0577✓0.871.7M2022-02-23
NANOnanopayBase1.9641.9502-0.70%1.9093-2.78%0.0109✗1.23210k2022-02-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84815.8104-0.64%6.0975+4.26%0.0580✗0.38412k2022-02-23
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8591.8475-0.62%1.807-2.80%0.0039✓1.0084k2022-02-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78861.7776-0.62%1.7207-3.80%0.0186✓0.532.8M2022-02-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0510030.05069-0.61%0.049178-3.58%0.0026✓1.267.5M2022-02-23
LUNATerraTerra 254.7754.4372-0.61%59.54+8.71%0.1254✗1.374.5M2022-02-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1429.9604-0.60%28.53-5.34%0.0226✓1.011.5M2022-02-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.131021-0.59%0.1206-8.50%0.0489✓1.303.1M2022-02-23
MANADecentralandEthereum2.65332.638-0.58%2.5516-3.83%0.0000✓1.283.3M2022-02-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.2721.2653-0.53%1.1954-6.02%0.0224✓1.322.6M2022-02-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,636.0720,527.18-0.53%20,320.95-1.53%0.0168✗1.035.8M2022-02-23
AVTAventusEthereum2.492.477-0.52%2.35-5.62%0.0266✓1.00639k2022-02-23
FTTFTXEthereum41.5141.296-0.52%40.78-1.76%0.0177✗1.1627.6M2022-02-23
PROPropyEthereum1.831.8209-0.50%1.78-2.73%0.0201✗1.64635k2022-02-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.514.4289-0.49%14.35-1.03%0.0140✗0.751.8M2022-02-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.92222.9081-0.48%2.8418-2.75%0.0030✓1.002.6M2022-02-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49760.495261-0.47%0.4849-2.55%0.0029✓0.92684k2022-02-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125030.012445-0.46%0.01214-2.90%0.0051✗1.1544k2022-02-23
ORCAOrcaSolana2.612.5982-0.45%2.58-1.15%0.0190✗1.00683k2022-02-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010355-0.43%0.01006-3.27%0.0113✗1.552.2M2022-02-23
STXStacksnative1.171.165-0.43%1.13-3.42%0.0040✓1.33746k2022-02-23
BANDBandEthereum3.8743.8586-0.40%3.655-5.65%0.0212✓1.271.9M2022-02-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.4274.1259-0.40%73.5-1.24%0.0306✗1.50106.7M2022-02-23
QTUMQtumQtum6.00725.9835-0.39%5.7401-4.45%0.0030✓1.48153k2022-02-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,333.5038,184.77-0.39%37,524.20-2.11%0.0078✗0.9742k2022-02-23
RADRadworksEthereum5.115.0903-0.38%4.86-4.89%0.0206✓0.99682k2022-02-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4530.451277-0.38%0.4331-4.39%0.0089✗1.922.0M2022-02-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4119.337-0.38%18.81-3.09%0.0128✗1.55334k2022-02-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9430.939492-0.37%0.938-0.53%0.0308✗1.24934k2022-02-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80190.798958-0.37%0.7513-6.31%0.0225✓1.50361k2022-02-23
XMRMoneroMonero150.97150.4255-0.36%149.01-1.30%0.0166✗1.00966k2022-02-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.710.707456-0.36%0.67-5.63%0.0040✓1.941.0M2022-02-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.6261.6203-0.35%1.5861-2.45%0.0079✗1.1275k2022-02-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012370.012327-0.35%0.01223-1.13%0.0117✗0.7515k2022-02-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.9229-0.35%4.68-5.26%0.0300✓0.79415k2022-02-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.748378-0.34%0.7126-5.10%0.0192✓1.149.8M2022-02-23
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1728-0.33%2.12-2.75%0.0069✗1.21324k2022-02-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018930.018869-0.32%0.01876-0.90%0.0238✗1.142.2M2022-02-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1524.1388-0.32%4.135-0.41%0.0214✗0.86395k2022-02-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.8118-0.31%5.76-1.20%0.0139✗0.88430k2022-02-23
DASHDashDash93.5693.2774-0.30%88.28-5.64%0.0246✓1.171.5M2022-02-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2665.2502-0.30%5.181-1.61%0.0075✗0.8065k2022-02-23
TRXTRONTron0.062640.062454-0.30%0.060784-2.96%0.0050✓0.85299k2022-02-23
UMAUMAEthereum5.1565.1408-0.30%4.977-3.47%0.0060✓1.011.8M2022-02-23
XYMSymbolnative0.14840.147962-0.30%0.147-0.94%0.0147✗0.81354k2022-02-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22690.226231-0.29%0.221-2.60%0.0033✗1.031.8M2022-02-23
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001934-0.29%0.0000019-2.06%0.0082✗1.0014.6M2022-02-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07080.070593-0.29%0.0687-2.97%0.0087✗1.381.1M2022-02-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.519.4822-0.29%9.28-2.42%0.0030✓0.71758k2022-02-23
XEMNEMnative0.09870.098412-0.29%0.0943-4.46%0.0159✓1.0337k2022-02-23
CBKCobakEthereum2.012.0042-0.29%2.007-0.15%0.0289✗1.0619k2022-02-23
AAVEAaveEthereum134.74134.3585-0.28%130.67-3.02%0.0098✗1.446.5M2022-02-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02650.026427-0.28%0.0253-4.53%0.0062✓1.43497k2022-02-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.088361-0.27%0.0845-4.63%0.0060✓1.49684k2022-02-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7070.705113-0.27%0.667-5.66%0.0271✓1.091.9M2022-02-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.8424.7751-0.26%25.15+1.25%0.0436✗1.1055.4M2022-02-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9962.9882-0.26%2.878-3.94%0.0132✓0.94481k2022-02-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037930.037833-0.26%0.03744-1.29%0.0187✗1.1232k2022-02-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1551.0198-0.25%48.79-4.61%0.0107✓1.307.8M2022-02-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.9217.8745-0.25%17.29-3.52%0.0030✓1.1622.7M2022-02-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.026710.026643-0.25%0.02593-2.92%0.0069✓0.784.6M2022-02-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.81110.809063-0.25%0.7853-3.18%0.0025✓1.2423.2M2022-02-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.98473.9748-0.25%3.8658-2.98%0.0036✗1.21291k2022-02-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52090.51962-0.25%0.4922-5.51%0.0193✓1.342.3M2022-02-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4283.2177-0.24%82.17-1.50%0.0106✗0.89986k2022-02-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.683910.682263-0.24%0.65943-3.58%0.0053✗1.51269k2022-02-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5433540.542058-0.24%0.526579-3.09%0.0011✓1.153.3M2022-02-23
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2146.1993-0.24%5.858-5.73%0.0469✓0.3829k2022-02-23
ZECZcashZcash102.96102.7186-0.23%97.51-5.29%0.0210✓1.197.6M2022-02-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.131320.13102-0.23%0.127361-3.01%0.0021✓1.013.7M2022-02-23
SCSiacoinnative0.008780.00876-0.23%0.0084-4.33%0.0146✓1.05525k2022-02-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.385.368-0.22%5.27-2.04%0.0044✗0.88398k2022-02-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.252.245-0.22%2.17-3.56%0.0074✓1.02283k2022-02-23
XECeCashnative0.000072220.00007206-0.22%0.00007022-2.77%0.0044✗1.164.5M2022-02-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024950.000024895-0.22%0.00002484-0.44%0.0339✗1.393.7M2022-02-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084580.084397-0.22%0.08287-2.02%0.0107✗1.1148k2022-02-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6932.6872-0.21%2.599-3.49%0.0113✓0.85205k2022-02-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.239486-0.21%0.234-2.50%0.0004✓0.9068k2022-02-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.2450.24448-0.21%0.2396-2.20%0.0101✗1.16469k2022-02-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.17780.177426-0.21%0.1703-4.22%0.0043✓1.413.0M2022-02-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.266.2469-0.21%5.85-6.55%0.0548✓0.421.3M2022-02-23
ETHEthereumEthereum2,637.982,632.58-0.20%2,580.97-2.16%0.0088✗1.10581.4M2022-02-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.927640.925745-0.20%0.90329-2.62%0.0037✗1.09165k2022-02-23
XLMStellarStellar0.185640.185266-0.20%0.181888-2.02%0.0091✗1.0621.8M2022-02-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.96.8863-0.20%6.71-2.75%0.0202✓0.221.3M2022-02-23
XVSVenusEthereum8.668.6429-0.20%8.34-3.70%0.0022✓1.293.2M2022-02-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.6116.5774-0.20%15.97-3.85%0.0027✓1.3329.5M2022-02-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020.019961-0.19%0.01802-9.90%0.0595✓1.6411.1M2022-02-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.1819.1431-0.19%18.43-3.91%0.0058✓1.249.6M2022-02-23
ZENHorizenBase35.2735.2028-0.19%32.84-6.89%0.0285✓1.58335k2022-02-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38230.381575-0.19%0.3536-7.51%0.0393✓1.418.7M2022-02-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86772.8623-0.19%2.7875-2.80%0.0003✓1.002.4M2022-02-23
GTGateEthereum6.19016.1787-0.18%6.1482-0.68%0.0171✗0.853.1M2022-02-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4661.4633-0.18%1.389-5.25%0.0147✓1.44970k2022-02-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9612.9365-0.18%12.71-1.93%0.0091✗1.03392k2022-02-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062480.062369-0.18%0.06016-3.71%0.0148✓0.8180k2022-02-23
KCSKuCoinnative18.9418.9063-0.18%18.749-1.01%0.0226✗1.199.6M2022-02-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.7323.6885-0.17%22.18-6.53%0.0262✓1.521.8M2022-02-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,251.4838,184.68-0.17%37,268.19-2.57%0.0017✗1.00646.5M2022-02-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.691.6871-0.17%1.59-5.92%0.0239✓1.362.0M2022-02-23
COMPCompoundEthereum112.33112.1405-0.17%109.49-2.53%0.0099✗1.3064k2022-02-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06290.062795-0.17%0.0622-1.11%0.0184✗1.0714k2022-02-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.6826.6357-0.17%26.53-0.56%0.0247✗1.105.1M2022-02-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4362.4321-0.16%2.27-6.81%0.0329✓1.39579k2022-02-23
QNTQuantEthereum115.85115.6665-0.16%108.35-6.47%0.0394✓1.006.6M2022-02-23
DODODODOEthereum0.4540.45329-0.16%0.443-2.42%0.0128✗1.374.5M2022-02-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash293.48293.0215-0.16%288.37-1.74%0.0098✗0.997.6M2022-02-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38530.384728-0.15%0.3651-5.24%0.0150✓1.431.4M2022-02-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4231.4209-0.15%1.383-2.81%0.0051✗1.231.1M2022-02-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3722.3686-0.14%2.318-2.28%0.0115✗1.27792k2022-02-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7990.797868-0.14%0.779-2.50%0.0118✗1.372.1M2022-02-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0043.9984-0.14%3.748-6.39%0.0320✓1.262.3M2022-02-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151340.151138-0.13%0.14949-1.22%0.0255✗1.4030k2022-02-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.10872.1059-0.13%2.1538+2.14%0.0457✗0.8928k2022-02-23
MOVRMoonriverBase69.821769.7298-0.13%67.7591-2.95%0.0103✗1.50249k2022-02-23
XVGVergenative0.009630.009617-0.13%0.00938-2.60%0.0088✗1.301.2M2022-02-23
KSMKusamaHydration129.85129.6804-0.13%123.58-4.83%0.0172✓1.19930k2022-02-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.294616-0.13%0.282-4.41%0.0086✓1.352.0M2022-02-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3784-0.11%1.331-3.55%0.0049✓1.161.8M2022-02-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04660.046551-0.10%0.04486-3.73%0.0010✓1.38865k2022-02-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13190.131771-0.10%0.1335+1.21%0.0399✗1.03467k2022-02-23
SOLSolanaSolana86.4386.3569-0.08%84.64-2.07%0.0123✗1.24139.1M2022-02-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin107.51107.4206-0.08%105.41-1.95%0.0128✗1.2229.9M2022-02-23
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.3974-0.08%3.28-3.53%0.0010✗1.397.1M2022-02-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6115.6068-0.08%5.363-4.42%0.0175✓1.04266k2022-02-23
HIVEHivenative0.84660.846038-0.07%0.8185-3.32%0.0075✗1.561.8M2022-02-23
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6561.655-0.06%1.554-6.16%0.0341✓1.113.4M2022-02-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.071959-0.06%0.0693-3.75%0.0078✓1.14185k2022-02-23
UNIUniswapEthereum8.868.8558-0.05%8.75-1.24%0.0224✗1.3211.0M2022-02-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0781.0775-0.05%1.038-3.71%0.0045✓1.262.9M2022-02-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8214.814-0.04%14.24-3.91%0.0038✗1.662.7M2022-02-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3952.394-0.04%2.285-4.59%0.0061✓1.5613.8M2022-02-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.9813.9753-0.03%13.34-4.58%0.0150✓1.2161.5M2022-02-23
ADACardanoCardano0.88810.887818-0.03%0.8664-2.44%0.0053✗1.1497.3M2022-02-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.21630.216252-0.02%0.2039-5.73%0.0186✓1.543.4M2022-02-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.050193-0.01%0.0476-5.18%0.0067✓1.7864.3M2022-02-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8180.817928-0.01%0.9299+13.68%0.1463✗0.691.5M2022-02-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0223480.022349+0.01%0.022758+1.83%0.0465✓1.09101k2022-02-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004520.004521+0.02%0.00444-1.77%0.0314✓1.9012.7M2022-02-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3581.3588+0.06%1.294-4.71%0.0127✗1.391.8M2022-02-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35360.353805+0.06%0.3293-6.87%0.0285✗1.6616.4M2022-02-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.311.3108+0.06%1.19-9.16%0.0635✗1.28968k2022-02-23
XTZTezosTezos3.07123.0736+0.08%2.9331-4.50%0.0132✗1.292.1M2022-02-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.434.4342+0.10%4.23-4.51%0.0183✗1.11471k2022-02-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45850.459914+0.31%0.4391-4.23%0.0087✗1.44586k2022-02-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.