8=======>

2021-12-24 · +1d

lstm_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0829
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
14.0%
in alpha space · 19.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.7996-0.19%16.46+3.98%0.0504✗1.145.0M2021-12-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.4283-0.19%22.12+3.03%0.0427✗1.3169.7M2021-12-25
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.481-0.20%4.5838+2.09%0.0335✗1.295.4M2021-12-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27451.2137-0.23%455.36+0.68%0.0177✗1.0313.7M2021-12-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3850,731.69-0.24%50,428.31-0.83%0.0024✓1.00750.8M2021-12-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6050,592.70-0.24%51,009.40+0.58%0.0164✗0.989,2792021-12-25
QNTQuantEthereum199.57199.0875-0.24%195.44-2.07%0.0106✓0.9412.0M2021-12-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.082633-0.25%0.08801+6.24%0.0731✗1.2121.7M2021-12-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4736.3779-0.25%37.02+1.51%0.0260✗1.0223.1M2021-12-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.088574-0.25%0.0895+0.79%0.0195✗1.0921k2021-12-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.7426-0.27%2.73-0.73%0.0039✗1.024.7M2021-12-25
XMRMoneroMonero204.44203.8897-0.27%211.35+3.38%0.0442✗0.992.7M2021-12-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.5204-0.27%3.55+0.57%0.0166✗0.991.3M2021-12-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35160.9041-0.28%158-2.08%0.0066✓1.3958.6M2021-12-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0145.0001-0.28%5.2814+5.33%0.0661✗1.365.2M2021-12-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.2596-0.28%2.31+1.94%0.0313✗1.113.4M2021-12-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.2601-0.28%5.47+3.70%0.0445✗0.65846k2021-12-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.215591-0.28%0.2174+0.56%0.0156✗0.87776k2021-12-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.023194-0.28%0.023808+2.36%0.0362✗1.202.2M2021-12-25
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.08066-0.29%0.081715+1.02%0.0210✗0.96659k2021-12-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.9096-0.30%34.44+1.26%0.0211✗0.67649k2021-12-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.366898-0.30%0.536+45.65%0.3854✗0.7645k2021-12-25
SOLSolanaSolana190.65190.0778-0.30%193.06+1.26%0.0241✗1.02257.1M2021-12-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.121533-0.30%0.12333+1.17%0.0239✗1.1030k2021-12-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.185753-0.30%0.190748+2.38%0.0358✗1.116.1M2021-12-25
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.631-0.31%3.78+3.79%0.0491✗1.06819k2021-12-25
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2229.4852-0.31%228.44-0.76%0.0046✗1.10239k2021-12-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.059.0217-0.31%9.95+9.94%0.1036✗0.681.0M2021-12-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9914-0.31%4.05+1.15%0.0205✗0.71473k2021-12-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0703-0.32%3.13+1.62%0.0300✗1.293.2M2021-12-25
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.277741-0.32%0.290047+4.10%0.0518✗1.0136.2M2021-12-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.5879-0.32%1.639+2.89%0.0426✗1.315.2M2021-12-25
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.654,036.47-0.33%4,097.43+1.18%0.0237✗1.05768.5M2021-12-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58129.1554-0.33%128.21-1.06%0.0009✓0.993.2M2021-12-25
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.243698-0.33%0.2424-0.86%0.0014✓0.47410k2021-12-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1433-0.33%4.28+2.96%0.0394✗0.83714k2021-12-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8726.7814-0.33%29.79+10.87%0.1137✗0.8640.2M2021-12-25
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.3888-0.33%1.4542+4.36%0.0549✗1.07124.4M2021-12-25
XEMNEMnative0.13590.135438-0.34%0.137+0.81%0.0206✗1.10202k2021-12-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.6514-0.34%9.001+3.69%0.0508✗1.33511k2021-12-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1728.0708-0.35%28.86+2.45%0.0382✗1.2577.3M2021-12-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.092237-0.36%0.10179+9.96%0.1109✗1.484.8M2021-12-25
GTGateEthereum6.31286.29-0.36%6.389+1.21%0.0223✗0.804.6M2021-12-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.05776-0.38%0.05902+1.79%0.0309✗1.1217k2021-12-25
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.4335-0.38%17.47-0.17%0.0130✗1.3114.6M2021-12-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.079.0355-0.38%9.34+2.98%0.0396✗0.78836k2021-12-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2195.199-0.38%5.1706-0.93%0.0008✓0.7529k2021-12-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4237.2754-0.39%38.1+1.82%0.0306✗1.056.1M2021-12-25
KCSKuCoinnative22.8122.7212-0.39%22.92+0.48%0.0228✗1.6821.0M2021-12-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.694278-0.39%0.7199+3.29%0.0469✗1.2814.0M2021-12-25
BANDBandEthereum5.635.6073-0.40%5.75+2.13%0.0351✗1.193.0M2021-12-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.5181-0.41%27.29-1.23%0.0034✓1.4024.1M2021-12-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.7283-0.41%8.05+3.74%0.0461✗0.631.0M2021-12-25
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.126-0.41%3.331+6.12%0.0706✗0.85100k2021-12-25
KSMKusamaHydration288.88287.6656-0.42%293.74+1.68%0.0300✗1.091.5M2021-12-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.137282-0.45%0.1406+1.96%0.0327✗1.06445k2021-12-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.000035977-0.45%0.00003772+4.37%0.0557✗1.002.2M2021-12-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3412.2842-0.45%12.57+1.86%0.0206✗-0.284.9M2021-12-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2811-0.46%1.302+1.17%0.0242✗0.974.1M2021-12-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.5649-0.46%3.5524-0.81%0.0042✓-0.09384k2021-12-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9898-0.46%1.952-2.35%0.0082✓1.317.9M2021-12-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.8075-0.47%4.91+1.66%0.0295✗1.001.5M2021-12-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.1131-0.47%1.1181-0.02%0.0169✗1.492.5M2021-12-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3425.2189-0.48%25.62+1.10%0.0248✗1.072.7M2021-12-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0811.0266-0.48%11.18+0.90%0.0203✗0.771.5M2021-12-25
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.7432-0.50%10.0526+2.66%0.0433✗1.44349k2021-12-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.9729-0.50%9.952-0.71%0.0032✓0.63455k2021-12-25
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748187.2214-0.51%185.5458-1.40%0.0005✓1.14720k2021-12-25
XVGVergenative0.017980.017887-0.52%0.01838+2.22%0.0371✗1.192.8M2021-12-25
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000116691-0.52%0.00011988+2.20%0.0352✗0.9911.7M2021-12-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.6886-0.55%5.88+2.80%0.0424✗1.115.0M2021-12-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.6449-0.57%17.01+1.61%0.0275✗0.691.4M2021-12-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.049159-0.57%0.04956+0.24%0.0158✗0.9112.1M2021-12-25
DASHDashDash149.49148.6373-0.57%150+0.34%0.0197✗1.272.2M2021-12-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62104.023-0.57%109.28+4.45%0.0573✗0.968.8M2021-12-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9234.7179-0.58%39.41+12.86%0.1395✗1.521.3M2021-12-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3776-0.58%1.4098+1.75%0.0321✗1.081.4M2021-12-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.10951-0.59%0.11267+2.28%0.0332✗0.57143k2021-12-25
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.90362-0.59%0.941+3.52%0.0528✗1.479.3M2021-12-25
ZECZcashZcash165.18164.1918-0.60%169.64+2.70%0.0437✗1.3213.6M2021-12-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.38021-0.62%0.3974+3.87%0.0549✗1.276.2M2021-12-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.388-0.63%3.5842+5.13%0.0668✗1.253.4M2021-12-25
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.6007-0.63%4.72+1.94%0.0340✗1.002.5M2021-12-25
UMAUMAEthereum9.569.4993-0.63%9.78+2.30%0.0381✗1.084.1M2021-12-25
FTTFTXEthereum42.6842.4082-0.64%42.74+0.14%0.0166✗1.0621.8M2021-12-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.5591-0.65%2.5192-2.20%0.0058✓1.18152k2021-12-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.2219-0.66%1.27+3.25%0.0470✗1.002.4M2021-12-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.061805-0.66%0.06464+3.89%0.0571✗1.479.5M2021-12-25
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.7781-0.66%11.08+2.12%0.0356✗0.951.6M2021-12-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.077577-0.67%0.0826+5.76%0.0737✗1.312.5M2021-12-25
ZENHorizenBase70.5370.0569-0.67%70.77+0.34%0.0228✗1.511.4M2021-12-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.019587-0.67%0.01996+1.22%0.0238✗0.5960k2021-12-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.8839-0.68%2+5.45%0.0653✗0.668.1M2021-12-25
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.8858-0.68%7.65-3.65%0.0188✓1.3814.9M2021-12-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.107855-0.69%0.1109+2.12%0.0393✗1.373.0M2021-12-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.276-0.69%1.315+2.34%0.0388✗1.0422.8M2021-12-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.7668-0.69%4.292+13.16%0.1389✗1.003.5M2021-12-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.844634-0.70%0.862461+1.39%0.0299✗1.083.7M2021-12-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.215551-0.71%0.2345+8.01%0.0945✗1.236.5M2021-12-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.5647-0.72%1.5748-0.08%0.0154✗1.0734.9M2021-12-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018626-0.72%0.01881+0.27%0.0203✗1.253.2M2021-12-25
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.016391-0.72%0.01675+1.45%0.0295✗0.941.4M2021-12-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.459537-0.73%0.4703+1.60%0.0351✗1.431.2M2021-12-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6332,340.65-0.73%31,196.71-4.24%0.0317✓0.527.0M2021-12-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6875-0.74%1.94+14.12%0.1537✗1.711.5M2021-12-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93114.076-0.74%114.86-0.06%0.0163✗1.13142.8M2021-12-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.195.1512-0.75%5.84+12.52%0.1365✗1.3228.7M2021-12-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.9323-0.75%2.0162+3.56%0.0483✗0.701.3M2021-12-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.3039-0.76%1.3389+1.91%0.0413✗1.761.6M2021-12-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.7408-0.78%5.01+32.89%0.3005✗1.0011.9M2021-12-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.4673-0.78%5.29-3.99%0.0246✓1.006.5M2021-12-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.7371-0.80%1.7241-1.54%0.0008✓1.006.7M2021-12-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.790229-0.80%0.7916-0.63%0.0122✗1.257.7M2021-12-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.03794-0.80%0.037845-1.05%0.0060✓1.0212.1M2021-12-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7245.3466-0.82%46.41+1.51%0.0386✗1.858.8M2021-12-25
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21292.1947-0.82%2.2841+3.22%0.0562✗1.952.1M2021-12-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.624-0.85%6.86+2.68%0.0450✗1.19876k2021-12-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.66722-0.86%0.721+7.13%0.0879✗1.243.0M2021-12-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.201051-0.86%0.2058+1.48%0.0329✗1.144.3M2021-12-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.212973-0.86%0.21629+0.68%0.0290✗1.6224k2021-12-25
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.5091-0.87%3.59+1.41%0.0313✗1.02807k2021-12-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.7685-0.88%3.134+12.21%0.1322✗0.982.2M2021-12-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.298865-0.91%0.3183+5.54%0.0737✗1.286.2M2021-12-25
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33267.7537-0.95%263.91-2.37%0.0055✓1.0711.4M2021-12-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.40226-0.97%0.4176+2.81%0.0501✗1.524.4M2021-12-25
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.1769-1.02%1.1799-0.77%0.0109✗1.00190k2021-12-25
HIVEHivenative1.5931.5762-1.06%1.6509+3.63%0.0573✗1.3210.4M2021-12-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1111.9818-1.06%13.23+9.25%0.1036✗0.532.7M2021-12-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.021658-1.15%0.02284+4.24%0.0615✗1.0039.8M2021-12-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.356916-1.16%0.3659+1.33%0.0324✗0.91388k2021-12-25
MANADecentralandEthereum3.53.4583-1.19%3.7481+7.09%0.0878✗0.889.0M2021-12-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.750287-1.23%0.7869+3.59%0.0584✗1.285.1M2021-12-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1543.6074-1.23%44.57+0.95%0.0362✗1.714.7M2021-12-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.752825-1.23%0.7354-3.52%0.0087✓1.7614.6M2021-12-25
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61115.3859-1.44%16.057+2.86%0.0420✗-0.08133k2021-12-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.715.4329-1.70%16.15+2.87%0.0452✗-0.024.8M2021-12-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.