XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s6

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +30d

assessed

285

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

60.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1837

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0280

actual -0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.076329	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.075438	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.073627	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.074038	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.075977	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.079729	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.0823	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.077359	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.079725	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.077613	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.084858	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.083905	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.081508	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.080825	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.084523	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.08681	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.091596	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.093228	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.092625	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.090542	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.093225	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.091879	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.092846	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.095176	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.102496	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.106996	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.108218	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.105249	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.087577	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.093755	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.095207	-2.84%	0.07959	-18.78%	0.1070	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.086113	-3.50%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.1290	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.08852	-3.98%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1592	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.089604	-4.49%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1763	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.083585	-4.39%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1572	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.078075	-3.58%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0451	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.078893	-3.65%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0499	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.081048	-3.42%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0729	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.075163	-3.38%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0191	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.077757	-2.88%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0468	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.080728	-2.12%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0254	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.082359	-2.06%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0586	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.087838	-1.51%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.1136	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.096266	-2.11%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.2033	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.091931	-1.09%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1315	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089381	-0.22%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.0997	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093511	+0.42%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.1053	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.09445	+1.34%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.1167	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.098682	+2.29%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.1007	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.084555	+1.53%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0599	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.084496	+2.25%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0360	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.086355	+2.96%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0056	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.086681	+3.08%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0157	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.090435	+4.10%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0125	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.088806	+5.02%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0570	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.09727	+7.83%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.0623	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.094498	+7.73%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1017	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.097684	+7.97%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0229	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.105533	+8.38%	0.09	-7.57%	0.2538	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.107287	+5.56%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2556	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.10071	+7.46%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1936	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.109325	+7.60%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.2527	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.089268	+0.45%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.1096	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.079664	-0.93%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0408	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.074223	-2.20%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0701	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.074316	-2.32%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1522	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.072827	-2.67%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1513	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.073735	-2.78%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1836	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.074176	-2.86%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.2420	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.073278	-2.76%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.2009	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071957	-2.66%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1587	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.076239	-2.91%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1796	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.076437	-2.85%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.1481	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.074705	-2.49%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0161	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.074237	-2.43%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0781	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.074076	-2.22%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.1342	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.073258	-2.43%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0871	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.073129	-2.46%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0749	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.075388	-3.22%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.1074	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.074662	-3.76%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1891	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.073533	-3.25%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1848	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.072855	-3.05%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1963	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.071485	-2.81%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1557	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.076144	-2.44%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.1490	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.075128	-2.62%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1678	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.081036	-3.01%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.2241	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.07655	-2.92%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1752	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.082791	-2.88%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1709	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.080873	-2.86%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.1049	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.082164	-2.94%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0593	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.078971	-2.69%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0720	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.082809	-2.46%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0374	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.081824	-2.18%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0504	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.082843	-2.59%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.1163	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.078286	-2.63%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0311	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.080667	-2.46%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0518	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.082965	-2.62%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0798	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.08405	-2.72%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0853	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.089236	-3.00%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.1192	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.09026	-3.15%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1475	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.086258	-3.62%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1793	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.085887	-3.34%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0850	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.087915	-3.28%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.1142	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.088842	-3.27%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1652	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.092122	-3.44%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.2334	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.087848	-3.36%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.2134	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.095322	-3.52%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2613	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.104736	-4.09%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3485	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.102293	-4.09%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2837	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.102129	-4.19%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2841	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.101986	-4.42%	0.076	-28.77%	0.3179	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.091417	-3.87%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.2268	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.087383	-3.76%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2417	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.083518	-3.56%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.2092	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.100015	-4.66%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.3368	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.091934	-4.04%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1856	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.096872	-3.94%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2826	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.09943	-4.12%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2616	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.100174	-4.51%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2790	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.088601	-3.70%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.1132	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.085749	-3.44%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.1093	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.082258	-3.06%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0171	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.086523	-3.00%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.1099	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.091451	-3.02%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0952	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.097673	-3.10%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.2231	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.094935	-2.93%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1830	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.107392	-4.63%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.2193	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.088803	-2.74%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0169	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.087573	-2.86%	0.092	+2.05%	0.0872	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.087069	-2.83%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.0856	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.08452	-2.85%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1145	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.079945	-3.21%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1005	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.073739	-2.20%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2039	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.060449	-1.23%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3552	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.065424	-1.02%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3418	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069329	-0.96%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.2903	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.06871	-0.85%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.3627	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065329	-0.26%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4414	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.066994	-0.01%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4066	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.082696	-2.02%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.2679	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.090238	-3.90%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2004	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.083667	-2.94%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.2467	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.089207	-4.08%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.2501	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.086059	-3.41%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3255	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.08764	-3.69%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.4660	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.085385	-3.74%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4109	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.089966	-5.80%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4080	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.082111	-3.51%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.5494	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.084687	-3.87%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.5710	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.083076	-3.46%	0.092	+6.91%	0.4910	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.078826	-3.04%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.4566	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.081548	-3.26%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3271	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.07954	-3.24%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.3962	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.086218	-3.88%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.3849	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.083886	-3.80%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.4957	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.078627	-3.70%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5287	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.080796	-3.53%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6086	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.080812	-3.33%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.3822	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.083785	-3.36%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3309	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.085999	-3.37%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3335	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.093108	-3.36%	0.087	-9.70%	0.2923	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.090483	-3.95%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.2568	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.092429	-3.77%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.1568	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.098392	-3.91%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0527	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.10275	-4.29%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0177	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.101008	-4.89%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0024	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.10346	-6.12%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0523	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.100856	-5.39%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0318	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.096296	-3.75%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0037	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.089568	-3.22%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2374	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.085601	-3.17%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.3629	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.086247	-3.85%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2049	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.087475	-3.45%	0.093	+2.65%	0.1842	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.087951	-3.46%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.0901	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.08827	-3.21%	0.091	-0.22%	0.0747	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.090194	-3.07%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0253	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.092627	-3.61%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.0812	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.094702	-3.76%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0525	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.097026	-3.65%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0462	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.096557	-3.59%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.1081	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.096889	-3.16%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1667	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.098268	-2.75%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.1241	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.099091	-2.61%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.1370	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.099566	-2.96%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.1261	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.101427	-3.03%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1806	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.100244	-3.47%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.2612	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.105922	-3.13%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.2574	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.123707	-2.90%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3975	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.135867	-3.50%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.5051	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.126543	-3.44%	0.089	-32.09%	0.4315	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.129286	-3.52%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.4246	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.134869	-3.67%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.4510	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.118737	-4.44%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3961	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.130934	-4.22%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.4030	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.124563	-4.44%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.3156	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.117383	-4.68%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.2628	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.118168	-5.24%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.2386	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.122827	-5.74%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2908	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.112417	-6.40%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3548	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.113383	-6.80%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.4292	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.109093	-7.04%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4506	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.103131	-6.50%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3619	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.106305	-10.74%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3865	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.099203	-6.41%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2853	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.088397	-4.80%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.1311	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.083992	-4.93%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0806	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.082494	-4.52%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0583	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.0849	-4.23%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0747	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.086115	-3.51%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0895	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.090461	-3.41%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0749	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.097189	-3.29%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0911	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.094502	-3.27%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0838	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.093581	-3.07%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0590	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.087986	-3.36%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0173	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.089644	-3.30%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0151	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.091473	-2.95%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0602	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.095981	-3.05%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0138	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.105119	-3.07%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.0766	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.114794	-3.17%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.1803	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.11945	-3.51%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.0937	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.104442	-2.80%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2233	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.106822	-3.11%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2066	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.105108	-2.99%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1712	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.103354	-2.95%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2282	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.096939	-2.67%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2394	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.096451	-2.72%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2067	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.088497	-2.75%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.2883	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.090312	-2.94%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2383	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.092214	-2.73%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2293	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.096227	-2.51%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2152	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.115482	-2.92%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.0894	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.111371	-2.48%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1091	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.111437	-3.68%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.0991	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.101664	-2.81%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0578	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.094826	-2.84%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0769	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.098916	-2.93%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.1077	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.089448	-2.46%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0369	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.092354	-2.37%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0147	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.100149	-3.14%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0787	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.084913	-2.51%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0023	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.084918	-2.39%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0291	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.087365	-2.44%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0509	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.093983	-2.81%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0336	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.092512	-2.77%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0130	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.09107	-2.76%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0234	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.089834	-2.72%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0378	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.093774	-2.93%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0030	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.098734	-3.39%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0451	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.093526	-2.78%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1344	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.098811	-3.32%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1254	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.094599	-2.78%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0474	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.08986	-2.17%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1017	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.08017	-1.75%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2203	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.079484	-1.93%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2569	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.082124	-1.82%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.1908	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.081599	-1.21%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2014	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.083364	-0.52%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1048	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.083622	-0.15%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2042	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.079825	+1.17%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0531	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.093752	-1.16%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2034	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.093858	-1.31%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.3867	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.101753	-2.11%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.2978	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.099791	-1.49%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4231	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.104317	-1.87%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3146	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.118236	-3.76%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.3983	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.12059	-4.07%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.3895	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.135305	-6.69%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3254	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.130034	-6.04%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3366	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.119247	-4.49%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.4560	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.113941	-3.93%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4166	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.122935	-4.78%	0.087	-32.61%	0.3761	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.119211	-4.17%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.3483	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.118121	-3.85%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4225	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.121295	-3.73%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.3770	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.116283	-3.58%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4042	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.128682	-3.83%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4256	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.126466	-3.75%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.4974	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.135577	-3.44%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.4625	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.140175	-3.13%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.3785	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.138543	-2.98%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4210	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.156648	-3.18%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.2713	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.156372	-3.29%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.2796	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.148155	-3.36%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.1570	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.158867	-3.42%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0169	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.155731	-3.27%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0065	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.163804	-3.19%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0608	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.160068	-3.05%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0346	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.173197	-3.08%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0897	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.202367	-3.27%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0866	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.184134	-2.99%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.1183	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.186601	-3.11%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.2128	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.1923	-3.27%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.2603	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.188732	-3.51%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.2273	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.165769	-3.06%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1672	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.156368	-3.00%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.2018	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.158922	-2.98%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1896	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.153454	-3.00%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0799	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.150649	-3.06%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0988	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.148451	-3.04%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1782	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.136103	-2.61%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.1292	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.13003	-2.38%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.129843	-2.37%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0639	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.126863	-2.34%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0551	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.125541	-2.23%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.126422	-2.23%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0434	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.133584	-2.49%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.12797	-2.46%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0345	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.116357	-2.47%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.0808	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.122294	-2.36%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.0658	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.130192	-2.44%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.13218	-2.27%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.0871	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.147298	-2.81%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0147	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.151632	-2.92%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.144137	-2.87%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1256	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.158456	-2.94%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0396	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.