XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s6

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +1d

assessed

314

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0393

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0024

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.079338	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.07804	-0.24%	0.07959	+1.74%	0.0244	✗	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.076186	-0.20%	0.078225	+2.48%	0.0047	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.076575	-0.19%	0.076335	-0.50%	0.0002	✓	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.078517	-0.19%	0.07672	-2.47%	0.0355	✓	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.082503	-0.27%	0.078665	-4.91%	0.0453	✓	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.085348	-0.40%	0.08273	-3.45%	0.0190	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.080131	-0.16%	0.08569	+6.77%	0.0563	✗	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.082507	-0.19%	0.08026	-2.90%	0.0023	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.080379	-0.14%	0.08266	+2.70%	0.0016	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.088174	-0.26%	0.08049	-8.95%	0.0551	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.087118	-0.23%	0.088405	+1.24%	0.0008	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.084465	-0.18%	0.08732	+3.20%	0.0266	✗	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.083632	-0.13%	0.084615	+1.04%	0.0039	✓	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.087456	-0.16%	0.08374	-4.40%	0.0150	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.089658	-0.16%	0.087595	-2.46%	0.0171	✗	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.094632	-0.19%	0.0898	-5.28%	0.0487	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.096141	-0.18%	0.09481	-1.56%	0.0002	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.095484	-0.18%	0.096315	+0.69%	0.0237	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.093157	-0.18%	0.095655	+2.50%	0.0221	✗	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.095984	-0.17%	0.09332	-2.94%	0.0218	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.094702	-0.17%	0.09615	+1.36%	0.0094	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.095566	-0.21%	0.09486	-0.95%	0.0058	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.097987	-0.30%	0.095765	-2.56%	0.0265	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.10554	-0.52%	0.09828	-7.36%	0.0508	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.110464	-0.90%	0.10609	-4.82%	0.0413	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.112693	-1.69%	0.111465	-2.76%	0.0176	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.109689	-1.05%	0.11463	+3.41%	0.0501	✗	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.08977	-0.26%	0.11085	+23.17%	0.2108	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.096024	-0.36%	0.09	-6.61%	0.0299	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.097416	-0.59%	0.096375	-1.65%	0.0035	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.088917	-0.36%	0.09799	+9.81%	0.0012	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.091781	-0.44%	0.089235	-3.20%	0.0268	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.093282	-0.57%	0.092185	-1.74%	0.0185	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.087079	-0.39%	0.093815	+7.32%	0.0126	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080882	-0.11%	0.08742	+7.96%	0.0737	✗	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081788	-0.11%	0.080975	-1.11%	0.0218	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083827	-0.10%	0.08188	-2.43%	0.0266	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077847	+0.07%	0.083915	+7.87%	0.0494	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080161	+0.13%	0.077795	-2.83%	0.0213	✗	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082663	+0.22%	0.08006	-2.93%	0.0330	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084278	+0.22%	0.08248	-1.91%	0.0344	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089411	+0.25%	0.08409	-5.71%	0.0289	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098347	+0.01%	0.089185	-9.31%	0.0945	✗	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.093246	+0.33%	0.09834	+5.81%	0.0664	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.09003	+0.50%	0.09294	+3.75%	0.0578	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093622	+0.54%	0.08958	-3.80%	0.0547	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093768	+0.61%	0.09312	-0.09%	0.0102	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.09712	+0.67%	0.0932	-3.39%	0.0084	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083825	+0.65%	0.09647	+15.84%	0.0516	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.083203	+0.68%	0.08328	+0.77%	0.0031	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.084462	+0.71%	0.08264	-1.47%	0.0023	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.084636	+0.65%	0.08387	-0.26%	0.0270	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.087404	+0.61%	0.08409	-3.20%	0.0278	✗	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.085012	+0.53%	0.08687	+2.73%	0.0141	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.090616	+0.45%	0.084565	-6.26%	0.0238	✗	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.088024	+0.35%	0.09021	+2.84%	0.0015	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090643	+0.19%	0.08772	-3.04%	0.0419	✗	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097389	+0.02%	0.09047	-7.09%	0.0654	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101369	-0.27%	0.09737	-4.20%	0.0632	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093294	-0.45%	0.10164	+8.45%	0.0733	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.100952	-0.64%	0.09372	-7.76%	0.0515	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.088436	-0.49%	0.1016	+14.32%	0.0454	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.08015	-0.32%	0.08887	+10.52%	0.0343	✗	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.07562	-0.36%	0.08041	+5.96%	0.0358	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.075893	-0.25%	0.07589	-0.25%	0.0046	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.074584	-0.32%	0.07608	+1.68%	0.0176	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.075671	-0.22%	0.074825	-1.34%	0.0070	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.076166	-0.25%	0.07584	-0.68%	0.0053	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.07521	-0.19%	0.07636	+1.33%	0.0256	✗	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.073782	-0.19%	0.075355	+1.94%	0.0208	✗	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.078313	-0.27%	0.07392	-5.86%	0.0549	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.078439	-0.31%	0.078525	-0.20%	0.0100	✗	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.076459	-0.20%	0.07868	+2.70%	0.0509	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.075928	-0.21%	0.07661	+0.69%	0.0104	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.075558	-0.26%	0.076085	+0.44%	0.0066	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.074867	-0.28%	0.075755	+0.90%	0.0028	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.074778	-0.26%	0.07508	+0.15%	0.0119	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.077692	-0.26%	0.07497	-3.76%	0.0484	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.077366	-0.28%	0.077895	+0.41%	0.0070	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.07585	-0.20%	0.07758	+2.08%	0.0233	✗	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.075041	-0.14%	0.076	+1.13%	0.0048	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.073482	-0.09%	0.07515	+2.18%	0.0239	✗	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.077946	-0.13%	0.07355	-5.77%	0.0140	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.077059	-0.12%	0.07805	+1.17%	0.0058	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.083371	-0.21%	0.07715	-7.66%	0.0787	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.07874	-0.14%	0.08355	+5.96%	0.0558	✗	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.085076	-0.20%	0.07885	-7.51%	0.0400	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.083102	-0.18%	0.08525	+2.40%	0.0027	✗	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.084482	-0.20%	0.08325	-1.65%	0.0193	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.081031	-0.15%	0.08465	+4.31%	0.0652	✗	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.084763	-0.16%	0.08115	-4.42%	0.0211	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.083534	-0.14%	0.0849	+1.49%	0.0255	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084903	-0.17%	0.08365	-1.65%	0.0430	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.080302	-0.12%	0.08505	+5.78%	0.0460	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.082605	-0.11%	0.0804	-2.78%	0.0246	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.085083	-0.14%	0.0827	-2.93%	0.0481	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.086266	-0.15%	0.0852	-1.39%	0.0153	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.091801	-0.22%	0.0864	-6.09%	0.0409	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092965	-0.25%	0.092	-1.29%	0.0048	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.089305	-0.22%	0.0932	+4.13%	0.0158	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.088676	-0.20%	0.0895	+0.73%	0.0420	✗	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.090729	-0.19%	0.08885	-2.26%	0.0202	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.091673	-0.19%	0.0909	-1.03%	0.0000	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.095193	-0.22%	0.09185	-3.72%	0.0591	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.090727	-0.19%	0.0954	+4.95%	0.0269	✗	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.098493	-0.31%	0.0909	-8.00%	0.0538	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.108657	-0.50%	0.0988	-9.52%	0.0790	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.106235	-0.39%	0.1092	+2.39%	0.0175	✗	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.106131	-0.44%	0.10665	+0.05%	0.0071	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.106125	-0.54%	0.1066	-0.09%	0.0094	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.094814	-0.30%	0.1067	+12.20%	0.0931	✗	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.090599	-0.22%	0.0951	+4.74%	0.0112	✗	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.086473	-0.15%	0.0908	+4.85%	0.0147	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.104458	-0.42%	0.0866	-17.45%	0.1520	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.095541	-0.27%	0.1049	+9.50%	0.0789	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.100517	-0.33%	0.0958	-5.01%	0.0383	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.103198	-0.48%	0.10085	-2.75%	0.0216	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.104258	-0.61%	0.1037	-1.14%	0.0117	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.09182	-0.20%	0.1049	+14.02%	0.1621	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.088673	-0.14%	0.092	+3.60%	0.0755	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.084773	-0.09%	0.0888	+4.66%	0.0770	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.089102	-0.11%	0.08485	-4.88%	0.0658	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.094137	-0.17%	0.0892	-5.41%	0.0309	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.100482	-0.32%	0.0943	-6.45%	0.0812	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.097362	-0.45%	0.1008	+3.07%	0.0206	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.110787	-1.61%	0.0978	-13.14%	0.0899	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.09078	-0.57%	0.1126	+23.33%	0.2434	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.089484	-0.74%	0.0913	+1.28%	0.0360	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.089103	-0.55%	0.09015	+0.61%	0.0021	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.086331	-0.77%	0.0896	+2.99%	0.0043	✓	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.08151	-1.32%	0.087	+5.33%	0.0425	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.075049	-0.47%	0.0826	+9.55%	0.0965	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061429	+0.37%	0.0754	+23.20%	0.1548	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.066301	+0.30%	0.0612	-7.41%	0.0743	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.07011	+0.16%	0.0661	-5.57%	0.0264	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.06945	+0.22%	0.07	+1.01%	0.0136	✓	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065834	+0.51%	0.0693	+5.80%	0.0053	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.067323	+0.48%	0.0655	-2.24%	0.0232	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.084087	-0.37%	0.067	-20.62%	0.1725	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.092984	-0.98%	0.0844	-10.12%	0.0919	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.085975	-0.26%	0.0939	+8.93%	0.1470	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.092485	-0.55%	0.0862	-7.31%	0.0201	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.088794	-0.34%	0.093	+4.38%	0.0898	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.090445	-0.61%	0.0891	-2.09%	0.0113	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.088001	-0.79%	0.091	+2.59%	0.0258	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.094267	-1.29%	0.0887	-7.12%	0.0580	✓	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.084847	-0.30%	0.0955	+12.22%	0.1343	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.08779	-0.35%	0.0851	-3.41%	0.0011	✓	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.085799	-0.29%	0.0881	+2.38%	0.0571	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.081116	-0.23%	0.08605	+5.84%	0.0532	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.084023	-0.33%	0.0813	-3.56%	0.0397	✓	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.082037	-0.20%	0.0843	+2.55%	0.0019	✓	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.08932	-0.42%	0.0822	-8.36%	0.0400	✓	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.086895	-0.35%	0.0897	+2.87%	0.0303	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.081494	-0.19%	0.0872	+6.80%	0.0534	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.083599	-0.18%	0.08165	-2.51%	0.0200	✓	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.08347	-0.16%	0.08375	+0.18%	0.0128	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.086542	-0.18%	0.0836	-3.58%	0.0205	✓	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.088817	-0.21%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0050	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.096085	-0.27%	0.089	-7.63%	0.0371	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.093932	-0.28%	0.09635	+2.28%	0.0097	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.095779	-0.28%	0.0942	-1.93%	0.0062	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.102045	-0.35%	0.09605	-6.20%	0.0379	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.106864	-0.45%	0.1024	-4.61%	0.0342	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.105559	-0.60%	0.10735	+1.08%	0.0113	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.109068	-1.03%	0.1062	-3.63%	0.0352	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.105899	-0.66%	0.1102	+3.38%	0.0365	✗	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.099683	-0.37%	0.1066	+6.55%	0.0896	✗	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.092336	-0.23%	0.10005	+8.10%	0.0721	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.088242	-0.18%	0.09255	+4.69%	0.0316	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.089489	-0.24%	0.0884	-1.45%	0.0327	✓	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.090425	-0.19%	0.0897	-0.99%	0.0061	✓	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.090927	-0.19%	0.0906	-0.55%	0.0108	✓	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.091076	-0.14%	0.0911	-0.11%	0.0324	✓	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.092931	-0.13%	0.0912	-1.99%	0.0284	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.095916	-0.19%	0.09305	-3.17%	0.0203	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.098172	-0.23%	0.0961	-2.34%	0.0029	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.100457	-0.24%	0.0984	-2.28%	0.0022	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.099926	-0.22%	0.1007	+0.55%	0.0103	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.099893	-0.16%	0.10015	+0.10%	0.0008	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.100932	-0.12%	0.10005	-0.99%	0.0058	✗	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.101637	-0.11%	0.10105	-0.69%	0.0071	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.102462	-0.13%	0.10175	-0.83%	0.0406	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.104421	-0.17%	0.1026	-1.91%	0.0265	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.103706	-0.14%	0.1046	+0.72%	0.0305	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.109185	-0.15%	0.10385	-5.03%	0.0136	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.127048	-0.28%	0.10935	-14.17%	0.1249	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.140107	-0.49%	0.1274	-9.52%	0.1320	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.130693	-0.27%	0.1408	+7.44%	0.0682	✗	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.133478	-0.39%	0.13105	-2.20%	0.0313	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.139244	-0.54%	0.134	-4.29%	0.0331	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.123703	-0.44%	0.14	+12.68%	0.0511	✗	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.135783	-0.67%	0.12425	-9.11%	0.0432	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.129357	-0.76%	0.1367	+4.87%	0.0535	✗	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.122426	-0.59%	0.13035	+5.85%	0.0395	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.123855	-0.68%	0.12315	-1.24%	0.0197	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.129085	-0.93%	0.1247	-4.30%	0.0184	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.118882	-1.01%	0.1303	+8.49%	0.0301	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.12043	-1.00%	0.1201	-1.27%	0.0004	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.116022	-1.13%	0.12165	+3.66%	0.0121	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.108803	-1.36%	0.11735	+6.39%	0.0687	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.115473	-3.05%	0.1103	-7.39%	0.0472	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.105059	-0.89%	0.1191	+12.36%	0.1515	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.092507	-0.37%	0.106	+14.16%	0.1385	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.088085	-0.30%	0.09285	+5.09%	0.0209	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.086224	-0.20%	0.08835	+2.26%	0.0074	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.088473	-0.20%	0.0864	-2.54%	0.0158	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.089155	-0.11%	0.08865	-0.67%	0.0050	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.093492	-0.17%	0.08925	-4.70%	0.0056	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.100271	-0.23%	0.09365	-6.82%	0.0159	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.097501	-0.20%	0.1005	+2.87%	0.0146	✗	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.09638	-0.18%	0.0977	+1.19%	0.0206	✗	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.090936	-0.12%	0.09655	+6.04%	0.0033	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.092571	-0.14%	0.09105	-1.78%	0.0060	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.094145	-0.11%	0.0927	-1.64%	0.0175	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098863	-0.14%	0.09425	-4.80%	0.0598	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.108225	-0.21%	0.099	-8.71%	0.0616	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.118132	-0.35%	0.10845	-8.52%	0.0317	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.123195	-0.49%	0.11855	-4.24%	0.0198	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.107238	-0.20%	0.1238	+15.22%	0.1043	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.109974	-0.25%	0.10745	-2.54%	0.0553	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.108066	-0.26%	0.11025	+1.75%	0.0142	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.106236	-0.25%	0.10835	+1.74%	0.0113	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.099411	-0.19%	0.1065	+6.93%	0.0622	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.098957	-0.19%	0.0996	+0.45%	0.0014	✓	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.090898	-0.11%	0.09915	+8.96%	0.0552	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092945	-0.11%	0.091	-2.20%	0.0757	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094682	-0.12%	0.09305	-1.85%	0.0114	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098529	-0.17%	0.0948	-3.95%	0.0202	✓	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.118426	-0.44%	0.0987	-17.02%	0.1258	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.113594	-0.53%	0.11895	+4.16%	0.0823	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.114707	-0.86%	0.1142	-1.30%	0.0988	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.104229	-0.35%	0.1157	+10.61%	0.1154	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097385	-0.22%	0.1046	+7.17%	0.0021	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.101577	-0.32%	0.0976	-4.22%	0.0125	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091526	-0.19%	0.1019	+11.12%	0.0824	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094322	-0.29%	0.0917	-3.07%	0.0085	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.102776	-0.60%	0.0946	-8.51%	0.0718	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.087013	-0.10%	0.1034	+18.71%	0.0884	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086914	-0.10%	0.0871	+0.11%	0.0144	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089433	-0.13%	0.087	-2.85%	0.0377	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.096499	-0.21%	0.08955	-7.39%	0.0676	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.094962	-0.20%	0.0967	+1.63%	0.0187	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093485	-0.18%	0.09515	+1.60%	0.0039	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.092213	-0.15%	0.09365	+1.41%	0.0035	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.096393	-0.21%	0.09235	-4.40%	0.0204	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.101833	-0.36%	0.0966	-5.48%	0.0236	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.09599	-0.22%	0.1022	+6.24%	0.0613	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.101757	-0.43%	0.0962	-5.87%	0.0358	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.096951	-0.36%	0.1022	+5.04%	0.0329	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.091733	-0.13%	0.0973	+5.93%	0.0047	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081868	+0.33%	0.09185	+12.56%	0.1325	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081325	+0.34%	0.0816	+0.68%	0.0411	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.08394	+0.35%	0.08105	-3.11%	0.0081	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.08298	+0.46%	0.08365	+1.27%	0.0117	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.084272	+0.56%	0.0826	-1.43%	0.0415	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.084261	+0.61%	0.0838	+0.06%	0.0213	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.079457	+0.71%	0.08375	+6.15%	0.1482	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.095324	+0.50%	0.0789	-16.82%	0.1410	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.095553	+0.48%	0.09485	-0.26%	0.0750	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.104201	+0.24%	0.0951	-8.51%	0.0016	✓	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.101747	+0.44%	0.10395	+2.62%	0.0317	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.106658	+0.34%	0.1013	-4.70%	0.0012	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.122574	-0.22%	0.1063	-13.47%	0.0187	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.125322	-0.30%	0.12285	-2.27%	0.0085	✓	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.143598	-0.97%	0.1257	-13.31%	0.0068	✓	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.137268	-0.82%	0.145	+4.77%	0.0536	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.124555	-0.24%	0.1384	+10.85%	0.0830	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.118575	-0.02%	0.12485	+5.27%	0.0076	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.128751	-0.27%	0.1186	-8.13%	0.0176	✓	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.12423	-0.14%	0.1291	+3.78%	0.0484	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.122778	-0.06%	0.1244	+1.26%	0.0128	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.125915	-0.07%	0.12285	-2.50%	0.0272	✓	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.12067	+0.06%	0.126	+4.48%	0.0166	✓	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.133578	-0.17%	0.1206	-9.87%	0.0050	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.131201	-0.15%	0.1338	+1.83%	0.0466	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.14017	-0.16%	0.1314	-6.41%	0.0285	✓	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.144517	-0.13%	0.1404	-2.97%	0.0194	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.142663	-0.10%	0.1447	+1.33%	0.0162	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.161505	-0.18%	0.1428	-11.74%	0.0921	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.161418	-0.17%	0.1618	+0.06%	0.0339	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.15312	-0.12%	0.1617	+5.48%	0.0556	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.164261	-0.15%	0.1533	-6.81%	0.0777	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.160825	-0.11%	0.1645	+2.17%	0.0090	✗	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.168993	-0.12%	0.161	-4.85%	0.0446	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.164923	-0.11%	0.1692	+2.48%	0.0396	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.178381	-0.18%	0.1651	-7.61%	0.0705	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.208333	-0.41%	0.1787	-14.58%	0.0970	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.189337	-0.24%	0.2092	+10.22%	0.1032	✗	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.191977	-0.32%	0.1898	-1.45%	0.0736	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.197902	-0.45%	0.1926	-3.12%	0.0519	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.194222	-0.70%	0.1988	+1.64%	0.0054	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.170341	-0.39%	0.1956	+14.39%	0.1069	✗	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.16063	-0.35%	0.171	+6.08%	0.0485	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.163247	-0.34%	0.1612	-1.59%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.157291	-0.57%	0.1638	+3.54%	0.0259	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.154408	-0.64%	0.1582	+1.80%	0.0330	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.152419	-0.45%	0.1554	+1.50%	0.0186	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.139378	-0.27%	0.1531	+9.55%	0.0881	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.13289	-0.23%	0.13975	+4.92%	0.0489	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.132645	-0.27%	0.1332	+0.15%	0.0092	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.129719	-0.14%	0.133	+2.39%	0.0229	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.128244	-0.12%	0.1299	+1.17%	0.0256	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.129128	-0.13%	0.1284	-0.70%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.136669	-0.24%	0.1293	-5.62%	0.0590	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.131002	-0.15%	0.137	+4.42%	0.0421	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119489	+0.16%	0.1312	+9.97%	0.0632	✓	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.125347	+0.08%	0.1193	-4.75%	0.0407	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.133392	-0.04%	0.12525	-6.14%	0.0441	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.135241	-0.01%	0.13345	-1.33%	0.0298	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.151304	-0.16%	0.13525	-10.76%	0.0921	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.155898	-0.19%	0.15155	-2.98%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.148254	-0.10%	0.1562	+5.26%	0.0525	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.16294	-0.19%	0.1484	-9.10%	0.0687	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.