XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s6

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +7d

assessed

113

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

55.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1781

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0185

actual -0.0467

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004235	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004219	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004239	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004178	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004383	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004404	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004439	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004215	-2.87%	0.004362	+0.52%	0.0385	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004058	-2.58%	0.00434	+4.19%	0.0666	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.004015	-2.56%	0.004365	+5.95%	0.0841	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003922	-2.25%	0.0043	+7.15%	0.0906	✗	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.00395	-2.32%	0.004521	+11.81%	0.1350	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003957	-2.31%	0.004544	+12.18%	0.1381	✗	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003833	-2.16%	0.004581	+16.92%	0.1784	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.00405	-2.24%	0.004339	+4.75%	0.0668	✗	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.004045	-1.83%	0.004166	+1.11%	0.0294	✗	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.004009	-1.67%	0.00412	+1.05%	0.0257	✗	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004342	-2.04%	0.004012	-9.48%	0.0832	✓	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.00376	-1.48%	0.004044	+5.94%	0.0682	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004852	-2.73%	0.004051	-18.79%	0.1850	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004883	-2.68%	0.003918	-21.90%	0.2265	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004875	-2.75%	0.004142	-17.37%	0.1647	✓	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004175	-2.18%	0.00412	-3.46%	0.0007	✓	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004433	-2.40%	0.004078	-10.21%	0.0691	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004355	-2.23%	0.004432	-0.50%	0.0272	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004509	-2.34%	0.003817	-17.32%	0.1650	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004613	-2.43%	0.004988	+5.50%	0.0802	✗	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004974	-2.77%	0.005017	-1.93%	0.0109	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004341	-2.14%	0.005013	+13.01%	0.1399	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.00428	-1.70%	0.004268	-1.98%	0.0127	✓	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004268	-1.58%	0.004541	+4.73%	0.0522	✗	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004261	-2.54%	0.004455	+1.88%	0.0587	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004439	-2.73%	0.004617	+1.17%	0.0535	✗	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004647	-3.06%	0.004728	-1.38%	0.0302	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005159	-5.32%	0.005116	-6.12%	0.0096	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004219	-2.87%	0.004436	+2.11%	0.0685	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003773	-1.66%	0.004354	+13.47%	0.1991	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.00381	-1.65%	0.004336	+11.93%	0.1603	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003632	-0.37%	0.004372	+19.94%	0.1989	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.00313	+2.44%	0.004563	+49.34%	0.3867	✓	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003862	-0.58%	0.004794	+23.43%	0.2257	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003946	-0.57%	0.005449	+37.31%	0.3223	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003984	-0.63%	0.004344	+8.34%	0.0809	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004783	-2.40%	0.003837	-21.71%	0.2288	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004725	-2.27%	0.003874	-19.87%	0.2010	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004623	-2.01%	0.003645	-22.73%	0.2464	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004466	-1.41%	0.003056	-32.54%	0.3861	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004677	-1.40%	0.003884	-18.12%	0.1922	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005001	-1.28%	0.003968	-21.67%	0.2460	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004955	-1.22%	0.00401	-20.06%	0.2078	✓	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004955	-0.75%	0.004901	-1.83%	0.0069	✓	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.00467	+0.02%	0.004835	+3.54%	0.0364	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.005032	-0.29%	0.004718	-6.51%	0.0564	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005108	+0.06%	0.004529	-11.27%	0.1154	✗	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005213	+0.27%	0.004744	-8.76%	0.0888	✗	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005436	+0.95%	0.005066	-5.91%	0.0671	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.00547	+0.98%	0.005016	-7.41%	0.0929	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005304	+1.39%	0.004993	-4.55%	0.0645	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005374	+1.84%	0.004669	-11.50%	0.1420	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005272	+1.85%	0.005046	-2.52%	0.0441	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005187	+1.97%	0.005104	+0.35%	0.0114	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.005069	+2.90%	0.005199	+5.53%	0.0235	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005711	-1.20%	0.005385	-6.84%	0.0701	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005628	-2.11%	0.005417	-5.76%	0.0485	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005683	-2.35%	0.005231	-10.11%	0.1004	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005754	-2.32%	0.005276	-10.42%	0.1048	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005851	-2.32%	0.005177	-13.58%	0.1431	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005856	-2.28%	0.005087	-15.11%	0.1607	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005785	-2.23%	0.004926	-16.73%	0.1815	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005798	-2.20%	0.00578	-2.51%	0.0177	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005934	-2.22%	0.005749	-5.27%	0.0409	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006322	-2.35%	0.00582	-10.11%	0.0846	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006628	-2.50%	0.00589	-13.35%	0.1187	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006614	-2.48%	0.00599	-11.68%	0.0958	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006301	-2.37%	0.005993	-7.16%	0.0470	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.00676	-2.63%	0.005916	-14.78%	0.1299	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006876	-2.83%	0.005929	-16.21%	0.1467	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.007087	-3.19%	0.006068	-17.10%	0.1531	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006377	-2.92%	0.006474	-1.44%	0.0153	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006188	-3.06%	0.006798	+6.50%	0.0941	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005888	-3.00%	0.006782	+11.74%	0.1418	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005766	-3.19%	0.006455	+8.37%	0.1148	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005806	-3.38%	0.006942	+15.52%	0.1806	✗	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005798	-3.03%	0.007076	+18.34%	0.1992	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005838	-3.17%	0.00732	+21.41%	0.2264	✗	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005679	-2.99%	0.006568	+12.21%	0.1456	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005919	-3.31%	0.006383	+4.27%	0.0755	✗	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.006133	-3.21%	0.00607	-4.21%	0.0116	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006085	-3.63%	0.005956	-5.66%	0.0234	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006042	-3.74%	0.006009	-4.27%	0.0074	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.00601	-3.24%	0.005979	-3.72%	0.0053	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005966	-2.71%	0.006029	-1.67%	0.0108	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006157	-3.15%	0.005854	-7.92%	0.0505	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.006012	-3.81%	0.006121	-2.07%	0.0158	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005594	-3.57%	0.006336	+9.22%	0.1265	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005603	-3.41%	0.006314	+8.84%	0.1180	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005589	-3.61%	0.006277	+8.26%	0.1169	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005782	-4.29%	0.006211	+2.81%	0.0761	✗	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005844	-4.30%	0.006132	+0.41%	0.0524	✗	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006092	-5.56%	0.006357	-1.44%	0.0194	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005209	-4.25%	0.00625	+14.89%	0.1360	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005578	-4.86%	0.005801	-1.05%	0.0246	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005262	-4.02%	0.005801	+5.80%	0.0815	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004846	-3.08%	0.005798	+15.97%	0.1831	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005358	-4.28%	0.006041	+7.93%	0.1107	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.004084	+0.05%	0.006107	+49.61%	0.3634	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003896	+0.83%	0.00645	+66.95%	0.4782	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003325	+2.63%	0.00544	+67.91%	0.5199	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003367	+3.86%	0.005863	+80.84%	0.5521	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.00314	+4.68%	0.005483	+82.76%	0.5465	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002506	+2.62%	0.005	+104.73%	0.6653	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006643	+0.27%	0.005597	-15.51%	0.1984	✗	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.007171	-0.25%	0.004082	-43.22%	0.6007	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.007003	+1.01%	0.003864	-44.27%	0.6735	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007816	-1.22%	0.00324	-59.06%	0.9425	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008614	-1.94%	0.003242	-63.10%	1.0441	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008802	-2.11%	0.003	-66.64%	1.1277	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008971	-2.17%	0.002442	-73.37%	1.3422	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.009115	-2.13%	0.006625	-28.87%	0.3485	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.010166	-2.74%	0.007189	-31.22%	0.3296	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.