XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s6

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +30d

assessed

90

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

66.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2181

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0655

actual -0.0978

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.00403	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004024	-7.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004034	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.003979	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004159	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004179	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004212	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004009	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.003878	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003832	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003766	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003784	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003787	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003665	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.00388	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.003907	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003885	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004196	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003637	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004623	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004662	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004656	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004013	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004252	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.00419	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004331	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004433	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004775	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004203	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004192	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004202	-3.10%	0.004362	+0.58%	0.0249	✓	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.0041	-6.24%	0.00434	-0.73%	0.0648	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004262	-6.60%	0.004365	-4.34%	0.0266	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004446	-7.26%	0.0043	-10.32%	0.0289	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.004796	-11.98%	0.004521	-17.03%	0.0475	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004026	-7.32%	0.004544	+4.61%	0.1333	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003614	-5.81%	0.004581	+19.39%	0.2725	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003668	-5.33%	0.004339	+12.01%	0.1810	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003477	-4.63%	0.004166	+14.28%	0.1998	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.002949	-3.50%	0.00412	+34.84%	0.3455	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003691	-4.97%	0.004012	+3.30%	0.0998	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003749	-5.54%	0.004044	+1.89%	0.0918	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003799	-5.26%	0.004051	+1.04%	0.0749	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004553	-7.11%	0.003918	-20.06%	0.1410	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004489	-7.14%	0.004142	-14.32%	0.0693	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004393	-6.88%	0.00412	-12.67%	0.0519	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.00426	-5.95%	0.004078	-9.97%	0.0292	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004477	-5.62%	0.004432	-6.56%	0.0068	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.004824	-4.78%	0.003817	-24.66%	0.2239	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004751	-5.27%	0.004988	-0.55%	0.0758	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004768	-4.50%	0.005017	+0.48%	0.0787	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004492	-3.80%	0.005013	+7.36%	0.1255	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.004847	-3.94%	0.004268	-15.43%	0.1098	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.004941	-3.20%	0.004541	-11.03%	0.0691	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005061	-2.65%	0.004455	-14.32%	0.1084	✓	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005324	-1.13%	0.004617	-14.26%	0.1289	✓	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005364	-0.99%	0.004728	-12.72%	0.1090	✓	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005206	-0.47%	0.005116	-2.20%	0.0029	✓	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005299	+0.43%	0.004436	-15.93%	0.1592	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005206	+0.57%	0.004354	-15.89%	0.1475	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005134	+0.93%	0.004336	-14.75%	0.1326	✗	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.005035	+2.20%	0.004372	-11.25%	0.1312	✗	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005594	-3.21%	0.004563	-21.05%	0.2164	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005411	-5.88%	0.004794	-16.60%	0.1332	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005417	-6.91%	0.005449	-6.36%	0.0091	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005489	-6.81%	0.004344	-26.25%	0.2488	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005576	-6.91%	0.003837	-35.94%	0.3916	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005585	-6.79%	0.003874	-35.35%	0.3872	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.00552	-6.70%	0.003645	-38.39%	0.4340	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005536	-6.63%	0.003056	-48.46%	0.6146	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005665	-6.64%	0.003884	-35.99%	0.3979	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006038	-6.73%	0.003968	-38.70%	0.4382	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006335	-6.81%	0.00401	-41.02%	0.4748	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006335	-6.59%	0.004901	-27.73%	0.2768	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006047	-6.32%	0.004835	-25.10%	0.2452	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006476	-6.71%	0.004718	-32.04%	0.3406	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006579	-7.02%	0.004529	-35.99%	0.3984	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.006793	-7.21%	0.004744	-35.20%	0.3819	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.00614	-6.52%	0.005066	-22.87%	0.1969	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.005956	-6.69%	0.005016	-21.42%	0.1686	✓	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005676	-6.49%	0.004993	-17.74%	0.1245	✓	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.00554	-6.98%	0.004669	-21.61%	0.1580	✓	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.00556	-7.48%	0.005046	-16.03%	0.0845	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005573	-6.81%	0.005104	-14.63%	0.0881	✓	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005564	-7.72%	0.005199	-13.77%	0.0652	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.00541	-7.58%	0.005385	-8.01%	0.0001	✓	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005607	-8.39%	0.005417	-11.50%	0.0313	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.005855	-7.60%	0.005231	-17.44%	0.1047	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.005765	-8.69%	0.005276	-16.43%	0.0709	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.005719	-8.89%	0.005177	-17.53%	0.0810	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.005736	-7.65%	0.005087	-18.09%	0.1114	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005745	-6.32%	0.004926	-19.66%	0.1545	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.005909	-7.05%	0.00578	-9.08%	0.0220	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.005663	-9.40%	0.005749	-8.03%	0.0205	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005232	-9.80%	0.00582	+0.32%	0.1063	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005269	-9.16%	0.00589	+1.54%	0.1105	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005246	-9.52%	0.00599	+3.30%	0.1287	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005382	-10.92%	0.005993	-0.80%	0.1048	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005454	-10.68%	0.005916	-3.12%	0.0757	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.005588	-13.37%	0.005929	-8.08%	0.0836	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.004825	-11.31%	0.006068	+11.55%	0.2110	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005141	-12.32%	0.006474	+10.43%	0.2339	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.004913	-10.40%	0.006798	+23.98%	0.3225	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004569	-8.61%	0.006782	+35.64%	0.3837	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005013	-10.43%	0.006455	+15.32%	0.2256	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003822	-6.36%	0.006942	+70.08%	0.5551	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003622	-6.26%	0.007076	+83.15%	0.6550	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003082	-4.88%	0.00732	+125.94%	0.8558	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003139	-3.16%	0.006568	+102.62%	0.7310	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002925	-2.50%	0.006383	+112.76%	0.7743	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.00225	-7.86%	0.00607	+148.53%	0.9767	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006398	-3.42%	0.005956	-10.09%	0.0921	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.006765	-5.90%	0.006009	-16.41%	0.1651	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006557	-5.42%	0.005979	-13.75%	0.1929	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007399	-6.50%	0.006029	-23.81%	0.2649	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008179	-6.89%	0.005854	-33.37%	0.4055	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.00835	-7.14%	0.006121	-31.93%	0.3714	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008502	-7.28%	0.006336	-30.90%	0.3792	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.008629	-7.35%	0.006314	-32.21%	0.3865	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.009621	-7.95%	0.006277	-39.94%	0.4766	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.