UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s6

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

66.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4416

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0319

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.270667	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.271404	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.244277	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.216784	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.227664	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.27539	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.273429	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.268199	-2.25%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0005	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.288792	-2.89%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0350	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.201192	+1.38%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2101	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.234861	-0.62%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0254	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.211718	+1.55%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1254	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.210289	+2.19%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3197	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.204074	+3.06%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3054	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.232534	+1.46%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2060	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.245157	+0.63%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2499	✓	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.265795	-0.23%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1991	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.285168	-0.92%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1240	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.287948	-0.81%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2805	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.273915	+0.18%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2403	✗	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.296966	-0.97%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3325	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.397091	-2.17%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5428	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.385503	-2.09%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.5049	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.290944	-0.08%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1446	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.311756	-1.05%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1291	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.358344	-1.68%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.2184	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.330774	-1.51%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.2004	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.334302	-1.66%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.1198	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.387496	-1.97%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.0660	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.472049	-2.26%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.1260	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.541478	-2.80%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5548	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.449098	-2.82%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.4181	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.470551	-3.10%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.3162	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.558958	-4.41%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5704	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.453939	-4.07%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4155	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.362708	-2.96%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0464	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.313923	-1.58%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2638	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.360028	-2.92%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3294	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.366638	-3.27%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1722	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.343033	-3.09%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.2913	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.367802	-3.74%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4126	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.379882	-4.18%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2224	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.399758	-4.55%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0395	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.476158	-5.14%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3635	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.525654	-5.78%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3372	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.632155	-6.93%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4665	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.71866	-9.06%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.6754	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.584633	-7.35%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.3939	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.703554	-8.59%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5136	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.757865	-9.58%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6056	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.776168	-11.22%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4493	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.782032	-14.47%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3444	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.464656	-11.43%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.3458	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.305761	-5.73%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9294	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.235671	-2.32%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9616	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.26014	-1.72%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0725	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.337271	-9.39%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.9323	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.157167	-0.24%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7306	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.197707	-0.47%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5368	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.140267	-0.45%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3200	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.082827	-2.67%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3499	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110129	-0.52%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.7905	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.102546	-2.71%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8534	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.