UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s6

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +1d

assessed

62

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

66.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1482

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0093

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.275313	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.276008	-0.57%	0.276795	-0.28%	0.0097	✗	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.24779	-0.43%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0826	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.219113	-0.25%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1321	✗	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.230406	-0.29%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0658	✓	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.280463	-0.57%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1903	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.278321	-0.58%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0312	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.272754	-0.59%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0101	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.29474	-0.89%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0285	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.198991	+0.28%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3661	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.235991	-0.14%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1251	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.209096	+0.30%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1036	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.206582	+0.39%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0001	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.198987	+0.49%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0125	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.229848	+0.29%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1115	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.244002	+0.15%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0099	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.266361	-0.02%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0845	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.287273	-0.19%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0585	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.289867	-0.15%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0471	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.273607	+0.07%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0538	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.299366	-0.17%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0829	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.403709	-0.54%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3285	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.391646	-0.53%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0378	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.291247	+0.02%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.2970	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.314502	-0.18%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0524	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.363208	-0.35%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1433	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.334934	-0.28%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0767	✗	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.338938	-0.30%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0021	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.393694	-0.40%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1469	✓	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.480343	-0.54%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1557	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.552845	-0.76%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1270	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.458885	-0.70%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.0905	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.481589	-0.83%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0398	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.576624	-1.39%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1787	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.467603	-1.19%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1509	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.371186	-0.69%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2394	✗	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.318084	-0.27%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1520	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.368463	-0.64%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1090	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.376246	-0.73%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0335	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.351759	-0.63%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0814	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.378997	-0.81%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0690	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.392824	-0.92%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0374	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.414528	-1.02%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0220	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.495575	-1.27%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1662	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.549486	-1.51%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0823	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.665656	-2.00%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1609	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.767498	-2.88%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1285	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.617545	-2.13%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2447	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.748293	-2.78%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1507	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.809624	-3.40%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.1005	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.833321	-4.68%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.855527	-6.44%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.501163	-4.47%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.5898	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.318328	-1.86%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.5069	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.239797	-0.61%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.2970	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.263214	-0.56%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0563	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.357447	-3.97%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.3161	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.157338	-0.13%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8548	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.198059	-0.30%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.2231	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.140581	-0.23%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3298	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.084642	-0.54%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.5009	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110527	-0.16%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2451	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.104846	-0.53%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0159	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.