TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s6
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
61.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1330
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0485
actual -0.0223
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.828092 | -2.67% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.826243 | -2.71% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.865611 | -2.88% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.873652 | -2.92% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.816019 | -2.58% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.8557 | -2.75% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.862545 | -2.75% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0076 | -3.42% | 0.85085 | -18.45% | 0.1943 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.994892 | -3.41% | 0.8493 | -17.54% | 0.1879 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.980658 | -3.27% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0936 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.955203 | -3.25% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0608 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0461 | -3.74% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.2021 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0887 | -4.23% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1944 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0161 | -3.90% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.1232 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.992874 | -4.14% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0443 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.037 | -4.50% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.088 | -4.82% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0417 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0604 | -4.86% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1068 | -5.32% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1302 | -5.99% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0276 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.807315 | -4.00% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2932 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.817117 | -4.18% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2751 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.837954 | -4.58% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2626 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.948417 | -5.60% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1643 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0604 | -6.85% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0076 | -7.17% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1246 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.846491 | -6.17% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.770912 | -5.89% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0821 | ✗ | 1.00 |