TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s6
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
57.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0654
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0168
actual +0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.867515 | -0.87% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.8843 | -0.78% | 0.87515 | -1.81% | 0.0112 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.892708 | -0.80% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0016 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.831805 | -0.70% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0782 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.873565 | -0.72% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0405 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.880706 | -0.70% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0012 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0332 | -0.97% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1451 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0195 | -1.02% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.0038 | -0.99% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.976785 | -1.06% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0207 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0726 | -1.30% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0595 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1186 | -1.60% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.042 | -1.44% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0826 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0209 | -1.44% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0246 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0691 | -1.56% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1234 | -1.72% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0948 | -1.78% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0457 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1445 | -2.09% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1682 | -2.83% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.829615 | -1.35% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3681 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.840484 | -1.44% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.863128 | -1.71% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0274 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.980461 | -2.41% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1005 | -3.33% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.0932 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0407 | -4.13% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.1017 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.87908 | -2.56% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.2104 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.797387 | -2.66% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1197 | ✗ | 1.00 |