QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s6

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

66.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1537

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0053

actual -0.0673

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007634	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007964	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008372	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008574	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008836	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008843	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008944	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008783	-0.98%	0.00768	-13.42%	0.1437	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008912	-1.20%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.1061	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.009025	-1.15%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0654	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009497	-1.32%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0720	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009596	-1.43%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0491	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009331	-1.05%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0272	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009308	-1.03%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0333	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009272	-0.73%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0237	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009846	-0.85%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0591	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010111	-1.02%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0573	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010895	-1.49%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.0930	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011226	-1.91%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1217	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010776	-1.63%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.1109	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010161	-1.06%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0403	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010274	-1.40%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.0919	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.01058	-1.81%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.0819	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011146	-1.89%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1149	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010673	-1.35%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0134	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011043	-1.63%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0323	✗	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010169	-0.89%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0702	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009949	-0.61%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0269	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010063	-0.66%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0435	✗	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009918	-0.22%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.1118	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009707	+0.02%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.1934	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008548	-0.08%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.1995	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008701	-0.10%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2199	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008701	+0.02%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1306	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008637	-0.04%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0557	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008674	+0.04%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0625	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.00883	-0.06%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0103	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008729	+0.22%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0195	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008961	+0.40%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0951	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009797	-0.19%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1603	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010091	-0.19%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1869	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010594	-0.44%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.2018	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011281	-0.21%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2415	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011173	+0.30%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.2060	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012756	-0.61%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.3728	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.011021	+2.19%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1713	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011162	+2.78%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.1000	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.010111	+3.87%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0264	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.0087	+4.57%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.2601	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007796	+4.15%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.3612	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.008292	+4.31%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.2840	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008944	+4.60%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.3560	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.009255	+4.57%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.1285	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009388	+4.66%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.1313	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009847	+4.31%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0281	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010972	+4.30%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2846	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010407	+3.92%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.3159	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011552	+3.79%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3644	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.012021	+3.50%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.3373	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.012045	+2.95%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3077	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.012069	+2.45%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.3063	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012264	+2.46%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2578	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.012106	+0.47%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.2048	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011915	-1.04%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2680	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011747	-1.95%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.2097	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011453	-1.69%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1507	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011371	-1.80%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1458	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011116	-1.62%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.1073	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011298	-1.76%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.1205	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011331	-1.98%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0528	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010846	-1.31%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0355	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010979	-1.45%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0740	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011497	-1.74%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0069	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011734	-1.60%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0090	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011676	-1.47%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0120	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011696	-1.38%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0029	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011577	-1.22%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0072	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011385	-0.91%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0231	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011506	-1.03%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0271	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011263	-0.85%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0336	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012099	-1.48%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0277	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012079	-1.39%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0405	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011589	-0.95%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0026	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012104	-1.15%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0279	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.013029	-1.59%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1324	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013728	-1.87%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1682	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013761	-1.71%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1896	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015384	-2.01%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2104	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.01492	-1.97%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1853	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.0145	-1.89%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2052	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016521	-2.18%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.2974	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016581	-2.00%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2103	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016763	-2.00%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1628	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017078	-2.11%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1874	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016763	-2.03%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0704	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.018017	-2.21%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1653	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.01805	-2.75%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.2011	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019167	-4.16%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1349	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016768	-2.93%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0020	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.01828	-4.44%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0793	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013133	-2.50%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2820	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016442	-3.99%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0417	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.026473	-15.29%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.3609	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012897	-1.93%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3642	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013217	-2.31%	0.02	+47.82%	0.4139	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012423	-2.26%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3312	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011768	-1.73%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4859	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012406	-1.93%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0818	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012603	-2.11%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.3066	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012076	-2.02%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9511	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011749	-2.17%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.1138	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.010897	-1.74%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.2190	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.013913	-5.93%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.0957	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010142	-0.38%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1814	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009203	+1.02%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3237	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010249	+0.19%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2310	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009635	+1.32%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2476	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009843	+1.74%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.2001	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009726	+2.27%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1323	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010547	+0.92%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3367	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.01105	+0.46%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.0903	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012061	-0.24%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.2914	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012143	-0.01%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.1826	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011783	+0.71%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2252	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012607	+0.57%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2721	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013405	+0.34%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3491	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012524	+1.16%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1831	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012285	+1.99%	0.011	-8.68%	0.1110	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.013056	+1.37%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0779	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013582	+1.36%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.1125	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.014006	+1.90%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1799	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.015101	+1.69%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1862	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015777	+1.72%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1660	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015917	+3.19%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2516	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017384	+1.99%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3670	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.018209	+1.33%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3446	✗	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.018122	+1.75%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.3007	✗	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.018442	+2.86%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2915	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.01998	+1.88%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2950	✗	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.020204	+1.17%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2646	✗	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.021151	+0.67%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.3185	✗	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021493	-0.17%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2401	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021852	-0.90%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2214	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022189	-1.10%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2570	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021354	-0.54%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.2201	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022215	-0.65%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1660	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.021163	+0.30%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0881	✗	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021656	-0.02%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0643	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.02294	-0.71%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.1056	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.022077	-0.19%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0216	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.023043	-0.35%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0380	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.022279	+0.40%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0469	✗	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024392	-0.54%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0914	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024876	-0.70%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1755	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026749	-1.22%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2198	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.02579	-1.05%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.1129	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027536	-1.48%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2180	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028206	-1.55%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.2002	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.028056	-1.33%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2396	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.028065	-1.16%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1473	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027912	-0.78%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.1192	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028785	-1.18%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0657	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.028073	-0.77%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0809	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.02817	-0.49%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0161	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027862	-0.17%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0209	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029082	-0.64%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0241	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029223	-0.67%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.030056	-0.81%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0795	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.02989	-0.43%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030142	-0.59%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0582	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030573	-0.99%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.1001	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.030048	-1.09%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1191	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031269	-1.14%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.0908	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031599	-1.19%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.0961	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.03289	-1.53%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1294	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034224	-1.77%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.2034	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.0337	-1.69%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1641	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034573	-1.81%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1446	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034344	-1.65%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1212	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035376	-1.88%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1251	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.03501	-1.88%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.1004	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036473	-1.88%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0625	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035245	-1.77%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0203	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034087	-1.89%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.03323	-1.92%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0383	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034524	-2.31%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0522	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034424	-2.43%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0213	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.