QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s6

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

77.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3471

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0185

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007478	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007865	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008226	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008447	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008692	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008716	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008825	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008708	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008911	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008899	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009308	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.00939	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009169	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009139	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009146	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009737	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.009979	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010698	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.010953	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010556	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010052	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010124	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010452	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.010875	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010515	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010852	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010111	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.00998	-0.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010131	+0.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.010126	+1.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009942	+2.44%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.2129	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008625	+0.81%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0942	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008761	+0.59%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0417	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008789	+1.02%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0264	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008582	-0.67%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0172	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008572	-1.13%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0188	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008699	-1.54%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0288	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008621	-1.02%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0074	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008882	-0.49%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0541	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009661	-1.57%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.1046	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009955	-1.54%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.1006	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010431	-1.96%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1341	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011139	-1.47%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.2082	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011068	-0.65%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.1942	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012578	-2.00%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3363	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010949	+1.52%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1528	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011131	+2.49%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1485	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.010101	+3.76%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0213	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008679	+4.32%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2355	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007678	+2.58%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.2814	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.008216	+3.35%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.1466	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008967	+4.88%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.1018	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.009362	+5.78%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.0870	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009676	+7.88%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.1144	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.010269	+8.78%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0059	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.011849	+12.63%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0866	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.011308	+12.92%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.1361	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.01251	+12.40%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.2692	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.012995	+11.88%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.2927	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.012992	+11.04%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.3334	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.013043	+10.72%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.3694	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.01354	+13.11%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.4818	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.012605	+4.61%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.4421	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011941	-0.82%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.4275	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011549	-3.60%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.4233	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.01124	-3.52%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3947	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.01113	-3.89%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3823	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010902	-3.52%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.4016	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011086	-3.60%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3790	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.01115	-3.55%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2878	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.01062	-3.37%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.2020	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010703	-3.93%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.1435	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011198	-4.29%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.1353	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011478	-3.75%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1642	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011437	-3.49%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0234	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011464	-3.34%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.2027	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011333	-3.30%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1852	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.01116	-2.87%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2744	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011222	-3.46%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.4527	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.01092	-3.87%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.5025	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011746	-4.35%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.5147	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011721	-4.32%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4581	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011254	-3.81%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3743	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011821	-3.46%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3925	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012675	-4.27%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.4146	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.0133	-4.93%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3720	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013358	-4.59%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.4161	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.01492	-4.97%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.3897	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014471	-4.92%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.3215	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014032	-5.06%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2729	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.015939	-5.63%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3740	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016058	-5.09%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3681	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016283	-4.81%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3422	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016551	-5.12%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3475	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016239	-5.09%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.3042	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017518	-4.92%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.4057	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017584	-5.26%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.4106	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.018582	-7.09%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.4924	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.01636	-5.30%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.3381	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.01772	-7.37%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.4137	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.012789	-5.05%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1524	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.015875	-7.30%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3546	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.022638	-27.56%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.6599	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012623	-4.01%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0572	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.012875	-4.84%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.0839	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012142	-4.47%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0219	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011532	-3.70%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0162	✓	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012136	-4.07%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.0545	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012304	-4.44%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.0566	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.011832	-4.00%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0405	✓	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011551	-3.82%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0619	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.010736	-3.19%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.1339	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.013196	-10.77%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.1270	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.009929	-2.46%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.2291	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.008955	-1.70%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.3965	✗	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010023	-2.02%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.3365	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009327	-1.93%	0.014	+47.21%	0.4078	✗	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009554	-1.25%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.4991	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009398	-1.18%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4848	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010196	-2.43%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3756	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.010775	-2.05%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4541	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.011871	-1.81%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3602	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.011909	-1.95%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3713	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011597	-0.88%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.4107	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012429	-0.84%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.3221	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013201	-1.19%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3368	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012298	-0.67%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.4113	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012126	+0.68%	0.02	+66.04%	0.5000	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012877	-0.02%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.2931	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013338	-0.47%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3605	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013705	-0.29%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0176	✓	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014794	-0.38%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1463	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015503	-0.04%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.7009	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015563	+0.89%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1687	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.016946	-0.58%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2251	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017848	-0.68%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3399	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017596	-1.20%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3848	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017811	-0.66%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3400	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019302	-1.57%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.4031	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019594	-1.88%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4643	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020541	-2.23%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5383	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.020911	-2.88%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6428	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021442	-2.76%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.4079	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.021769	-2.97%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.8167	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020981	-2.28%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8822	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.02185	-2.28%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.8059	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020754	-1.64%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.8237	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021224	-2.01%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.8345	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022583	-2.26%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.9430	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021807	-1.41%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7959	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022821	-1.31%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7812	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021953	-1.07%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.6437	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024025	-2.04%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.7099	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024632	-1.67%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7829	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026382	-2.58%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7860	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025483	-2.23%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6935	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.026856	-3.91%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.8209	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.027535	-3.89%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8727	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027497	-3.30%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.8026	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027601	-2.80%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7719	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027661	-1.67%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7563	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028337	-2.72%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6901	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027838	-1.60%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.6182	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.028118	-0.68%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.6396	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.028029	+0.43%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.5310	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029018	-0.86%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4914	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029075	-1.17%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2537	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029751	-1.81%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2327	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029809	-0.70%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.1303	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029964	-1.17%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1683	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030123	-2.45%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1396	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029527	-2.81%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1516	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.030801	-2.62%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2359	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031134	-2.64%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2663	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032292	-3.32%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3744	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.033364	-4.24%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3682	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.032888	-4.06%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.4064	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.033716	-4.24%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.4023	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.03361	-3.75%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3379	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.034505	-4.30%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4394	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034159	-4.26%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.3838	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.035641	-4.11%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4528	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.034515	-3.80%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.3057	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.033306	-4.14%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.3005	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.032518	-4.02%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.2040	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.033628	-4.84%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.2939	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.033798	-4.20%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.2058	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.