PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s6

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +7d

assessed

161

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

58.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0921

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0131

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.614121	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.606629	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.619929	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.618244	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.602351	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.637322	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.581485	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.574331	-1.75%	0.62925	+7.65%	0.0822	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.611184	-1.95%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0147	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.604699	-1.95%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0468	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.661406	-2.40%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0350	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.663584	-2.34%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0662	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.646905	-2.15%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0169	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.628744	-1.93%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0630	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.64543	-1.97%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0879	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.644937	-1.95%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0184	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.725453	-2.10%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1366	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.793604	-2.49%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1413	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.704152	-1.96%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0259	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.73267	-1.92%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0925	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.689082	-1.84%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0552	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.702026	-2.08%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0626	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.666773	-1.96%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0239	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.654451	-2.42%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1121	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.638634	-2.66%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2299	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.605549	-1.96%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1687	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.643508	-2.73%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1466	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.605614	-2.13%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1448	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.567938	-2.06%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2382	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.567962	-1.80%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.1974	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.562636	-1.95%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.1990	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.504469	-1.58%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2411	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.528689	-1.81%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1350	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.528614	-1.84%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2034	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.505722	-1.86%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1511	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.506135	-1.80%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0857	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.479684	-1.53%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1346	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.489322	-1.50%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1189	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.468254	-1.34%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0688	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.473993	-1.40%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1080	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.481397	-1.77%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.0946	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.477971	-2.91%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0761	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.465776	-2.61%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1119	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.434659	-0.79%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1264	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.445387	-0.69%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1129	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.428305	+1.25%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1198	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.423121	+1.86%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1402	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.421047	+2.27%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1632	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.421203	+3.06%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1786	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.414802	+2.14%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1388	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.422502	+2.08%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0325	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.424136	+2.81%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0541	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.426892	+2.36%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0191	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.434786	+2.29%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0511	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.428691	+2.05%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0468	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.424671	+2.08%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0419	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.414766	+1.56%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0148	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.424731	+1.11%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0216	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.451171	+0.82%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0881	✗	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.410222	+0.87%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0167	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.395649	+0.78%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0685	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.423766	+0.75%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0076	✗	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.397053	-0.09%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0376	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.394604	-0.78%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0192	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.381325	-1.70%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0842	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.36267	-1.58%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1913	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.361282	-1.71%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0997	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.370504	-1.54%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0370	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.364389	-1.30%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1190	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.37332	-1.25%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0509	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.374141	-1.26%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0516	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.386396	-1.34%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0011	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.395599	-1.29%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0726	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.403395	-1.35%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0868	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.387564	-1.35%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0234	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.38785	-1.36%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0451	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.388817	-1.55%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0257	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.388367	-1.53%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0203	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.394994	-1.60%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0065	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.407351	-1.80%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0181	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.431326	-2.02%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0587	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.435323	-2.17%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1102	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.426484	-2.09%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0885	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.441702	-2.12%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1105	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.424439	-2.26%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0747	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.416461	-2.40%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0371	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.391561	-1.73%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0580	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.372997	-1.35%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1699	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.380149	-1.49%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1613	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.379641	-1.51%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1406	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.374387	-1.49%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1876	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.361124	-0.83%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1910	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.339936	-0.40%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2359	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.323995	-0.11%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2107	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.348239	-0.47%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0804	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.364167	-0.65%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0594	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.390133	-1.18%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0127	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.389383	-1.07%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0287	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.383876	-0.87%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0577	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.381026	-0.80%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1157	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.386862	-0.99%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1886	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.410808	-1.18%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1639	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.412293	-1.15%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1213	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.409672	-1.09%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0361	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.389428	-0.91%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0089	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.396063	-0.86%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0302	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.410355	-1.00%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0709	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.401712	-0.96%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0223	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.388222	-0.71%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0680	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.415586	-1.07%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0014	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.419933	-1.05%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0189	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.412933	-0.82%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0544	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.414123	-0.45%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0423	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417532	+0.01%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0203	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.450545	-0.94%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1106	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.455086	-1.05%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1578	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.457169	-0.58%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0893	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.4308	+0.70%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0183	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.437833	+0.74%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0527	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.457959	-0.21%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0953	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.496488	-1.11%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1760	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.533161	-1.55%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1649	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.541805	-1.67%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1696	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.548923	-1.71%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1837	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.554624	-1.69%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2650	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.589091	-2.31%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3071	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.543347	-1.55%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1661	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.54869	-1.62%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0865	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.573711	-1.89%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0564	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.571263	-1.93%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0350	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.580608	-2.07%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0387	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.601111	-2.54%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0634	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.546005	-1.37%	0.603	+8.92%	0.0998	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.577033	-1.60%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0522	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.573786	-1.43%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0383	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.5911	-1.92%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0176	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.620307	-2.48%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0681	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.629893	-2.21%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0703	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.632167	-2.26%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0314	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.602393	-1.79%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0830	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.599908	-1.59%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0066	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.594911	-1.75%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0169	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.617148	-2.30%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0395	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.611891	-2.18%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1439	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.606034	-1.95%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.1968	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.598452	-1.74%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2027	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.614811	-1.85%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.0936	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.626552	-1.95%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1214	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.598386	-1.69%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1407	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.606803	-1.72%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1201	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.607023	-1.66%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0753	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.640598	-1.81%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.627665	-1.73%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.648031	-1.84%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0195	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.620494	-1.76%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0710	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.566391	-1.48%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0844	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.623632	-1.74%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0140	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.70776	-2.00%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1312	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.746053	-2.22%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1153	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.697735	-1.98%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0416	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.724737	-2.10%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0487	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.688351	-2.00%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0629	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.749744	-2.24%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2182	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.781326	-2.38%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1475	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.87981	-3.40%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1373	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.94049	-6.25%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1770	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.8217	-5.15%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1294	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.620274	-1.89%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1636	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.