PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s6

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +30d

assessed

139

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

59.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1951

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0596

actual +0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.548982	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.544506	-8.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.563	-9.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.573834	-9.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.573784	-9.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.560036	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.593433	-9.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.545121	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.539393	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.575918	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.570843	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.624924	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.627163	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.612738	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.598058	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.61593	-6.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.616523	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.690331	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.749223	-7.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.669427	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.695457	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.658084	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.669088	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.637152	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.62511	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.611194	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.580268	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.614803	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.579857	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.545457	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.547007	-5.43%	0.59875	+3.52%	0.1036	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.543962	-5.21%	0.59595	+3.85%	0.1103	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.483375	-5.69%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2363	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.504593	-6.29%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.2246	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.504023	-6.40%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.2191	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.479256	-6.99%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.2167	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.479724	-6.92%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2756	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.456475	-6.30%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2269	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.468289	-5.73%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.2049	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.448669	-5.46%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2980	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.455209	-5.30%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2817	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.461591	-5.81%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3537	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.4555	-7.48%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3709	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.447475	-6.43%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3699	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.419725	-4.19%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.4101	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.430177	-4.09%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.4088	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.414592	-1.99%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4377	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.409948	-1.31%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5644	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.408749	-0.72%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6587	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.412553	+0.94%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5386	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.404771	-0.33%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5876	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.414479	+0.14%	0.702	+69.61%	0.5013	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.420226	+1.86%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5183	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.42683	+2.35%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4440	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.439433	+3.38%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4051	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.438913	+4.48%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.3799	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.442473	+6.36%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3189	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.432382	+5.87%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4075	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.442404	+5.32%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3145	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.469058	+4.82%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.1954	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.42377	+4.20%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.2884	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.406985	+3.66%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3189	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.436286	+3.73%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1547	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.399442	+0.51%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.2885	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.377629	-5.05%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3371	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.356728	-8.04%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3571	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.341433	-7.35%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3963	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.339322	-7.68%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3454	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.347477	-7.66%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.3350	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.342985	-7.10%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.3025	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.351879	-6.92%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2957	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.353396	-6.73%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.3060	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.364455	-6.94%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2717	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.373474	-6.81%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.2093	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.382145	-6.54%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0991	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.369132	-6.04%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1537	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.370429	-5.79%	0.423	+7.58%	0.1026	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.371308	-5.99%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0726	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.371778	-5.74%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0528	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.377415	-5.98%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0224	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.387607	-6.56%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0040	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.409028	-7.08%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0383	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.411482	-7.53%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0476	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.403677	-7.33%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0149	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.419131	-7.12%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0241	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.402219	-7.38%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0208	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.394187	-7.62%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0356	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.371644	-6.73%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0731	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.358231	-5.25%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.1316	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.363394	-5.83%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1756	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.363109	-5.80%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0832	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.359613	-5.38%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0593	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.348723	-4.24%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1542	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.329944	-3.33%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1666	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.314771	-2.95%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.2239	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.338275	-3.32%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1369	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.354016	-3.42%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0410	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.377318	-4.43%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0225	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.378198	-3.91%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0024	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.374321	-3.34%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0073	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.372478	-3.03%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0207	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.378998	-3.01%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0051	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.40122	-3.48%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0234	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.403348	-3.30%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0070	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.401386	-3.09%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0160	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.382966	-2.55%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0203	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.390077	-2.36%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0002	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.403557	-2.64%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0243	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.39503	-2.61%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0034	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.381068	-2.54%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0507	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.406133	-3.32%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0199	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.410481	-3.28%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0667	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.403321	-3.13%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0946	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.403436	-3.02%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0687	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.405022	-2.99%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0914	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.438229	-3.64%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0145	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.44091	-4.13%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0391	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.44147	-4.00%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1081	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.413632	-3.31%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.0966	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.420291	-3.29%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.0914	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.442099	-3.66%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1395	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.475022	-5.38%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2216	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.498118	-8.02%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3101	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.50387	-8.55%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.3849	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.508786	-8.90%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4487	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.509589	-9.67%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.3741	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.538235	-10.74%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.3824	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.501051	-9.21%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2379	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.505731	-9.33%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.2492	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.527632	-9.77%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3084	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.524389	-9.98%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3110	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.529718	-10.66%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3029	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.547475	-11.24%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.2756	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.503442	-9.06%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.1883	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.525549	-10.38%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.2450	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.524312	-9.93%	0.393	-32.49%	0.2921	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.53828	-10.69%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.2964	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.563097	-11.48%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3064	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.566182	-12.10%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.3422	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.568888	-12.05%	0.391	-39.55%	0.3819	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.548937	-10.51%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.2630	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.547304	-10.22%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2449	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.545979	-9.83%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2307	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.570453	-9.70%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2267	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.568117	-9.18%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1481	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.561299	-9.19%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0665	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.553559	-9.11%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0428	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.568284	-9.28%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.0734	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.579647	-9.29%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.0898	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.557366	-8.43%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0097	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.566248	-8.29%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0262	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.566102	-8.29%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0859	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.594883	-8.82%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0872	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.58316	-8.70%	0.551	-13.73%	0.1198	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.603005	-8.66%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.1119	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.579304	-8.28%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1728	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.532366	-7.40%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3242	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.584352	-7.93%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1201	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.659675	-8.66%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.69418	-9.02%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.651222	-8.51%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0735	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.675854	-8.71%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0989	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.641336	-8.69%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1824	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.695294	-9.34%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.723811	-9.57%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0747	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.806407	-11.46%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0388	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.851792	-15.09%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.0999	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.743245	-14.20%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0808	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.574189	-9.18%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3886	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.