PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s6

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

48.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1658

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0265

actual -0.0304

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.097292	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.096463	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.093328	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.084791	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.087598	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.09053	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.094062	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.096468	-2.45%	0.099715	+0.83%	0.0458	✗	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.100361	-2.76%	0.099215	-3.87%	0.0034	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.104044	-2.85%	0.09595	-10.41%	0.0820	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.105674	-3.02%	0.086455	-20.66%	0.2001	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.109468	-3.01%	0.089395	-20.79%	0.2118	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.109293	-3.12%	0.09256	-17.95%	0.1741	✓	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.109395	-3.18%	0.09638	-14.70%	0.1321	✓	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.108785	-3.26%	0.098895	-12.05%	0.0931	✓	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.109372	-3.09%	0.10321	-8.55%	0.0667	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.110998	-2.88%	0.1071	-6.30%	0.0484	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.111934	-2.92%	0.10897	-5.49%	0.0451	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.112032	-2.79%	0.11286	-2.07%	0.0053	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.112844	-3.06%	0.11281	-3.09%	0.0084	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.112644	-3.14%	0.112985	-2.85%	0.0059	✓	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.113946	-3.18%	0.112445	-4.46%	0.0275	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.112684	-3.38%	0.112855	-3.24%	0.0003	✓	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.112092	-3.43%	0.114295	-1.53%	0.0271	✓	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.111309	-3.53%	0.1153	-0.07%	0.0436	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.117911	-3.61%	0.115245	-5.79%	0.0155	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.11815	-3.70%	0.11641	-5.12%	0.0137	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.116302	-3.77%	0.1163	-3.77%	0.0014	✓	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.114444	-3.73%	0.117695	-1.00%	0.0297	✓	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.109821	-3.56%	0.11663	+2.42%	0.0572	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.1167	-3.41%	0.116075	-3.93%	0.0164	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.114322	-3.21%	0.115385	-2.31%	0.0031	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.111222	-3.70%	0.12233	+5.92%	0.1122	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.112637	-3.62%	0.12269	+4.98%	0.1021	✗	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.110701	-3.09%	0.12086	+5.80%	0.1043	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.106438	-2.26%	0.11888	+9.16%	0.1651	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.107136	-1.98%	0.11387	+4.18%	0.1178	✗	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.105867	-1.46%	0.12082	+12.46%	0.2000	✗	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.110967	-2.05%	0.118115	+4.25%	0.1196	✗	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.109073	-1.39%	0.11549	+4.42%	0.0868	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.115293	-1.77%	0.11687	-0.43%	0.0414	✗	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.113089	-1.23%	0.11423	-0.24%	0.0361	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.109208	-0.41%	0.1089	-0.69%	0.0042	✓	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.116762	-0.94%	0.1093	-7.27%	0.0832	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.124004	-1.35%	0.107435	-14.53%	0.1616	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.130516	-1.53%	0.113295	-14.53%	0.1474	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.126539	-0.85%	0.110605	-13.34%	0.1545	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.125864	-0.21%	0.117375	-6.94%	0.0847	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.124206	+0.24%	0.1145	-7.59%	0.0941	✗	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.129898	+0.61%	0.10966	-15.06%	0.1955	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.136993	+0.32%	0.117875	-13.68%	0.1470	✗	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.149186	+0.29%	0.125695	-15.50%	0.1679	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.159675	+0.67%	0.13255	-16.44%	0.1838	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.175049	+0.64%	0.12763	-26.62%	0.3069	✗	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.184598	+1.24%	0.12613	-30.83%	0.3758	✗	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.19034	+1.69%	0.12391	-33.80%	0.4235	✗	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.2084	+2.79%	0.12911	-36.32%	0.4751	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.21007	+2.99%	0.13655	-33.06%	0.4374	✗	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.218736	+3.10%	0.14876	-29.88%	0.3904	✗	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.226953	+3.21%	0.15862	-27.86%	0.3599	✗	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.237177	+2.58%	0.17393	-24.77%	0.3104	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.234186	+2.09%	0.18234	-20.51%	0.2462	✗	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.257665	+2.12%	0.187175	-25.82%	0.3216	✗	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.252493	-1.68%	0.20275	-21.05%	0.1900	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.307171	-3.00%	0.20398	-35.59%	0.4157	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.425113	-5.13%	0.21216	-52.65%	0.8754	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.371871	-4.72%	0.219885	-43.66%	0.7081	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.377705	-5.01%	0.2312	-41.85%	0.6932	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.336326	-5.15%	0.2294	-35.30%	0.5736	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.333865	-4.81%	0.25231	-28.07%	0.4882	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.290802	-3.13%	0.25681	-14.45%	0.2658	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.310704	-4.05%	0.31667	-2.21%	0.0790	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.315296	-4.49%	0.44811	+35.74%	0.3324	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.294044	-3.51%	0.39028	+28.06%	0.2737	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.266895	-2.88%	0.39762	+44.69%	0.4346	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.290725	-3.34%	0.354585	+17.89%	0.2324	✗	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.275093	-3.14%	0.35075	+23.49%	0.2752	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.270731	-3.21%	0.300195	+7.33%	0.1175	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.26318	-3.19%	0.323825	+19.12%	0.2276	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.248765	-3.24%	0.330115	+28.41%	0.2914	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.249264	-3.55%	0.304755	+17.92%	0.1938	✗	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.255335	-3.83%	0.2748	+3.50%	0.0511	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.232965	-3.68%	0.300765	+24.35%	0.2204	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.235806	-4.19%	0.284025	+15.40%	0.1523	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.236515	-4.31%	0.279705	+13.16%	0.1753	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.203801	-3.78%	0.27185	+28.35%	0.2783	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.175396	-3.22%	0.257085	+41.85%	0.3797	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.17441	-3.53%	0.25844	+42.95%	0.3963	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.184308	-3.79%	0.2655	+38.60%	0.3876	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.175092	-3.08%	0.24187	+33.89%	0.3366	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.174453	-2.96%	0.24613	+36.91%	0.3558	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.16755	-2.55%	0.24718	+43.76%	0.3919	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.166531	-2.26%	0.2118	+24.31%	0.2612	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.172752	-2.33%	0.18124	+2.47%	0.0724	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.169729	-2.38%	0.180795	+3.98%	0.0775	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.168302	-2.30%	0.19156	+11.20%	0.1232	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.168633	-2.35%	0.180655	+4.61%	0.0746	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.166058	-2.39%	0.17977	+5.67%	0.0773	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.16499	-2.29%	0.17194	+1.82%	0.0246	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.165672	-2.23%	0.170375	+0.55%	0.0140	✓	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.170987	-2.34%	0.176875	+1.02%	0.0162	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.161621	-2.21%	0.17387	+5.20%	0.0395	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.166967	-2.36%	0.17227	+0.75%	0.0208	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.165384	-2.26%	0.1727	+2.06%	0.0343	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.169834	-2.39%	0.17012	-2.23%	0.0034	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.165635	-2.35%	0.168865	-0.45%	0.0149	✓	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.167968	-2.45%	0.16945	-1.59%	0.0091	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.184311	-2.80%	0.175085	-7.67%	0.0617	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.184601	-2.84%	0.165275	-13.01%	0.0998	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.168142	-2.52%	0.170995	-0.87%	0.0160	✓	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.178713	-2.93%	0.16921	-8.10%	0.0587	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.173991	-2.90%	0.173995	-2.90%	0.0120	✓	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.163627	-2.58%	0.16962	+0.99%	0.0233	✓	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.161767	-2.51%	0.172195	+3.78%	0.0450	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.15625	-1.77%	0.18963	+19.21%	0.1569	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.159563	-2.26%	0.19	+16.39%	0.1466	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.151855	-1.50%	0.172495	+11.88%	0.1061	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.14881	-1.34%	0.184115	+22.06%	0.2005	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.14245	-1.15%	0.17919	+24.34%	0.2199	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.142568	-1.12%	0.167965	+16.50%	0.1571	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.13729	-1.02%	0.16593	+19.63%	0.1976	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.14031	-1.08%	0.15907	+12.15%	0.1434	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.137212	-1.04%	0.16325	+17.74%	0.1908	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.140973	-1.09%	0.154175	+8.18%	0.1073	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.143203	-1.10%	0.150835	+4.18%	0.0717	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.142971	-1.02%	0.14411	-0.23%	0.0240	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.149503	-1.09%	0.14418	-4.61%	0.0207	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.155231	-1.40%	0.1387	-11.90%	0.0973	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.161588	-1.92%	0.14184	-13.91%	0.1184	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.178309	-3.20%	0.13865	-24.73%	0.2435	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.183488	-3.50%	0.14252	-25.05%	0.2436	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.188447	-3.82%	0.14479	-26.10%	0.2627	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.184469	-3.75%	0.144445	-24.64%	0.2443	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.190734	-4.06%	0.151155	-23.97%	0.2298	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.171418	-2.49%	0.15744	-10.44%	0.0910	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.174433	-3.08%	0.16476	-8.45%	0.0647	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.181663	-3.82%	0.18421	-2.47%	0.0093	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.171816	-3.47%	0.19015	+6.83%	0.0978	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.169145	-2.47%	0.195935	+12.98%	0.1433	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.16968	-3.00%	0.191665	+9.57%	0.1192	✗	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.180212	-4.29%	0.1988	+5.58%	0.0980	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.197368	-4.81%	0.17579	-15.22%	0.1181	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.185684	-4.67%	0.179975	-7.61%	0.0288	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.188397	-4.78%	0.18887	-4.54%	0.0001	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.192933	-5.10%	0.178	-12.45%	0.0908	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.192467	-5.17%	0.17343	-14.55%	0.1173	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.173654	-4.44%	0.17492	-3.74%	0.0103	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.170853	-4.29%	0.18829	+5.47%	0.0839	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.150872	-1.95%	0.20735	+34.76%	0.3167	✗	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.156917	-2.09%	0.19479	+21.55%	0.2095	✗	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.168545	-2.39%	0.19786	+14.58%	0.1499	✗	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.175242	-2.44%	0.20331	+13.18%	0.1429	✗	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.186622	-2.63%	0.20295	+5.89%	0.0795	✗	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.18435	-2.37%	0.181715	-3.76%	0.0179	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.192417	-2.52%	0.17852	-9.56%	0.0861	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.195505	-2.50%	0.15387	-23.27%	0.2482	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.195825	-2.38%	0.16026	-20.11%	0.2030	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.201842	-2.43%	0.17268	-16.53%	0.1552	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.195651	-1.99%	0.17963	-10.02%	0.0866	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.199753	-1.89%	0.191655	-5.87%	0.0455	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.215085	-2.23%	0.18882	-14.17%	0.1436	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.244668	-2.60%	0.19739	-21.42%	0.2383	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.248351	-2.66%	0.200525	-21.40%	0.2257	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.248474	-2.54%	0.200605	-21.32%	0.2391	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.266787	-2.64%	0.206865	-24.51%	0.2927	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.264387	-2.57%	0.19963	-26.43%	0.3194	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.28151	-2.88%	0.20361	-29.76%	0.3422	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.275645	-2.88%	0.219995	-22.49%	0.2336	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.266647	-2.82%	0.2512	-8.45%	0.0521	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.260242	-2.70%	0.25513	-4.61%	0.0350	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.275112	-3.00%	0.25496	-10.11%	0.0790	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.258287	-2.71%	0.27403	+3.22%	0.0729	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.245742	-2.62%	0.27135	+7.53%	0.1280	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.255479	-2.73%	0.28986	+10.36%	0.1424	✗	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.246158	-2.63%	0.28383	+12.27%	0.1586	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.271331	-3.31%	0.27438	-2.22%	0.0345	✗	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.299624	-4.48%	0.26746	-14.74%	0.0814	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.333229	-6.03%	0.283635	-20.02%	0.1295	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.305024	-6.18%	0.26549	-18.34%	0.1237	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.214957	-2.61%	0.25235	+14.33%	0.1605	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.202696	-2.48%	0.26266	+26.36%	0.2589	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.200413	-2.46%	0.25282	+23.05%	0.2321	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.197171	-2.38%	0.28061	+38.94%	0.3785	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.22682	-2.89%	0.31369	+34.30%	0.3562	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.219257	-3.00%	0.35463	+56.88%	0.4812	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.213426	-3.09%	0.3251	+47.61%	0.4013	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.184468	-2.94%	0.22072	+16.14%	0.1158	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.17473	-2.95%	0.20786	+15.45%	0.1487	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.236726	-4.67%	0.205465	-17.26%	0.1463	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.275877	-7.19%	0.20197	-32.05%	0.3525	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.175076	-3.16%	0.23358	+29.21%	0.2442	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.173588	-3.25%	0.22605	+26.00%	0.2352	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.170161	-3.16%	0.22024	+25.34%	0.2391	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.178152	-3.80%	0.19005	+2.62%	0.0222	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.166682	-3.32%	0.18005	+4.43%	0.0415	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.156614	-3.18%	0.24832	+53.51%	0.4063	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.162789	-3.55%	0.29724	+76.11%	0.5563	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.16795	-3.88%	0.18078	+3.46%	0.0222	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.164903	-3.86%	0.17941	+4.59%	0.0533	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.163948	-4.21%	0.17572	+2.67%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.183222	-5.00%	0.18519	-3.98%	0.0144	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.158359	-4.23%	0.17241	+4.26%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.139348	-3.40%	0.16176	+12.14%	0.0628	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.