PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s6

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

Track record at +30d

assessed

172

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

65.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3723

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0485

actual -0.1644

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09683	0.093455	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.092723	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.084019	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.086403	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.089181	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.092784	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.095397	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.099024	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.103019	-3.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.104235	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.108033	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.108197	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.108119	-4.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.107835	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.108697	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.110488	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.111809	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.112303	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.112524	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.112595	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.113923	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.11242	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.111949	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.111458	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.118512	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.119021	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.117423	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.116012	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.111594	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.11923	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.117191	-0.78%	0.09683	-18.02%	0.2063	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.111904	-3.10%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.1446	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.113437	-2.94%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.2684	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.110596	-3.18%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.2069	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.10415	-4.36%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0832	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.104878	-4.05%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0468	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.103167	-3.97%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0006	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.108931	-3.85%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0302	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.106749	-3.49%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0456	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.113485	-3.31%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0093	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.111327	-2.77%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.0589	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.107492	-1.98%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.0931	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.115795	-1.76%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0083	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.12328	-1.92%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0722	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.130535	-1.52%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.1197	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.125347	-1.79%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0646	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.124778	-1.07%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0464	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.122793	-0.90%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0301	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.128598	-0.40%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0813	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.134746	-1.32%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.1236	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.146268	-1.68%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1936	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.155792	-1.78%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2677	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.170138	-2.18%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3626	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.178851	-1.91%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.4222	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.184383	-1.49%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3901	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.202064	-0.34%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4837	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.203958	-0.01%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.5045	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.211683	-0.22%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5526	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.218493	-0.63%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.6306	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.225542	-2.45%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.5972	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.223748	-2.46%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.6078	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.246115	-2.46%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7454	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.245957	-4.23%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.7111	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.300709	-5.04%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9753	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.400509	-10.62%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4565	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.361774	-7.30%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3467	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.360885	-9.24%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.3874	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.324406	-8.51%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2567	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.320848	-8.53%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2544	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.281534	-6.22%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0733	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.302384	-6.62%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1883	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.307039	-6.99%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.2278	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.284793	-6.55%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0990	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.258196	-6.04%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9373	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.281522	-6.40%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9798	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.266427	-6.20%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9656	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.262165	-6.27%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9654	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.255916	-5.86%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9529	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.242238	-5.77%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8786	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.242087	-6.33%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7764	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.247011	-6.96%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.7172	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.225563	-6.74%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5865	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.227699	-7.49%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4907	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.22982	-7.02%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4353	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.199754	-5.69%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2401	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.173849	-4.08%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0380	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.173617	-3.97%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0237	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.183945	-3.98%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0028	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.173854	-3.76%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1196	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.172666	-3.95%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1785	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.16531	-3.86%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2239	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.164366	-3.53%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3241	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.169995	-3.89%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3570	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.166749	-4.10%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.6044	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.165642	-3.85%	0.44811	+160.12%	0.9952	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.165538	-4.15%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8613	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.163867	-3.68%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.8978	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.163485	-3.19%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7841	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.164278	-3.05%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7768	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.169424	-3.23%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5906	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.158818	-3.91%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.6992	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.164345	-3.89%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.6998	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.163213	-3.54%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6232	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.167478	-3.75%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4899	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.163114	-3.84%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.5991	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.165175	-4.08%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5230	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.18038	-4.88%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4328	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.18067	-4.91%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.4049	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.165386	-4.12%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4385	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.174645	-5.14%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3897	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.1697	-5.30%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4402	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.159519	-5.03%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.4066	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.157344	-5.17%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4255	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.151233	-4.93%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4445	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.155031	-5.03%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2847	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.147175	-4.54%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1855	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.144675	-4.08%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.2082	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.139002	-3.54%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.3009	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.139385	-3.33%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2420	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.134619	-2.94%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2653	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.137507	-3.05%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2136	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.134282	-3.15%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2289	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.137937	-3.22%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2340	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.140692	-2.83%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2074	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.140911	-2.45%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.1956	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.147058	-2.71%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1517	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.153117	-2.75%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1077	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.15978	-3.02%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0626	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.177061	-3.88%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0385	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.181965	-4.30%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0359	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.18612	-5.01%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.1099	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.182244	-4.92%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0645	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.187233	-5.82%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.1020	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.166837	-5.09%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0367	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.170951	-5.01%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0108	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.178039	-5.73%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0322	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.169303	-4.89%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1134	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.166438	-4.03%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1291	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.168704	-3.55%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0195	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.179349	-4.75%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0257	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.193837	-6.52%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0799	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.183387	-5.85%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0853	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.184031	-6.99%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.1070	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.186977	-8.03%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1772	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.186077	-8.31%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1448	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.171602	-5.57%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.1272	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.168097	-5.84%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.1275	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.148184	-3.70%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0297	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.151856	-5.24%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0643	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.16214	-6.10%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1870	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.168252	-6.33%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1967	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.179099	-6.55%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2769	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.177471	-6.01%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2417	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.184067	-6.75%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2792	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.187061	-6.71%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.3001	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.188584	-5.99%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2626	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.195725	-5.38%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2557	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.189681	-4.98%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1742	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.194339	-4.55%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0892	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.209142	-4.93%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1481	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.238436	-5.08%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.3178	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.240948	-5.56%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3422	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.24159	-5.24%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.3202	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.258557	-5.65%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5671	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.256546	-5.46%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5380	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.270272	-6.76%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.4984	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.26474	-6.73%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5320	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.256783	-6.41%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5486	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.251605	-5.93%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5273	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.264188	-6.86%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4697	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.248277	-6.48%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.3109	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.236579	-6.25%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2990	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.246185	-6.27%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2826	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.237409	-6.10%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1955	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.262326	-6.52%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2733	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.291805	-6.98%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4879	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.318288	-10.25%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.5986	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.293109	-9.84%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6636	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.210123	-4.80%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2688	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.1989	-4.31%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1413	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.197149	-4.05%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0930	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.195028	-3.44%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.223496	-4.32%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1326	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.215562	-4.64%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.1037	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.210143	-4.58%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0679	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.182391	-4.03%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0561	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.175016	-2.80%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1514	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.232748	-6.27%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1575	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.251244	-15.47%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.2486	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.174811	-3.30%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.1750	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.173118	-3.51%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.2833	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.169876	-3.33%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3437	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.17465	-5.69%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2495	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.164703	-4.47%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.3973	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.154776	-4.32%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4427	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.160371	-4.98%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.4756	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.16493	-5.61%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4224	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.162336	-5.36%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4182	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.16045	-6.25%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3431	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.177506	-7.97%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3096	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.154591	-6.51%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3696	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.136059	-5.68%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4580	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.