MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s6

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

69.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3481

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0090

actual -0.2757

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.002868	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.002789	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.00177	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001904	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001762	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.002047	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002289	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.00234	-3.42%	0.003037	+25.32%	0.2366	✗	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002193	-2.67%	0.002985	+32.51%	0.2816	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.002006	-1.79%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.1067	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002114	-1.90%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0860	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.00183	+0.03%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0058	✓	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001841	+0.66%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1562	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001869	+1.09%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2527	✓	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002111	+0.29%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1298	✓	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002384	-1.18%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0263	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002358	-0.93%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0954	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002774	-3.59%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1752	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002335	+0.36%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1826	✗	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001753	+2.02%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.0735	✓	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001701	+1.00%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.1161	✓	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001674	-0.85%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.2842	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.00246	+2.91%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0137	✓	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003132	+1.20%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.3124	✗	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003607	-0.79%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2719	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003626	-1.20%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4677	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.00445	-2.50%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9555	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004809	-2.67%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0540	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004398	-2.16%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9630	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004494	-2.03%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.6217	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004732	-2.27%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.3946	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005228	-2.24%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.3264	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004411	-1.20%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.2239	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004172	-2.27%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0514	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005616	+0.23%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1669	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005608	+1.79%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.3213	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004162	-4.18%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0055	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.006058	+2.30%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.3555	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008629	+0.96%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5807	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.006354	+1.08%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.4081	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.008533	+1.54%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.7427	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.006059	-4.75%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.1247	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008375	-0.93%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.4164	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010269	-2.06%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.8327	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017493	-2.03%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0459	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017627	-2.10%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.7122	✓	1.00