MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s6

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

47.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1506

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0030

actual -0.0513

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001926	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001793	-0.36%	0.001936	+7.59%	0.0792	✗	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001933	-0.45%	0.0018	-7.34%	0.0834	✓	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001781	-0.28%	0.001942	+8.73%	0.0884	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.002083	-0.52%	0.001786	-14.71%	0.1611	✓	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002343	-0.80%	0.002094	-11.33%	0.1108	✓	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.0024	-0.95%	0.002361	-2.54%	0.0090	✓	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002237	-0.70%	0.002423	+7.55%	0.0736	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.002034	-0.42%	0.002253	+10.28%	0.1226	✗	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002145	-0.46%	0.002043	-5.18%	0.0670	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001829	-0.01%	0.002155	+17.76%	0.1986	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001831	+0.10%	0.001829	+0.03%	0.0143	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001852	+0.17%	0.001829	-1.05%	0.0188	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002106	+0.04%	0.001849	-12.19%	0.1461	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002405	-0.28%	0.002105	-12.73%	0.1055	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002374	-0.24%	0.002412	+1.34%	0.0603	✗	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002847	-1.05%	0.00238	-17.27%	0.1751	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002326	-0.03%	0.002877	+23.66%	0.2289	✗	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001721	+0.19%	0.002327	+35.42%	0.2721	✓	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001685	+0.01%	0.001718	+1.99%	0.0157	✓	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001683	-0.33%	0.001685	-0.21%	0.0071	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002398	+0.33%	0.001688	-29.37%	0.3777	✗	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003099	+0.15%	0.00239	-22.77%	0.2582	✗	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003629	-0.17%	0.003095	-14.88%	0.1631	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003661	-0.25%	0.003635	-0.94%	0.0051	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004538	-0.57%	0.00367	-19.59%	0.2129	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.00491	-0.63%	0.004564	-7.64%	0.0770	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004474	-0.47%	0.004941	+9.93%	0.1029	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004567	-0.44%	0.004495	-2.01%	0.0159	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004817	-0.51%	0.004587	-5.27%	0.0277	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.00532	-0.53%	0.004842	-9.46%	0.0895	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004452	-0.29%	0.005348	+19.78%	0.1186	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004247	-0.53%	0.004465	+4.59%	0.0511	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005602	-0.02%	0.004269	-23.81%	0.2762	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005521	+0.21%	0.005603	+1.71%	0.0428	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004303	-0.95%	0.005509	+26.82%	0.2445	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005937	+0.26%	0.004344	-26.65%	0.3199	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008555	+0.10%	0.005922	-30.71%	0.3342	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.006289	+0.04%	0.008547	+35.96%	0.2890	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.008417	+0.15%	0.006287	-25.20%	0.2858	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.006294	-1.06%	0.008404	+32.11%	0.2884	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008429	-0.28%	0.006361	-24.74%	0.2902	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010438	-0.45%	0.008453	-19.38%	0.1883	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.01778	-0.42%	0.010485	-41.28%	0.5260	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017928	-0.43%	0.017855	-0.83%	0.0041	✓	1.00