KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s6

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

131

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

74.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4074

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0323

actual -0.2150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.028191	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.027781	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.028786	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.027828	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028089	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.032883	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.033726	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.031474	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030018	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027336	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.025981	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023868	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023766	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023866	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023534	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019932	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021832	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025147	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019719	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018738	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021069	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020666	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022719	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.024409	-8.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.028779	-13.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014306	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.01457	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013262	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.01307	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013461	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013641	+0.66%	0.029719	+119.29%	0.7932	✓	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.0139	+1.16%	0.029335	+113.50%	0.7665	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013048	-3.42%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8326	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013343	-3.46%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.7832	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013059	-3.34%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8079	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013125	-5.54%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9221	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.01318	-5.53%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9528	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012539	-4.25%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9134	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012579	-3.35%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.8901	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012818	-3.22%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7353	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013544	-3.19%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6508	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013601	-2.63%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5352	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013567	-2.34%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5364	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013781	-1.34%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5527	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014023	-1.10%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5339	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014793	-0.88%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2896	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015716	-0.14%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3125	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015691	-0.03%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4725	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016397	+0.17%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1506	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016983	+1.14%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.0979	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017282	-0.68%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1501	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017769	-0.12%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.0941	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018308	+0.91%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2177	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017898	+0.92%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3195	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017827	+1.54%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5472	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018253	+1.91%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.3138	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018396	+3.41%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2682	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017829	+3.34%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3589	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018805	+3.42%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4449	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.019403	+3.66%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4409	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020737	+1.92%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5731	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018638	+2.41%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4683	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.018131	+3.30%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3451	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017188	-0.59%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3835	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016471	-2.27%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4362	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015541	-2.61%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3845	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017002	-3.73%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4642	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017057	-4.01%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5669	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017191	-3.99%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6365	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017153	-3.93%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5883	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016877	-3.48%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5288	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016685	-3.33%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4876	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017705	-3.93%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5307	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017375	-3.61%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5443	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016746	-2.86%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4905	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016544	-2.68%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4390	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017245	-3.17%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4571	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017591	-3.56%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4864	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017822	-3.79%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4418	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.01765	-4.00%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4903	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016672	-3.46%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.3170	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015614	-2.47%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2289	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.01457	-1.65%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1795	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014956	-1.64%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.2062	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016456	-3.20%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2659	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.01509	-1.89%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1617	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014084	-1.58%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1500	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013316	-1.51%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0991	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016657	-3.72%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1909	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012847	-1.55%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1049	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013878	-1.68%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1255	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013409	-1.51%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0736	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012902	-1.21%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0675	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012847	-1.17%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1647	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014897	-1.47%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0294	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015748	-1.54%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0132	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015413	-1.26%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1438	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.01597	-1.26%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1331	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018578	-2.33%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0178	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.018937	-2.84%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0147	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.019992	-4.39%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.0946	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019484	-3.47%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1510	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.019843	-4.37%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0684	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.01969	-4.09%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.0920	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.019973	-4.67%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1656	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019518	-3.59%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1822	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019388	-3.04%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1523	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020053	-4.62%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1187	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.020803	-5.82%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1311	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020305	-4.94%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1110	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019592	-3.37%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1355	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020358	-4.15%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2647	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.021572	-5.66%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4096	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.021733	-5.14%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4347	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.022543	-5.40%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4572	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.024809	-7.24%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.5801	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.024329	-6.95%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6489	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.023672	-6.34%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6619	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.024633	-6.97%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.4963	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.023777	-5.95%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7212	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.02297	-4.85%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5726	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024085	-5.81%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6365	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.027494	-7.35%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.7997	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.028061	-7.45%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8551	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.028173	-7.14%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6487	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.025908	-5.62%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5126	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.025111	-4.56%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5222	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.027048	-5.30%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.5008	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.027845	-5.19%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3361	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.028176	-4.88%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3307	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.029252	-4.84%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.3181	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.030432	-4.92%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3539	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.029792	-3.93%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3668	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.029338	-3.27%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3622	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030107	-2.96%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4343	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.030578	-2.87%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4522	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.031491	-2.81%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4316	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.033544	-3.22%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4677	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.036395	-3.84%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.6125	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.027412	-2.06%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3329	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.033252	-2.69%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4834	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.036386	-3.28%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.5143	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.035626	-3.16%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3627	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.039233	-6.16%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3646	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.045847	-8.31%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.4255	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.058453	-13.44%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5780	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.036655	-4.17%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.1280	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.035504	-3.44%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.1356	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.037768	-3.60%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.1411	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.042455	-4.29%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2794	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.048743	-5.29%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4663	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.051625	-5.64%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4966	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.050618	-5.17%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3529	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.053064	-5.24%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3832	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.051078	-4.62%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.3324	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.051354	-4.39%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.4271	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.059042	-4.92%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.6087	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.058508	-4.34%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.5399	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.070205	-5.40%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.7062	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.072545	-5.17%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.7315	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.088167	-6.26%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8687	✓	1.00