KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s6

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

160

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

56.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0683

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0023

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.029611	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.029222	-0.39%	0.029719	+1.31%	0.0169	✗	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030367	-0.43%	0.029335	-3.82%	0.0345	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.029242	-0.42%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0423	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.029465	-0.45%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0036	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034669	-0.66%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1575	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035955	-0.93%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0299	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.033425	-0.88%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0817	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031701	-0.68%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0623	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.02871	-0.57%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1057	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.027253	-0.55%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0581	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024901	-0.54%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.0978	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024835	-0.71%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0071	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.025019	-0.72%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0007	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.024662	-0.64%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0204	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.02061	-0.47%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1903	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022572	-0.62%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0819	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.026579	-0.96%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1568	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.020212	-0.55%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2859	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.019214	-0.48%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0509	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021859	-0.68%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1249	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.021345	-0.65%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0316	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023926	-0.91%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.1117	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.0263	-1.19%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0852	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.032659	-1.62%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.2050	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014606	-0.53%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8288	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014943	-0.45%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0179	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013465	-0.12%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1062	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013221	-0.07%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0217	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013628	-0.09%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0297	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013556	+0.03%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0195	✓	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013745	+0.04%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0111	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013475	-0.26%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0299	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013783	-0.28%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0193	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013472	-0.28%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0223	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013834	-0.44%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0740	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.01389	-0.44%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0021	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013075	-0.15%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0581	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013	-0.11%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0399	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013232	-0.09%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0338	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013974	-0.11%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0479	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013959	-0.07%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0016	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013888	-0.03%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0025	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013973	+0.03%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0159	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014187	+0.06%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0137	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014936	+0.07%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0446	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015755	+0.11%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0402	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015715	+0.13%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0042	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016391	+0.14%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0449	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016823	+0.19%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0131	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017412	+0.07%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0877	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017809	+0.10%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0220	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018173	+0.16%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0070	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017765	+0.17%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0091	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017592	+0.20%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0165	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017946	+0.20%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0279	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017833	+0.24%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0441	✓	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.01729	+0.21%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0085	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018213	+0.16%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0624	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.01874	+0.11%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0224	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020341	-0.03%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.1059	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018218	+0.10%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.0983	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017576	+0.14%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0583	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017279	-0.07%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0933	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016826	-0.16%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0531	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015938	-0.12%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0575	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017618	-0.24%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1041	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017725	-0.25%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0459	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017859	-0.26%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0002	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017808	-0.26%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0043	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017444	-0.23%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0356	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017222	-0.22%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0148	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018374	-0.30%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0596	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017971	-0.30%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0348	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017193	-0.28%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0720	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016952	-0.28%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0184	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017753	-0.32%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0438	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018171	-0.38%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0367	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018449	-0.41%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0025	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.01831	-0.41%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0042	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017215	-0.32%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0491	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015981	-0.18%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0785	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014797	-0.12%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0581	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015177	-0.18%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0224	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016926	-0.44%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0554	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015346	-0.22%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0807	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014286	-0.16%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0725	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013506	-0.10%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0538	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017234	-0.38%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.2040	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.01305	+0.00%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2606	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014112	-0.02%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0826	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013615	+0.00%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0566	✓	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013064	+0.03%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0637	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013006	+0.04%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0134	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.01512	-0.00%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1816	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015992	-0.02%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0689	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015611	+0.01%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0270	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016177	+0.01%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0578	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018995	-0.13%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1638	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019454	-0.18%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0013	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.02084	-0.34%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0602	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020145	-0.20%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0326	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020686	-0.31%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0144	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020472	-0.28%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0144	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020876	-0.35%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0075	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020197	-0.24%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0122	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019962	-0.17%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0100	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020955	-0.33%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0189	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021988	-0.46%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0276	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021285	-0.35%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0267	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020244	-0.15%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0415	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021192	-0.23%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0584	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022781	-0.37%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.0975	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.02284	-0.30%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0406	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023756	-0.31%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0784	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026623	-0.46%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0641	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026041	-0.40%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0075	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025193	-0.33%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0500	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026379	-0.38%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0409	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025216	-0.25%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0407	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024105	-0.15%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0843	✗	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025504	-0.26%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0078	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029541	-0.45%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1096	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030185	-0.45%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0361	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030213	-0.42%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0303	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.02739	-0.22%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0834	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026283	-0.10%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0287	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028502	-0.20%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0419	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029305	-0.22%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0026	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029557	-0.21%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0096	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030675	-0.21%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0488	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031936	-0.22%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0707	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030977	-0.11%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0104	✗	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030318	-0.04%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0232	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031033	+0.03%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0798	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031492	+0.04%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0085	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032409	+0.03%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0089	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034651	-0.03%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0606	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.03783	-0.05%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1760	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028071	+0.29%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.3050	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.03421	+0.12%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1562	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037632	+0.03%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0928	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036801	+0.03%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041663	-0.35%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0569	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049681	-0.64%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1413	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.066717	-1.20%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2858	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038251	+0.00%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5629	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036804	+0.09%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0405	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039204	+0.06%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0532	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044338	-0.05%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1036	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051362	-0.20%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1280	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054581	-0.23%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0623	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053298	-0.15%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0219	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055927	-0.13%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0625	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053525	-0.06%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0727	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053706	-0.01%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.062047	-0.08%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1535	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061167	+0.00%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.074093	-0.16%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1857	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076386	-0.15%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0199	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093735	-0.33%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1911	✓	1.00