ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s6

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0630

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0285

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.297137	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.298161	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.333752	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.308636	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.304566	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.312089	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.298921	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.312379	-3.62%	0.3079	-5.00%	0.0481	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.285718	-3.34%	0.3086	+4.40%	0.0377	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.300377	-3.42%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1483	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.310139	-3.53%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0306	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.314702	-3.54%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0294	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.314439	-3.61%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0542	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.284559	-3.28%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.1014	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.29707	-3.42%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0803	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.288097	-3.26%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0532	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.310388	-3.35%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0391	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.30343	-3.30%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1188	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.313433	-3.40%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0821	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.296145	-3.28%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1240	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.314062	-3.51%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0360	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.317773	-3.54%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0147	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.319209	-3.68%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0652	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.323168	-3.79%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0343	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.311688	-3.68%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0276	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.318745	-3.73%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0131	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.315607	-3.72%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0352	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.325412	-3.94%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0060	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.326084	-3.98%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0032	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.33316	-4.21%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0073	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.327001	-3.91%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0667	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.311513	-3.69%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0865	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.26715	-3.52%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1681	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.271383	-3.65%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1441	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.275159	-3.84%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1628	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.244176	-3.56%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2237	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.240481	-3.46%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2602	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.234248	-3.22%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2344	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.258489	-3.76%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.1232	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.25042	-3.57%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0460	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.251632	-3.44%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0629	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.247096	-3.06%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.1006	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.248073	-3.10%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0229	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.243959	-2.18%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0494	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.246931	-2.09%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0188	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.220532	-0.44%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.2099	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.259338	-1.99%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0452	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.255624	-1.42%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0510	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.252261	-0.61%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0401	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.264222	+0.31%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0246	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.256201	-1.67%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0395	✓	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.251073	-0.21%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0092	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.259679	+0.50%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1660	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.248851	+0.79%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0266	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.253631	+1.17%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0016	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.25696	+0.26%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0360	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.264803	+2.40%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0180	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.264717	+0.84%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0071	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.26297	+0.22%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0289	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.267468	+0.06%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0288	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.263681	-1.13%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0649	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.264841	-2.24%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0709	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.26535	-0.80%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0280	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.236337	-2.70%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0066	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.210026	-2.54%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.1070	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.195393	-2.98%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1282	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.196483	-3.02%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1333	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.198591	-3.17%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.1051	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.196218	-3.10%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1433	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.200412	-3.18%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0933	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.202325	-3.19%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0548	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.208756	-3.31%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0481	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.214077	-3.39%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0769	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.229552	-3.63%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1326	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.227441	-3.54%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0752	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.230169	-3.61%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1017	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.227137	-3.59%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0663	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.225556	-3.65%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0646	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.217459	-3.48%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0094	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.214277	-3.48%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0408	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.2088	-3.42%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1256	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.206868	-3.38%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.1119	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.195613	-3.16%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1701	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.198076	-3.19%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1452	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.200934	-3.07%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1590	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.201838	-3.15%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.1001	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.200953	-3.11%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0968	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.194787	-2.95%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.1075	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.202366	-2.94%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0814	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.208498	-3.16%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0099	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.209432	-3.18%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0057	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.213358	-3.15%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0243	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.211553	-3.00%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0155	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.216688	-3.05%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0069	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.212966	-3.11%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0383	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.213624	-3.16%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0334	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.214127	-3.15%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0122	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.213978	-3.22%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0082	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.212948	-3.21%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0168	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.213135	-3.12%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0047	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.206574	-2.97%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0583	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.203663	-3.16%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0338	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.214378	-3.22%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0155	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.213159	-3.20%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0229	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.211994	-3.15%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0453	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.211148	-3.23%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0328	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.214148	-3.36%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0081	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.214216	-3.29%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0296	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.215794	-3.27%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0011	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.208967	-3.21%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0562	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.206047	-3.22%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0573	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.205834	-3.27%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0405	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.201124	-3.26%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0590	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.19686	-3.22%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0877	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.185131	-2.77%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.1172	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.1962	-3.11%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0815	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.196482	-3.07%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0432	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.198495	-3.08%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0308	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.19887	-3.04%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0361	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.205715	-3.15%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0122	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.21293	-3.26%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0331	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.214367	-3.22%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0676	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.214049	-3.15%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0091	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.210971	-3.09%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0064	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.21099	-3.04%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0235	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.207938	-2.97%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0293	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.207278	-2.91%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0636	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.213224	-2.99%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0727	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.218712	-3.05%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0476	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.225906	-3.17%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0053	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.219512	-3.04%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0207	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.215689	-2.89%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0113	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.216032	-2.73%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0073	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.215054	-2.51%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0011	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.207763	-1.21%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0206	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.213555	-1.22%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0087	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.210514	-0.89%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0646	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.211608	-0.51%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0392	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.211666	+0.99%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0053	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.216784	+1.02%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0054	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.226207	-0.48%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0224	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.234567	-0.94%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0822	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.246904	-2.49%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.0848	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.262288	-3.32%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1530	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.266443	-3.36%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1538	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.263174	-3.28%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1457	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.255225	-3.10%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.0942	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.251658	-2.98%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0394	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.26158	-3.15%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0346	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.274584	-3.28%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0275	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.269654	-3.11%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0528	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.275955	-3.21%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0247	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.275945	-3.21%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0061	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.274269	-3.22%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0256	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.273276	-3.02%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0229	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.27991	-3.11%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0133	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.27864	-3.12%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0253	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.276402	-3.02%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0047	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.275274	-2.90%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0381	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.280954	-2.88%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0246	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.295345	-2.97%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0151	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.299246	-2.62%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0348	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.298226	-2.92%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0185	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.301323	-2.70%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0196	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.313527	-2.63%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0602	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.305033	-2.23%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0378	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.301106	-2.52%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0210	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.301358	-2.60%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0183	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.300198	-2.56%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0156	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.308593	-2.31%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0148	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.310562	-2.46%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0001	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.293967	-2.27%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0787	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.291263	-2.46%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0455	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.293903	-2.42%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0369	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.294989	-2.48%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0346	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.288835	-2.65%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0383	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.289074	-2.67%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0484	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.296326	-2.68%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0392	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.297476	-2.40%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0066	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.304969	-2.19%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0203	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.308891	-2.56%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0326	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.305257	-2.44%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0146	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.307768	-2.23%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0224	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.311962	-2.39%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0314	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.306937	-2.74%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0077	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.307275	-2.85%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0191	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.309304	-3.16%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0287	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.315259	-3.03%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0089	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.321149	-2.89%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0287	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.312957	-3.02%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0175	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.306899	-2.94%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0153	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.302147	-2.94%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0270	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.298462	-2.81%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0468	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.291392	-3.16%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0662	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.305015	-3.11%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0426	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.296366	-2.99%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0773	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.290709	-3.06%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0774	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.291282	-3.16%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0518	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.290033	-3.06%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0524	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.289202	-3.37%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0122	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.286413	-3.34%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0340	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.286228	-3.46%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0441	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.276283	-3.33%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0474	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.278436	-3.35%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0308	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.284192	-3.37%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0305	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.270683	-3.12%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0675	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.266497	-3.06%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0966	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.263051	-2.90%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0906	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.271649	-3.05%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0784	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.277021	-3.11%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0254	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.281116	-3.03%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0422	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.286338	-2.80%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0561	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.284902	-2.83%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0019	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.288113	-2.80%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0084	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.277539	-2.79%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0062	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.280441	-2.73%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0236	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.28213	-2.55%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0520	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.2912	-2.77%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0062	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.305805	-2.86%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0379	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.320263	-2.71%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0575	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.326176	-2.66%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0601	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.316942	-2.81%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0589	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.30709	-2.85%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0418	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.313613	-2.97%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.0759	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.307292	-2.91%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0201	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.309274	-2.96%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0083	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.31222	-3.01%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0176	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.311239	-3.10%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0159	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.310907	-3.20%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0164	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.309016	-3.10%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0147	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.310142	-3.05%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0145	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.306035	-2.78%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0370	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.314892	-2.72%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0353	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.320211	-3.17%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0118	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.326725	-3.22%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0129	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.333727	-3.46%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0406	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.342989	-3.52%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.0762	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.335237	-3.47%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.0732	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.34309	-3.49%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1245	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.347208	-3.53%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1223	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.307391	-2.88%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0277	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.290389	-2.26%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.1070	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.28731	-2.34%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.2048	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.296585	-2.47%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1915	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.297861	-2.37%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1776	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.303761	-2.26%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1514	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.313429	-2.30%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.1204	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.321151	-2.47%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0248	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.32131	-2.49%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0291	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.324183	-2.41%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.0836	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.363208	-3.09%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1573	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.359967	-2.92%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1561	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.354047	-2.22%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1391	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.353101	-2.08%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.0887	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.369618	-2.68%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1000	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.373677	-2.79%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1116	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.383993	-2.91%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1280	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.390266	-2.68%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0466	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.395627	-2.87%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0455	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.364891	+2.44%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0446	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.361134	-0.98%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0844	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.360219	-1.28%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1522	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.352685	-1.29%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2201	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.346108	+0.09%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2302	✓	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.359348	-0.87%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2495	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.379306	-2.77%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2641	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.39593	-3.08%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.2193	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.410478	-3.19%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.1055	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.417658	-3.25%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0451	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.412402	-3.19%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0199	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.414752	-3.21%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0498	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.419938	-3.17%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0060	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.419622	-3.11%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0000	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.424026	-3.12%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0298	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.4346	-3.21%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0220	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.419481	-3.03%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0177	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.440588	-3.00%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0247	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.449123	-2.98%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0501	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.460104	-2.93%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0208	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.465431	-2.93%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0093	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.4758	-3.04%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0008	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.494868	-3.10%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0039	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.446467	-2.62%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0614	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.434243	-2.96%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0263	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.438962	-3.01%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0156	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.440204	-3.04%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0099	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.446458	-3.07%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0012	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.439212	-2.96%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0463	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.444983	-2.99%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0528	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.469801	-3.01%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0490	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.483835	-3.14%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0375	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.475487	-3.26%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0397	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.470576	-3.29%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0323	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.475614	-3.39%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0409	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.466739	-3.41%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0669	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.450788	-3.35%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0418	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.478384	-3.53%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0689	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.459627	-3.44%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0204	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.461846	-3.42%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0063	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.418582	-2.99%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.1082	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.415657	-2.95%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1287	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.418537	-2.96%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.1196	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.429237	-3.04%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0847	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.432164	-3.06%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.1227	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.450685	-3.18%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0769	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.460502	-3.26%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0494	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.47905	-3.42%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.0965	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.470809	-3.34%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.0822	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.439278	-2.99%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0449	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.448748	-3.06%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0351	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.441934	-2.91%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0153	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.437961	-2.78%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0276	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.461338	-3.02%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0242	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.462756	-2.95%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0987	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.467353	-2.96%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0747	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.480602	-2.95%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0489	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.498876	-3.09%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0148	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.504772	-3.10%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0300	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.507568	-3.19%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0533	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.517026	-3.25%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0488	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.508522	-3.21%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.0796	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.488827	-3.05%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0293	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.494622	-3.02%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0057	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.50353	-3.04%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0436	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.521063	-3.24%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0221	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.48569	-2.98%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0045	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.523555	-3.30%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0200	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.529661	-3.36%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0169	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.562953	-3.67%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.0853	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.579524	-3.88%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1400	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.592432	-4.12%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.1782	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.597611	-4.37%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.1703	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.579142	-4.13%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1118	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.592381	-4.45%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1510	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.517147	-2.57%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0436	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.452918	+0.25%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1590	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.453154	+0.39%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2070	✓	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.467753	-0.96%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2952	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.499708	-2.09%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3183	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.494049	-1.39%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2659	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.504035	-1.94%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3337	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.509257	-2.12%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2290	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.512497	-1.73%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0381	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.55057	-3.05%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0211	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.577331	-3.29%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0370	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.600011	-3.44%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0022	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.601675	-3.39%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0393	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.618923	-3.55%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0161	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.617691	-3.58%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0605	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.620882	-3.57%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0294	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.594941	-3.31%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0195	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.621255	-3.52%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0048	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.555885	-2.75%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0883	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.546106	-2.78%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1406	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.59103	-3.08%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1739	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.608712	-3.18%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1755	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.604996	-3.15%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1627	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.609753	-3.26%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1238	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.59026	-3.08%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1881	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.585472	-2.91%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1650	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.666902	-3.35%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0536	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.71474	-3.66%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.0974	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.655367	-3.45%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0170	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.658851	-3.52%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0307	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.640589	-3.45%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0114	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.595832	-3.15%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0145	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.611967	-3.25%	0.603	-4.66%	0.0811	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.643163	-3.44%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0190	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.649389	-3.52%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0471	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.604028	-3.00%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0515	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.595891	-2.73%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0692	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.607115	-2.89%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0607	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.634234	-3.13%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0159	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.654495	-3.20%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0332	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.676546	-3.23%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0514	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.683437	-3.25%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0775	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.601402	-2.46%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0843	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.574798	-2.01%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1596	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.666452	-2.24%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1138	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.69648	-2.25%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0964	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.687608	-2.43%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0864	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.719788	-2.20%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0848	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.698528	-2.18%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1130	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.704344	-2.38%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0101	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.714659	-2.48%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0832	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.725173	-2.77%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0750	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.707454	-2.82%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0495	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.667186	-2.86%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0355	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.673239	-2.85%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0440	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.688125	-3.01%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1207	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.67484	-2.89%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1155	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.664146	-2.70%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0817	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.675971	-2.75%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0710	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.71543	-2.98%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0604	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.695465	-2.83%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0434	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.725027	-2.95%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0706	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.760598	-3.03%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0207	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.779576	-3.09%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0229	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.777308	-3.05%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0376	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.788452	-3.02%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0022	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.