ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s6

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0928

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0223

actual -0.0221

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.294022	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.294947	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.328743	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.303896	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.300194	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.307374	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.294856	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.308276	-4.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.28292	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.297676	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.306938	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.312052	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.311595	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.282601	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.294609	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.286357	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.309	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.302757	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.312713	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.294992	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.312526	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.316322	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.317731	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.321835	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.310273	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.317541	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.314368	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.324406	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.325294	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.332439	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.326642	-4.01%	0.3079	-9.52%	0.0284	✓	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.311637	-3.65%	0.3086	-4.59%	0.0297	✓	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.263899	-4.70%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2499	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.267876	-4.89%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1700	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.271098	-5.26%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1367	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.238552	-5.79%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2386	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.23475	-5.76%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.2054	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.228613	-5.55%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2612	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.252241	-6.09%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.1167	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.243663	-6.18%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1661	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.2448	-6.06%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.2166	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.240508	-5.65%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.2249	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.241795	-5.55%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.2201	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.238432	-4.40%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1556	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.24189	-4.09%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.1981	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.216521	-2.25%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2625	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.25615	-3.19%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1652	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.253201	-2.35%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1452	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.250577	-1.27%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1806	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.263664	+0.10%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.1103	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.258757	-0.69%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1398	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.252758	+0.46%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1715	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.261366	+1.15%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.1732	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.250198	+1.34%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2185	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.255851	+2.05%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.1695	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.262502	+2.42%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1494	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.269246	+4.12%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1447	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.273807	+4.31%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1479	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.275015	+4.81%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1351	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.282188	+5.57%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1386	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.280295	+5.10%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.0851	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.281968	+4.09%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0140	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.282632	+5.66%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0584	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.241336	-0.64%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0458	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.211078	-2.05%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1679	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.19654	-2.41%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1108	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.197621	-2.46%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.0884	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.199559	-2.70%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0282	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.19739	-2.52%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1160	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.20139	-2.71%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.0765	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.203296	-2.73%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0689	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.209307	-3.05%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0199	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.214261	-3.31%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0132	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.228659	-4.01%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0905	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.226923	-3.76%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0648	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.229466	-3.91%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.2115	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.226544	-3.84%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0338	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.224791	-3.98%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0490	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.217202	-3.59%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0307	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.214068	-3.57%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0045	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.208859	-3.40%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0479	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.207051	-3.29%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0163	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.196527	-2.71%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.0772	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.198879	-2.80%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0306	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.201747	-2.68%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0489	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.202573	-2.80%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0587	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.2018	-2.70%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0437	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.195982	-2.35%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1002	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.203382	-2.45%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.0940	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.209196	-2.84%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0590	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.21012	-2.86%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0662	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.214003	-2.86%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0845	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.212541	-2.55%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0764	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.217588	-2.65%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0262	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.213879	-2.69%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0468	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.21445	-2.79%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0628	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.215027	-2.75%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0553	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.214832	-2.83%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0319	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.213969	-2.74%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0449	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.214368	-2.56%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0111	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.208326	-2.15%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0247	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.205738	-2.17%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0315	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.21591	-2.52%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0290	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.214946	-2.39%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.1009	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.214035	-2.22%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0871	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.213409	-2.20%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.0886	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.216385	-2.35%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0476	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.216598	-2.21%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0643	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.218211	-2.19%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0236	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.211911	-1.85%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0403	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.209309	-1.69%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0273	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.209269	-1.66%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0099	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.204759	-1.51%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0306	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.200438	-1.46%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0179	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.187846	-1.34%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0192	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.199734	-1.37%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0032	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.199906	-1.38%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0174	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.202001	-1.37%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0531	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.202356	-1.34%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0357	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.209382	-1.42%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0296	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.216865	-1.47%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0398	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.218353	-1.42%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0193	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.217967	-1.37%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0243	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.214805	-1.33%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0014	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.214839	-1.27%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0110	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.21159	-1.26%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0273	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.210748	-1.29%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0252	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.217039	-1.26%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0249	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.222678	-1.30%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0094	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.229901	-1.46%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0259	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.223283	-1.38%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0393	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.218866	-1.46%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0140	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.218657	-1.55%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0105	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.217159	-1.56%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0114	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.207138	-1.50%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0232	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.21284	-1.55%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0070	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.209393	-1.42%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0668	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.209829	-1.35%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0539	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.207271	-1.11%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0358	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.212333	-1.06%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0135	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.224497	-1.23%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0450	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.233776	-1.28%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0783	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.2488	-1.74%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.1296	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.262451	-3.26%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1732	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.266675	-3.27%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2281	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.263711	-3.08%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1773	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.256341	-2.68%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1444	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.253015	-2.46%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.1215	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.262476	-2.82%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1533	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.274999	-3.14%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1589	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.270736	-2.72%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0688	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.276574	-2.99%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.1053	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.276404	-3.05%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1284	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.274426	-3.17%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1378	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.273952	-2.79%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1273	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.28013	-3.04%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1607	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.278711	-3.09%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1604	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.276598	-2.95%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1342	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.275639	-2.77%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.1119	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.281197	-2.80%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.0994	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.295144	-3.04%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1617	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.299617	-2.50%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1692	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.298002	-2.99%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1666	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.301434	-2.67%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1773	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.313861	-2.53%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2342	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.305986	-1.93%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1783	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.301371	-2.44%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.2047	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.30143	-2.58%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.2105	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.300282	-2.54%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.1995	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.309515	-2.02%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1580	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.31108	-2.30%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1824	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.294348	-2.14%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.0993	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.291088	-2.52%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0549	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.29373	-2.48%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0282	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.294626	-2.60%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0338	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.28822	-2.86%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0388	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.288462	-2.87%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0731	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.295654	-2.91%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1099	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.297027	-2.55%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0725	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.305187	-2.12%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0517	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.308579	-2.66%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.1004	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.305044	-2.51%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0641	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.308145	-2.11%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0660	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.312507	-2.22%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.0777	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.306962	-2.74%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.0942	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.30736	-2.83%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0737	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.308881	-3.29%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.0940	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.315427	-2.98%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1106	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.322158	-2.58%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1302	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.313477	-2.86%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.1024	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.307753	-2.67%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0425	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.303082	-2.64%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0374	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.299635	-2.43%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0127	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.292366	-2.84%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0200	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.305815	-2.85%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0148	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.297571	-2.60%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0229	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.292047	-2.62%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0124	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.292562	-2.74%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0150	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.291513	-2.57%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0077	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.290389	-2.98%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0187	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.287785	-2.87%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0037	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.287469	-3.05%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0603	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.278239	-2.65%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0276	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.280285	-2.71%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0277	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.28567	-2.87%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0280	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.272878	-2.33%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0142	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.269007	-2.14%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0200	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.265681	-1.93%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0447	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.274288	-2.11%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0088	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.279637	-2.19%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0011	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.283392	-2.24%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0346	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.288101	-2.21%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0294	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.286932	-2.14%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0258	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.290096	-2.13%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0337	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.2804	-1.79%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0429	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.283225	-1.76%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0491	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.284652	-1.67%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.0857	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.294142	-1.79%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0485	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.308462	-2.01%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0175	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.322641	-1.99%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0106	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.328743	-1.90%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0385	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.320007	-1.87%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0394	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.310786	-1.68%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0404	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.317456	-1.78%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0518	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.311549	-1.56%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0124	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.313766	-1.55%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0518	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.316897	-1.55%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0717	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.31637	-1.50%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0749	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.316468	-1.47%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.1120	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.314574	-1.36%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0650	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.315801	-1.28%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0723	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.311534	-1.04%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0142	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.320526	-0.98%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0596	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.326519	-1.26%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.1097	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.333138	-1.32%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.1172	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.340322	-1.56%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2254	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.349453	-1.70%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2372	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.34169	-1.62%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2333	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.349434	-1.71%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.2071	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.353403	-1.81%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1929	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.311476	-1.59%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1216	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.292846	-1.43%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0621	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.29049	-1.26%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0209	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.30024	-1.27%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0425	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.301251	-1.26%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0521	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.306696	-1.32%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0836	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.316387	-1.38%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1343	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.324815	-1.36%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.1083	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.325231	-1.30%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0590	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.327842	-1.31%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0520	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.368747	-1.62%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1496	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.364647	-1.66%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1551	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.355999	-1.68%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1748	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.354596	-1.67%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1378	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.372732	-1.86%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1832	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.37689	-1.95%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1689	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.386779	-2.21%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1800	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.391575	-2.35%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1888	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.396812	-2.57%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1591	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.351664	-1.27%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1456	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.358709	-1.64%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0448	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.358981	-1.62%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0633	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.35186	-1.52%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0086	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.341485	-1.25%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.0949	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.357525	-1.37%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.0891	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.3826	-1.92%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1680	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.399176	-2.28%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1387	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.413085	-2.57%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1654	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.41995	-2.72%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1393	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.415044	-2.57%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1377	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.417397	-2.59%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0587	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.422331	-2.62%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0117	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.42211	-2.54%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0305	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.426458	-2.57%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0142	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.436547	-2.77%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0338	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.422319	-2.38%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0282	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.442272	-2.63%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.0855	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.450567	-2.66%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.0920	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.461362	-2.67%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0577	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.466701	-2.67%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0689	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.476838	-2.82%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1519	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.495722	-2.93%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1350	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.44818	-2.25%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2274	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.436626	-2.43%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.1929	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.441316	-2.49%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.1987	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.442698	-2.49%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1775	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.448853	-2.55%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2158	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.442208	-2.30%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2630	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.448029	-2.33%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2677	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.472311	-2.50%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2802	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.485902	-2.72%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0651	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.477509	-2.85%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0003	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.472855	-2.82%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0792	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.477502	-3.01%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.0995	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.469221	-2.89%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.0865	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.454694	-2.51%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.0980	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.480235	-3.16%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.0993	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.463224	-2.68%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1207	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.465517	-2.65%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.0949	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.424351	-1.66%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0029	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.421607	-1.56%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0276	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.424674	-1.54%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0083	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.435526	-1.62%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0339	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.438642	-1.61%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0332	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.456891	-1.85%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0297	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.466537	-1.99%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0705	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.484251	-2.37%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1281	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.476759	-2.12%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.1128	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.445887	-1.53%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0823	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.455619	-1.57%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0860	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.448651	-1.44%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0253	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.444397	-1.35%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0181	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.468451	-1.52%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.1274	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.469781	-1.47%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0625	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.474615	-1.45%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0564	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.487585	-1.54%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0391	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.505422	-1.82%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0700	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.511083	-1.88%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.0967	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.514191	-1.93%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.1237	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.523313	-2.07%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.1270	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.515907	-1.81%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.1017	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.496962	-1.44%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0439	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.50277	-1.42%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0097	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.511671	-1.47%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0150	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.529119	-1.74%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0495	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.493861	-1.35%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0776	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.532366	-1.67%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0390	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.538445	-1.76%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0631	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.568833	-2.66%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1247	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.58289	-3.32%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2443	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.593207	-4.00%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2747	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.596247	-4.59%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3212	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.58155	-3.73%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2616	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.591641	-4.57%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.2938	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.519448	-2.14%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1746	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.445495	-1.40%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0068	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.445472	-1.31%	0.496	+9.88%	0.0776	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.465573	-1.42%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1029	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.502436	-1.56%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0236	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.493628	-1.47%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0365	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.506362	-1.49%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0015	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.512946	-1.41%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0263	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.515114	-1.22%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0286	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.558606	-1.64%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0043	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.584663	-2.07%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0099	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.605611	-2.54%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0355	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.607061	-2.53%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0587	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.622836	-2.94%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0166	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.621888	-2.92%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0259	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.624667	-2.99%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0614	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.601583	-2.23%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0694	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.625153	-2.91%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0282	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.56274	-1.55%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0504	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.553188	-1.52%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1592	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.597152	-2.07%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2193	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.614631	-2.24%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2087	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.611771	-2.07%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2057	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.617211	-2.08%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.1827	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.597915	-1.82%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3122	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.592294	-1.78%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.3932	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.669606	-2.96%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3207	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.714183	-3.74%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3335	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.658277	-3.02%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3099	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.661511	-3.13%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3460	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.644881	-2.81%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2423	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.603246	-1.94%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.0908	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.618238	-2.25%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0488	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.647342	-2.82%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0047	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.653086	-2.97%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0098	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.609938	-2.05%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0463	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.601341	-1.84%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0382	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.612771	-1.99%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0353	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.639029	-2.39%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0471	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.657355	-2.77%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0545	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.677028	-3.16%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0765	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.682982	-3.32%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.0853	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.604784	-1.92%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.0964	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.577317	-1.58%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2286	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.664527	-2.52%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2259	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.692908	-2.75%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.1886	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.684225	-2.91%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1570	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.716518	-2.65%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1578	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.696225	-2.50%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.0851	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.702206	-2.67%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0248	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.712126	-2.82%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0093	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.721803	-3.22%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0041	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.704283	-3.26%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0031	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.667043	-2.88%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0184	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.67227	-2.99%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0395	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.687427	-3.11%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1414	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.675819	-2.75%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0444	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.665749	-2.47%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0367	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.677807	-2.49%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0385	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.713587	-3.23%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0090	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.69669	-2.66%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0196	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.725755	-2.86%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0824	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.759279	-3.20%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0713	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.777351	-3.36%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0761	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.775793	-3.24%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0335	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.786971	-3.20%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0810	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.