DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s6

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

132

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

53.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1618

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0302

actual +0.0596

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.390229	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.391025	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.38744	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.387127	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.370923	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.390669	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.375457	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.398006	-3.23%	0.40159	-2.35%	0.0259	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.402581	-3.32%	0.402115	-3.43%	0.0424	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.43468	-3.59%	0.398745	-11.56%	0.0836	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.425074	-3.57%	0.39882	-9.52%	0.0654	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.477667	-3.76%	0.38187	-23.06%	0.1922	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.514913	-4.40%	0.403015	-25.18%	0.2151	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.488615	-5.27%	0.387205	-24.93%	0.2122	✓	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.417585	-4.39%	0.41127	-5.83%	0.0235	✓	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.360197	-3.57%	0.416385	+11.47%	0.1796	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.391684	-3.90%	0.450845	+10.61%	0.1879	✗	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.395358	-4.06%	0.4408	+6.97%	0.1867	✗	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.399495	-4.19%	0.49633	+19.04%	0.2713	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.369623	-3.88%	0.538615	+40.07%	0.4118	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.380078	-4.13%	0.515775	+30.10%	0.3432	✗	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.378379	-4.25%	0.436745	+10.52%	0.2044	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.373247	-4.25%	0.373545	-4.18%	0.0062	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.365523	-4.23%	0.407595	+6.79%	0.0731	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.353872	-4.23%	0.41208	+11.52%	0.1106	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.41243	-5.24%	0.41695	-4.20%	0.0222	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.393133	-4.80%	0.38453	-6.88%	0.0275	✓	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.422594	-4.87%	0.39644	-10.76%	0.0704	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.430347	-5.13%	0.395175	-12.89%	0.0926	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.455609	-6.26%	0.38983	-19.80%	0.1430	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.4122	-5.53%	0.381685	-12.52%	0.0349	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.38197	-5.52%	0.36952	-8.60%	0.0193	✓	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.366311	-6.44%	0.43524	+11.17%	0.1108	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.402173	-9.93%	0.412955	-7.51%	0.0317	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.272796	-7.59%	0.44425	+50.50%	0.4280	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.234796	-7.96%	0.45364	+77.84%	0.5137	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.222054	-9.21%	0.48606	+98.74%	0.6351	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.13439	-1.94%	0.436315	+218.36%	0.9990	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.138351	-1.87%	0.4043	+186.77%	0.9314	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.140855	-1.88%	0.391515	+172.72%	0.9449	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.147069	-1.90%	0.446505	+197.83%	1.0408	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.145718	-1.88%	0.29519	+98.77%	0.6421	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.144925	-1.88%	0.25509	+72.70%	0.5688	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.151122	-1.93%	0.24457	+58.71%	0.5190	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.160632	-2.01%	0.13705	-16.40%	0.1083	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.154668	-1.80%	0.140985	-10.49%	0.0765	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.162044	-1.88%	0.14356	-13.07%	0.0583	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.167905	-2.52%	0.14992	-12.96%	0.0680	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.147505	-1.43%	0.148505	-0.76%	0.0527	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.156018	-1.60%	0.147705	-6.85%	0.0309	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.141848	-1.30%	0.154095	+7.23%	0.0639	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.14114	-1.19%	0.16393	+14.76%	0.1293	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.151784	-1.28%	0.1575	+2.44%	0.0285	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.154074	-1.44%	0.16514	+5.64%	0.0266	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.168869	-1.76%	0.17224	+0.20%	0.0021	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.16604	-2.01%	0.14964	-11.69%	0.1292	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.172454	-2.29%	0.15856	-10.16%	0.0971	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.163084	-2.29%	0.14371	-13.90%	0.1032	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.145467	-1.74%	0.14284	-3.51%	0.0031	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.159259	-2.78%	0.153755	-6.14%	0.0297	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.129209	-1.44%	0.15632	+19.25%	0.1913	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.112052	-1.14%	0.1719	+51.67%	0.4139	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.116994	-1.59%	0.16944	+42.53%	0.3760	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.097345	-1.15%	0.17649	+79.22%	0.5324	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.096995	-1.72%	0.166915	+69.13%	0.4476	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.091621	-1.98%	0.14804	+58.37%	0.3399	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.09352	-2.34%	0.163815	+71.06%	0.4131	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.099086	-4.27%	0.13109	+26.64%	0.1027	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.091046	-2.07%	0.11334	+21.90%	0.0507	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.090905	-1.98%	0.11888	+28.19%	0.0857	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.093156	-1.92%	0.098475	+3.68%	0.0617	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.096615	-2.05%	0.09869	+0.05%	0.0530	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.09565	-2.03%	0.093475	-4.26%	0.0380	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.09159	-1.90%	0.095765	+2.57%	0.0371	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.094886	-2.25%	0.10351	+6.63%	0.1131	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.095177	-2.24%	0.092975	-4.50%	0.0011	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.094797	-2.16%	0.09274	-4.28%	0.0029	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.095604	-2.25%	0.09498	-2.89%	0.0045	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.098512	-2.34%	0.09864	-2.22%	0.0168	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.099188	-2.44%	0.097635	-3.97%	0.0089	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.095196	-2.02%	0.093365	-3.91%	0.0252	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.097552	-2.15%	0.09707	-2.64%	0.0224	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.103006	-2.60%	0.09736	-7.94%	0.0856	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.11155	-4.40%	0.096885	-16.97%	0.1693	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.093173	-1.48%	0.097805	+3.42%	0.0565	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.095228	-1.50%	0.100875	+4.34%	0.0448	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.10103	-2.06%	0.10167	-1.44%	0.0026	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.103516	-2.19%	0.09716	-8.20%	0.0591	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.111543	-2.65%	0.0997	-12.98%	0.0802	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.110723	-2.60%	0.105755	-6.97%	0.0185	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.112137	-2.47%	0.116685	+1.48%	0.0624	✗	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.116076	-2.55%	0.094575	-20.60%	0.1991	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.118599	-2.46%	0.09668	-20.49%	0.1666	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.117198	-2.29%	0.10316	-13.99%	0.0817	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.120818	-2.34%	0.105835	-14.45%	0.1045	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.120306	-2.25%	0.114575	-6.90%	0.0609	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.123314	-2.21%	0.113675	-9.85%	0.0722	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.126951	-2.29%	0.11498	-11.50%	0.1027	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.131969	-2.45%	0.119115	-11.95%	0.1273	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.141066	-3.28%	0.121595	-16.63%	0.1739	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.147808	-4.76%	0.11994	-22.72%	0.2369	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.113874	-2.58%	0.123715	+5.83%	0.0505	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.119979	-2.72%	0.12307	-0.21%	0.0159	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.120545	-2.80%	0.1261	+1.68%	0.0347	✗	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.114127	-3.05%	0.129925	+10.37%	0.1321	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.11123	-2.75%	0.135285	+18.29%	0.1897	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.106029	-2.77%	0.145845	+33.74%	0.2945	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.107405	-2.84%	0.1552	+40.40%	0.3522	✗	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.110472	-2.80%	0.116895	+2.86%	0.0730	✗	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.108991	-2.84%	0.12333	+9.94%	0.1221	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.104398	-3.04%	0.12402	+15.19%	0.1659	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.106421	-3.53%	0.11772	+6.72%	0.0853	✗	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.107823	-3.82%	0.11437	+2.02%	0.0410	✗	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.101915	-5.04%	0.10905	+1.61%	0.0440	✓	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.107116	-5.72%	0.11054	-2.70%	0.0319	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.101272	-4.17%	0.11365	+7.54%	0.0588	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.097309	-4.29%	0.11218	+10.34%	0.0823	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.085232	-2.39%	0.10767	+23.31%	0.1873	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.081546	-1.70%	0.11031	+32.97%	0.2610	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.081869	-1.41%	0.112105	+35.00%	0.2849	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.08165	-1.36%	0.10732	+29.65%	0.2903	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.084727	-1.66%	0.11361	+31.86%	0.3614	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.085782	-1.71%	0.10568	+21.09%	0.2697	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.089085	-1.88%	0.10167	+11.98%	0.1935	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.096338	-2.23%	0.08732	-11.38%	0.0292	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.093137	-2.09%	0.08296	-12.79%	0.0595	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.092111	-2.08%	0.08304	-11.73%	0.0519	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.095827	-2.14%	0.082775	-15.47%	0.0912	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.098219	-2.20%	0.08616	-14.21%	0.0846	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.099677	-2.28%	0.087275	-14.44%	0.0971	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.09845	-2.40%	0.090795	-9.99%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.098166	-2.58%	0.098535	-2.22%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.099494	-2.62%	0.09513	-6.89%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.10153	-2.69%	0.09407	-9.84%	0.0655	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.096214	-2.42%	0.09792	-0.69%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.102195	-2.73%	0.10043	-4.41%	0.0792	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.107728	-3.29%	0.102	-8.43%	0.1043	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.100822	-2.73%	0.10087	-2.68%	0.0368	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.089787	-1.90%	0.10077	+10.10%	0.0582	✗	1.00