DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s6

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

108

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

29.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4497

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0593

actual +0.3218

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.360467	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.371848	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.370688	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.354976	-7.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.372979	-7.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.357937	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.378818	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.382567	-8.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.412755	-8.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.403095	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.454007	-8.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.48887	-9.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.464226	-9.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.396991	-9.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.340741	-8.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.369897	-9.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.372654	-9.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.375961	-9.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.348365	-9.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.35737	-9.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.355469	-10.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.34931	-10.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.341777	-10.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.329917	-10.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.380561	-12.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.363859	-11.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.392505	-11.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.402561	-11.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.426875	-12.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.386608	-11.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.359524	-11.07%	0.386075	-4.51%	0.1367	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.345558	-11.74%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.1097	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.374449	-16.14%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0518	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.256147	-13.23%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3781	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.220089	-13.72%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.5126	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.205319	-16.05%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.5362	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.12961	-5.43%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0419	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.133755	-5.13%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0771	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.136017	-5.25%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.0878	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.142167	-5.17%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0531	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.141141	-4.96%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1467	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.140226	-5.06%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2365	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.146264	-5.08%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.1883	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.155076	-5.40%	0.436745	+166.42%	0.9804	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.149795	-4.89%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8423	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.157504	-4.62%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8634	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.163717	-4.95%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.8241	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.144119	-3.69%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9422	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.152797	-3.63%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8630	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.13806	-3.93%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.9204	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.137706	-3.59%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.9153	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.148314	-3.54%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.8890	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.150565	-3.68%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8367	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.165157	-3.92%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7353	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.163065	-3.76%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.8934	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.170722	-3.27%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8296	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.161838	-3.04%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9441	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.145844	-1.48%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0597	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.159144	-2.85%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0487	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.131103	+0.01%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.1042	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.115445	+1.86%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1458	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.121766	+2.43%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1357	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.098175	-0.31%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4443	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.096114	-2.61%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0101	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.089821	-3.91%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9241	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.09182	-4.12%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8588	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.096596	-6.68%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.1959	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.088135	-5.21%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.2894	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.088167	-4.93%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3214	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.090625	-4.59%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3390	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.093967	-4.74%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.2930	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.093096	-4.65%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3058	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.088957	-4.72%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.3783	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.091817	-5.41%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4219	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.092252	-5.25%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3711	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.092081	-4.96%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4072	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.092728	-5.19%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4374	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.095595	-5.23%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.2732	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.096345	-5.24%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.2976	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.092434	-4.86%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.2780	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.094595	-5.12%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2478	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.099819	-5.61%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2364	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.107202	-8.13%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.1912	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.089914	-4.93%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4327	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.091817	-5.03%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.3834	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.096899	-6.07%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3316	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.099271	-6.20%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2656	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.106737	-6.84%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1210	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.106025	-6.73%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.2014	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.107606	-6.41%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0230	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.111372	-6.50%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1733	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.114021	-6.23%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1484	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.112949	-5.83%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2416	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.116248	-6.04%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2356	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.1159	-5.83%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.2150	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.118991	-5.64%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.2113	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.122465	-5.74%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1475	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.127626	-5.66%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.3020	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.137205	-5.92%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3587	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.143098	-7.80%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3806	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.109769	-6.10%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.1197	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.115928	-6.00%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1696	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.116412	-6.13%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.2220	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.110515	-6.12%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1371	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.107131	-6.33%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.1132	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.10203	-6.44%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0777	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.103745	-6.15%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0680	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.106655	-6.15%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0613	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.10506	-6.35%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0372	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.100742	-6.43%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0397	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.102223	-7.33%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0345	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.102843	-8.26%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0143	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.097091	-9.53%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1542	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.10006	-11.93%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1373	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.095885	-9.27%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0467	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.092337	-9.18%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0472	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.081698	-6.44%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.2038	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.078437	-5.45%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.2937	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.078838	-5.06%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.2918	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.078844	-4.75%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3277	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.08208	-4.74%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3347	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.08326	-4.60%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3459	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.086331	-4.92%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2782	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.093275	-5.34%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2671	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.090269	-5.11%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.2911	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.089254	-5.12%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3155	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.093178	-4.84%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3410	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.095767	-4.64%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.3740	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.096863	-5.04%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4331	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.095405	-5.42%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.4976	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.094736	-5.99%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2444	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.095962	-6.08%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2477	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.097853	-6.22%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2337	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.092866	-5.82%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.1944	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.098338	-6.40%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1272	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.103288	-7.27%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.0675	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.096824	-6.59%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1322	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.086765	-5.21%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2194	✗	1.00