XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s5

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +7d

assessed

308

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

55.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1024

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0237

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.077491	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.076214	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.074605	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.07497	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.076852	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.080693	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.083527	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.078969	-1.61%	0.07959	-0.83%	0.0139	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.081196	-1.77%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0341	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.079409	-1.34%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0413	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.086566	-2.08%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0897	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.085634	-1.93%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0569	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.083205	-1.67%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0134	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.082488	-1.49%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0302	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.085946	-1.88%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0378	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.087862	-2.16%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0175	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.092437	-2.50%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0652	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.093715	-2.70%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0064	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.09299	-2.79%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0286	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.090714	-2.79%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0327	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.093361	-2.90%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0494	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.092018	-3.00%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0439	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.092901	-2.99%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0701	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.095354	-2.98%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0495	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.102968	-2.94%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.1078	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.108039	-3.07%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1284	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.110352	-3.73%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1761	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.107087	-3.39%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1173	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.087384	-2.91%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.0994	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.093727	-2.75%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0708	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.095288	-2.76%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0887	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.08656	-3.00%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1429	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.089442	-2.98%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1625	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.091067	-2.93%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1710	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.0854	-2.31%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.1094	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.07976	-1.50%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0349	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.080739	-1.39%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0328	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.082643	-1.52%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0184	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077066	-0.94%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0667	✗	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.079276	-0.98%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0785	✗	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.08176	-0.87%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0705	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.083369	-0.86%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0510	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.088419	-0.86%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0481	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.096856	-1.51%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1093	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.092157	-0.84%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0749	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089478	-0.11%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0650	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093014	-0.11%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.0955	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093231	+0.03%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0704	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.097919	+1.50%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0528	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.082391	-1.07%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0569	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.081812	-1.00%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1598	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.083582	-0.34%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0953	✗	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.083438	-0.78%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0183	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.086581	-0.33%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0429	✗	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.084125	-0.52%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0679	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.09126	+1.16%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0375	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.088148	+0.49%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0245	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090603	+0.15%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0712	✗	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097316	-0.06%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1411	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.099821	-1.79%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1703	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.092468	-1.34%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0841	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.099978	-1.60%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1587	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.086441	-2.73%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.0834	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.078088	-2.89%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0574	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.073555	-3.08%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0664	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.073787	-3.01%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0131	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.072536	-3.06%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0282	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.07353	-3.05%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0494	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.073963	-3.14%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0009	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.073035	-3.08%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0102	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071702	-3.00%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0185	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.075879	-3.37%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0266	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.075957	-3.46%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0115	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.074098	-3.28%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0579	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.073548	-3.33%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0760	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.073292	-3.25%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0865	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.072812	-3.02%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0542	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.072883	-2.78%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0423	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.075618	-2.92%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0498	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.075388	-2.83%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0322	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.07393	-2.72%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0036	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.07326	-2.51%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0126	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.071951	-2.17%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0030	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.0761	-2.50%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0031	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.075504	-2.13%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0230	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.081435	-2.53%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0490	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.077296	-1.97%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0088	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.083099	-2.52%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0489	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.081277	-2.37%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0443	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.082598	-2.42%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.0881	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.0794	-2.16%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0099	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.082818	-2.45%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0229	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.081759	-2.26%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0801	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083085	-2.31%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0188	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.078849	-1.93%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0639	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.081103	-1.93%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0368	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.083588	-1.89%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0085	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.084849	-1.79%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0739	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.090075	-2.09%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.0873	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.091228	-2.12%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1182	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087842	-1.85%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.0955	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.087154	-1.91%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.1012	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.089103	-1.98%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.0982	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.089964	-2.05%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0488	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.093339	-2.16%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.0919	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.089123	-1.96%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0293	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.096638	-2.19%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0758	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.106369	-2.59%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1311	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.103947	-2.53%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1607	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.103882	-2.55%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1501	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.103938	-2.59%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1626	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.093164	-2.04%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0169	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.089229	-1.73%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0368	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.085365	-1.43%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0354	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.102265	-2.51%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0138	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.093695	-2.20%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0448	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.09846	-2.37%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0148	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.101057	-2.55%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0024	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.102062	-2.71%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.1079	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.089876	-2.31%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0333	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.086578	-2.50%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0981	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.082656	-2.59%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3289	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.086805	-2.68%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1910	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.091698	-2.76%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.1976	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.097944	-2.83%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1421	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.095065	-2.80%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1760	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.108456	-3.68%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0866	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.08872	-2.83%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0729	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.087532	-2.90%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0257	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.087157	-2.73%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0845	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.084581	-2.78%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1142	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.079904	-3.26%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2339	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.073475	-2.55%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.3036	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.060648	-0.90%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5483	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.064844	-1.90%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2505	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.068286	-2.45%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.2046	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.067548	-2.53%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2263	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.064306	-1.82%	0.087	+32.82%	0.2204	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.06554	-2.18%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1740	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.081677	-3.23%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0753	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.090277	-3.86%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3323	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.083436	-3.21%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1191	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.089637	-3.62%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0825	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.086096	-3.37%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0072	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.087799	-3.52%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0227	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.085336	-3.79%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0175	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.090558	-5.18%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1333	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.082228	-3.38%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3526	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.084751	-3.80%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.2094	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.082957	-3.59%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2458	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.078825	-3.04%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.1965	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.081575	-3.23%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1701	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.080046	-2.62%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1472	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.086603	-3.45%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1815	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.084598	-2.98%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0711	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.079812	-2.25%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1180	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.081639	-2.52%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0464	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.081499	-2.51%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0064	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.084288	-2.78%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0297	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.086362	-2.96%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0246	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.09287	-3.61%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0351	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.091022	-3.37%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0066	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.092606	-3.59%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0537	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.098311	-3.99%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0710	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.102947	-4.10%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1196	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.101891	-4.06%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1139	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.105273	-4.47%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1470	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.102652	-3.70%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0828	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.097223	-2.83%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0024	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.090683	-2.02%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0641	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.086999	-1.58%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1346	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.088293	-1.57%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1388	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.08915	-1.60%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1440	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.089678	-1.56%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1751	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.089977	-1.34%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1075	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.091869	-1.27%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0097	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.094711	-1.45%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.1021	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.09672	-1.71%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1328	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.098636	-2.05%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0930	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.097992	-2.16%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0965	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.097862	-2.19%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0854	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.098746	-2.28%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0441	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.099381	-2.33%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0216	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.10011	-2.43%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0403	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.101924	-2.56%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0627	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.10114	-2.61%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0956	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.106227	-2.86%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0945	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.123383	-3.15%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2163	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.135732	-3.60%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3542	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.126657	-3.35%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2829	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.129471	-3.38%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2749	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.134969	-3.59%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2825	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.119999	-3.42%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.2052	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.131971	-3.46%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2381	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.125736	-3.54%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0637	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.118859	-3.48%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.1054	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.120341	-3.50%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0132	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.125762	-3.48%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0200	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.115502	-3.83%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0815	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.116976	-3.84%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0247	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.112419	-4.20%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0796	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.105269	-4.56%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0935	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.110225	-7.45%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0121	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.102137	-3.64%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1379	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.091014	-1.98%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2825	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.08706	-1.46%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2766	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.08533	-1.24%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2893	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.087433	-1.37%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2733	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.088038	-1.36%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2123	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.091975	-1.79%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.2986	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.098115	-2.37%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1436	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.095625	-2.12%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0188	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.094617	-2.00%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0186	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.089614	-1.58%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0043	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.091037	-1.79%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0290	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.092441	-1.92%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0526	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.096829	-2.19%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0092	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.105633	-2.60%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0510	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.115045	-2.96%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.0950	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.119608	-3.39%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1339	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.104525	-2.72%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0380	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.107051	-2.90%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.0960	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.105295	-2.82%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1017	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.103556	-2.76%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0324	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.097249	-2.36%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0877	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.096733	-2.44%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1232	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.088985	-2.21%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.2008	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.090752	-2.47%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0217	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.092269	-2.67%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0926	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.095953	-2.78%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0615	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.11502	-3.30%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0699	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.11051	-3.23%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0538	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.111264	-3.83%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1512	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.101441	-3.02%	0.091	-13.00%	0.0997	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.095032	-2.63%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0257	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.098967	-2.88%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0496	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.089536	-2.36%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0472	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.092304	-2.43%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1800	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.100115	-3.18%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0318	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.085457	-1.89%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.2117	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.085374	-1.87%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.1137	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.08773	-2.03%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1466	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.094275	-2.51%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0989	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.092728	-2.55%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0346	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.091244	-2.57%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0250	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.089966	-2.58%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.1055	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.093746	-2.95%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0007	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.098674	-3.45%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0352	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.093345	-2.97%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0170	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.098721	-3.40%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0170	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.09452	-2.86%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0237	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.090205	-1.79%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0213	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081323	-0.34%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1401	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.080872	-0.22%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.2060	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.083278	-0.44%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2305	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.082595	-0.01%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1833	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.084242	+0.53%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1819	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.084395	+0.77%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1782	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.081902	+3.80%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0231	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.094132	-0.76%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0442	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.094076	-1.08%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0694	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.101967	-1.91%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0678	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.099899	-1.38%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0197	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.104594	-1.60%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0762	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.119694	-2.57%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0654	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.122688	-2.40%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2708	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.139509	-3.79%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.0859	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.134512	-2.81%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0388	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.12307	-1.43%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.0950	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.117568	-0.87%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1207	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.127293	-1.40%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1000	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.123073	-1.07%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1382	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.121849	-0.82%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1600	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.125024	-0.77%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1533	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.120377	-0.18%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1191	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.132357	-1.08%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0504	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.130104	-0.99%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.0911	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.138349	-1.46%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.0819	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.14252	-1.51%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0141	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.140849	-1.37%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0159	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.158539	-2.02%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0520	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.158318	-2.09%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.1008	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.150488	-1.83%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1541	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.160765	-2.27%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2759	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.157231	-2.34%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2395	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.164811	-2.59%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2624	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.160747	-2.64%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2403	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.173556	-2.88%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2191	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.202027	-3.43%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2602	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.183933	-3.09%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1193	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.186464	-3.19%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.1088	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.192244	-3.30%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1712	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.188748	-3.50%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1249	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.165626	-3.14%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0616	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.156249	-3.07%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.0919	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.158861	-3.02%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2168	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.153303	-3.10%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1388	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.150496	-3.16%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.2063	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.148414	-3.06%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2610	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.135814	-2.82%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3347	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.129642	-2.67%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2591	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.129457	-2.66%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2206	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.126679	-2.48%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2460	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.125346	-2.38%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2492	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.126288	-2.33%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2161	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.133537	-2.53%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1426	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.128226	-2.27%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.0951	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.117832	-1.23%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.1028	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.123204	-1.63%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0604	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.130628	-2.11%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.132707	-1.88%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0574	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.147894	-2.41%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1397	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.152363	-2.46%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0847	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.145275	-2.11%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0774	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.15942	-2.35%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2103	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.