XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s5

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +30d

assessed

285

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

61.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1811

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0687

actual -0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.073105	-8.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.0721	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.070586	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.070905	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.072516	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.075981	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.078554	-8.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.074265	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.076556	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.074844	-7.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.081794	-7.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.080919	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.078735	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.07816	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.08165	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.083672	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.088139	-7.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.089443	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.088684	-7.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.086526	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.089033	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.087636	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.088623	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.091167	-7.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.098957	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.10423	-6.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.106611	-7.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.103045	-7.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.083842	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.090449	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.092299	-5.81%	0.07959	-18.78%	0.0760	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.082573	-7.47%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.0870	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.085338	-7.43%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1226	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.086825	-7.45%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1448	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.080069	-8.41%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1143	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.074868	-7.54%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0032	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.075758	-7.48%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0093	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.07825	-6.75%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0377	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.072996	-6.17%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0102	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.07532	-5.92%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0150	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.077974	-5.46%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0093	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.079474	-5.49%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0229	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.084813	-4.90%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.0785	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.092959	-5.47%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.1683	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.088602	-4.67%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.0946	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.086498	-3.44%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.0669	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.090215	-3.12%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.0694	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.090921	-2.45%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.0787	✓	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.096637	+0.17%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.0798	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.079781	-4.20%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0017	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.079374	-3.95%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0265	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.081647	-2.65%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0505	✗	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.081265	-3.36%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0488	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.084938	-2.22%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0502	✗	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.082668	-2.24%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.1286	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.092035	+2.02%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.1177	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.088223	+0.57%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1704	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090586	+0.13%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0984	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097504	+0.14%	0.09	-7.57%	0.1747	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.098231	-3.35%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.1674	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.09193	-1.91%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1024	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.099707	-1.86%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.1606	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.084287	-5.16%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.0522	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.075607	-5.97%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0114	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.070844	-6.65%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0235	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.071001	-6.68%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1066	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.069724	-6.82%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1078	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.070559	-6.96%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1396	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.070896	-7.16%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.1968	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.069996	-7.11%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1551	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.068739	-7.01%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1130	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.072495	-7.68%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1292	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.072518	-7.83%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.0955	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.070757	-7.64%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0382	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.070111	-7.85%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0209	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.069851	-7.79%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0755	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.069214	-7.81%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0304	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.06916	-7.75%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0191	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.071238	-8.55%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0508	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.071026	-8.45%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1392	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.069922	-8.00%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1344	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.06935	-7.72%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1470	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.068261	-7.19%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1095	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.072334	-7.32%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.0977	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.071741	-7.01%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1217	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.077145	-7.67%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.1749	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.073478	-6.81%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1342	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.079151	-7.15%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1259	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.077401	-7.03%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0610	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.07868	-7.05%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0160	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.07593	-6.43%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0327	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.07935	-6.54%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0052	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.078631	-6.00%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0105	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.079696	-6.29%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.0775	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.075735	-5.80%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0021	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.078025	-5.65%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0185	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.080227	-5.84%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0462	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.081297	-5.91%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0520	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.086045	-6.47%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.0828	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.087164	-6.48%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1126	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.083571	-6.62%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1476	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.083353	-6.19%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0551	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.085277	-6.19%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.0837	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.08616	-6.19%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1345	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.089292	-6.40%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.2022	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.085515	-5.92%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.1864	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.092772	-6.10%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2342	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.102345	-6.28%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3254	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.099903	-6.33%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2600	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.099887	-6.30%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2619	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.099926	-6.35%	0.076	-28.77%	0.2975	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.089509	-5.88%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.2057	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.085813	-5.49%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2235	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.082396	-4.85%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.1957	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.097621	-6.94%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.3126	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.089258	-6.83%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1561	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.094063	-6.73%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2532	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.096648	-6.80%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2332	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.097505	-7.05%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2520	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.085772	-6.77%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.0808	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.082676	-6.90%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.0728	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.079113	-6.76%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0218	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.083031	-6.92%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0688	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.087888	-6.80%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0555	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.094163	-6.58%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.1865	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.091704	-6.23%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1483	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.105045	-6.71%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.1972	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.085829	-5.99%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0510	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.084843	-5.89%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1189	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.084485	-5.71%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1157	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.082297	-5.41%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1412	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.078067	-5.49%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1242	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.071596	-5.04%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2334	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.058875	-3.80%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3816	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.062814	-4.97%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3825	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.066007	-5.70%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3394	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.065165	-5.97%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.4157	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.061938	-5.44%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4947	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.063034	-5.92%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4675	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.078353	-7.16%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3218	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.08597	-8.45%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2488	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.079534	-7.73%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.2974	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.08539	-8.18%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.2938	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.082258	-7.68%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3707	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.083948	-7.75%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5091	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.081514	-8.10%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4573	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.085327	-10.65%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4609	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.077774	-8.61%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.6037	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.0798	-9.42%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6305	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.078408	-8.88%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5488	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.074844	-7.94%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.5084	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.077125	-8.51%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3828	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.075516	-8.13%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4481	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.081224	-9.45%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4446	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.079363	-8.99%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5511	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.075148	-7.96%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5740	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.076737	-8.37%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6602	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.076738	-8.21%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4339	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.079273	-8.57%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3863	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.081278	-8.68%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3900	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.087398	-9.29%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3556	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.085301	-9.45%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3158	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.08692	-9.51%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2182	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.09244	-9.73%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0097	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.097023	-9.62%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0397	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.095553	-10.03%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0531	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.098376	-10.73%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0019	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.095527	-10.39%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0224	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.091051	-8.99%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0597	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.085245	-7.89%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2868	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.082061	-7.17%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.4052	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.083239	-7.20%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2404	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.08422	-7.04%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2221	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.084803	-6.91%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1265	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.084972	-6.83%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1128	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.086744	-6.78%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0643	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.089425	-6.95%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1164	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.091515	-7.00%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0183	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.093598	-7.05%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0102	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.092879	-7.26%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0693	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.09284	-7.21%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1240	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.093955	-7.02%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0792	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.09457	-7.06%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0903	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.094974	-7.43%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0789	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.096621	-7.63%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1321	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.095519	-8.02%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.2129	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.100685	-7.92%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.2067	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.117655	-7.65%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3474	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.129442	-8.07%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4566	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.120546	-8.02%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3830	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.123429	-7.89%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3783	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.128843	-7.97%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.4053	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.114047	-8.21%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3558	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.126128	-7.73%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3656	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.120116	-7.85%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2793	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.113228	-8.06%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.2267	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.114713	-8.01%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.2089	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.120374	-7.62%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2707	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.109848	-8.54%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3316	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.111281	-8.52%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.4105	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.106376	-9.35%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4254	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.099176	-10.09%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3228	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.102307	-14.10%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3482	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.094244	-11.09%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2340	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.084996	-8.46%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.0919	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.081808	-7.40%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0542	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.080543	-6.78%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0344	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.082546	-6.89%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0466	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.083259	-6.71%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0558	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.087123	-6.97%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0373	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.093234	-7.23%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0496	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.091131	-6.72%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0475	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.090542	-6.22%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0260	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.085994	-5.55%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0056	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.087477	-5.63%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0395	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.089049	-5.52%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0870	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.093055	-6.00%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0448	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.101218	-6.67%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.1144	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.110484	-6.80%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.2185	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.114827	-7.25%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.1331	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.10057	-6.40%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2611	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.102814	-6.74%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2448	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.101344	-6.47%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.2076	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.099815	-6.28%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2630	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.094253	-5.37%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2675	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.09369	-5.51%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2358	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.086211	-5.26%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.3145	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.087665	-5.79%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2681	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.089041	-6.07%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2643	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.092533	-6.25%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2544	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.110382	-7.20%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.1346	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.10661	-6.65%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1528	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.106945	-7.57%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.1403	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.098061	-6.25%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0939	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.091976	-5.76%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0463	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.095693	-6.09%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.0746	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.086818	-5.32%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0070	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.08964	-5.24%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0151	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.096812	-6.37%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0448	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.082496	-5.29%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0265	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.082453	-5.23%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0586	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.084868	-5.23%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0799	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.090968	-5.93%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0010	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.089461	-5.98%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0206	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.087913	-6.13%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0119	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.086564	-6.27%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0007	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.090058	-6.77%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0434	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.094552	-7.48%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0884	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.089582	-6.88%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1775	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.094651	-7.39%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1684	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.090641	-6.84%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0901	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.086023	-6.34%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1454	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.077216	-5.37%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2579	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.076835	-5.20%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2908	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.079226	-5.29%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.2267	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.078542	-4.91%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2395	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.080007	-4.53%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1459	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.080182	-4.26%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2462	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.0776	-1.65%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0814	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.08972	-5.41%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2473	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.089908	-5.46%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4297	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.097483	-6.22%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3407	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.095267	-5.96%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4695	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.099617	-6.29%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3607	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.113416	-7.68%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4399	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.11588	-7.81%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4293	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.130199	-10.21%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3639	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.125833	-9.08%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3694	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.115801	-7.25%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.4853	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.110872	-6.52%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4439	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.119609	-7.35%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4035	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.11594	-6.80%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.3761	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.114895	-6.48%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4502	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.117844	-6.47%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4058	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.113564	-5.83%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4279	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.125171	-6.45%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4533	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.12325	-6.20%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5231	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.131592	-6.27%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.4924	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.136041	-5.98%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4084	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.134555	-5.77%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4502	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.152036	-6.03%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.3012	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.151434	-6.35%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3117	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.143186	-6.60%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.1911	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.153023	-6.98%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0543	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.149574	-7.10%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0468	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.15697	-7.23%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0182	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.153165	-7.23%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0787	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.16561	-7.33%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0449	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.193052	-7.72%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0395	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.176006	-7.27%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0732	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.178502	-7.32%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1684	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.184291	-7.30%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.2178	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.181221	-7.35%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.1867	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.158987	-7.03%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1254	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.150038	-6.92%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1604	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.152805	-6.71%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1503	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.14775	-6.61%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0421	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.14518	-6.58%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0618	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.142998	-6.60%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1407	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.13076	-6.43%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0892	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.124783	-6.32%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0123	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.124611	-6.31%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0228	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.121643	-6.36%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.120418	-6.22%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0362	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.121308	-6.18%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.128296	-6.35%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.122731	-6.46%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.111705	-6.37%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1216	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.117147	-6.47%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1089	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.124641	-6.60%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0516	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.126478	-6.49%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1312	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.141396	-6.70%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0555	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.145945	-6.57%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0389	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.13893	-6.38%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1624	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.153141	-6.19%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0737	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.