XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s5

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 363

Track record at +7d

assessed

114

of 121 predictions shown

direction hit

51.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1857

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0273

actual -0.0468

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.004312	0.004231	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.004312	0.004245	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004271	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004294	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004233	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004437	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004457	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004489	-2.01%	0.004312	-5.88%	0.0325	✓	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004263	-1.75%	0.004312	-0.64%	0.0206	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004101	-1.56%	0.00434	+4.19%	0.0562	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.004058	-1.51%	0.004365	+5.95%	0.0733	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003956	-1.41%	0.0043	+7.15%	0.0821	✗	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003986	-1.42%	0.004521	+11.81%	0.1259	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003994	-1.41%	0.004544	+12.18%	0.1290	✗	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003871	-1.21%	0.004581	+16.92%	0.1687	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.004083	-1.43%	0.004339	+4.75%	0.0585	✗	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.004061	-1.42%	0.004166	+1.11%	0.0252	✗	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.004021	-1.40%	0.00412	+1.05%	0.0228	✗	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004361	-1.60%	0.004012	-9.48%	0.0877	✓	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003768	-1.27%	0.004044	+5.94%	0.0660	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004884	-2.08%	0.004051	-18.79%	0.1916	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.00491	-2.13%	0.003918	-21.90%	0.2320	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004899	-2.28%	0.004142	-17.37%	0.1695	✓	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004194	-1.74%	0.00412	-3.46%	0.0052	✓	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004452	-1.97%	0.004078	-10.21%	0.0735	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.00437	-1.90%	0.004432	-0.50%	0.0239	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004523	-2.02%	0.003817	-17.32%	0.1682	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004627	-2.14%	0.004988	+5.50%	0.0772	✗	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004991	-2.44%	0.005017	-1.93%	0.0076	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004344	-2.07%	0.005013	+13.01%	0.1392	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004268	-1.98%	0.004268	-1.98%	0.0098	✓	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004248	-2.04%	0.004541	+4.73%	0.0568	✗	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004264	-2.48%	0.004455	+1.88%	0.0581	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004442	-2.67%	0.004617	+1.17%	0.0529	✗	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004654	-2.93%	0.004728	-1.38%	0.0289	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005213	-4.33%	0.005116	-6.12%	0.0008	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004213	-3.02%	0.004436	+2.11%	0.0700	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003764	-1.91%	0.004354	+13.47%	0.2016	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.0038	-1.92%	0.004336	+11.93%	0.1631	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003624	-0.60%	0.004372	+19.94%	0.2011	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003106	+1.63%	0.004563	+49.34%	0.3946	✓	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.00386	-0.63%	0.004794	+23.43%	0.2262	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003948	-0.51%	0.005449	+37.31%	0.3217	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.00399	-0.49%	0.004344	+8.34%	0.0795	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004795	-2.17%	0.003837	-21.71%	0.2312	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004732	-2.13%	0.003874	-19.87%	0.2025	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004626	-1.93%	0.003645	-22.73%	0.2472	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004451	-1.74%	0.003056	-32.54%	0.3827	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004662	-1.71%	0.003884	-18.12%	0.1890	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005018	-0.96%	0.003968	-21.67%	0.2493	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004929	-1.73%	0.00401	-20.06%	0.2026	✓	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004922	-1.42%	0.004901	-1.83%	0.0001	✓	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004616	-1.13%	0.004835	+3.54%	0.0479	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.004994	-1.03%	0.004718	-6.51%	0.0489	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005087	-0.33%	0.004529	-11.27%	0.1114	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005191	-0.15%	0.004744	-8.76%	0.0847	✓	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005484	+1.84%	0.005066	-5.91%	0.0759	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005501	+1.53%	0.005016	-7.41%	0.0983	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005294	+1.21%	0.004993	-4.55%	0.0627	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.00537	+1.78%	0.004669	-11.50%	0.1413	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.0052	+0.45%	0.005046	-2.52%	0.0303	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005061	-0.51%	0.005104	+0.35%	0.0133	✗	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.004935	+0.17%	0.005199	+5.53%	0.0504	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005692	-1.52%	0.005385	-6.84%	0.0668	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005643	-1.84%	0.005417	-5.76%	0.0512	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005702	-2.02%	0.005231	-10.11%	0.1037	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005767	-2.09%	0.005276	-10.42%	0.1071	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005859	-2.18%	0.005177	-13.58%	0.1444	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005861	-2.20%	0.005087	-15.11%	0.1616	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.00579	-2.13%	0.004926	-16.73%	0.1824	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.0058	-2.18%	0.00578	-2.51%	0.0179	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005929	-2.29%	0.005749	-5.27%	0.0401	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006304	-2.62%	0.00582	-10.11%	0.0818	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006596	-2.97%	0.00589	-13.35%	0.1139	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006574	-3.07%	0.00599	-11.68%	0.0897	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006264	-2.95%	0.005993	-7.16%	0.0411	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006709	-3.36%	0.005916	-14.78%	0.1224	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006829	-3.49%	0.005929	-16.21%	0.1398	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.007022	-4.07%	0.006068	-17.10%	0.1439	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006319	-3.80%	0.006474	-1.44%	0.0244	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006137	-3.84%	0.006798	+6.50%	0.1023	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.00584	-3.77%	0.006782	+11.74%	0.1499	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005731	-3.79%	0.006455	+8.37%	0.1209	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005784	-3.75%	0.006942	+15.52%	0.1845	✗	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.00577	-3.51%	0.007076	+18.34%	0.2041	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005836	-3.20%	0.00732	+21.41%	0.2267	✗	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005679	-2.98%	0.006568	+12.21%	0.1455	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005941	-2.95%	0.006383	+4.27%	0.0718	✗	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.006145	-3.01%	0.00607	-4.21%	0.0136	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006133	-2.86%	0.005956	-5.66%	0.0313	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006111	-2.65%	0.006009	-4.27%	0.0187	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.006069	-2.28%	0.005979	-3.72%	0.0151	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.006013	-1.94%	0.006029	-1.67%	0.0029	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006233	-1.95%	0.005854	-7.92%	0.0629	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.006131	-1.91%	0.006121	-2.07%	0.0037	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005692	-1.88%	0.006336	+9.22%	0.1090	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.00569	-1.90%	0.006314	+8.84%	0.1025	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005679	-2.06%	0.006277	+8.26%	0.1008	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005897	-2.38%	0.006211	+2.81%	0.0564	✗	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005954	-2.50%	0.006132	+0.41%	0.0338	✗	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006251	-3.09%	0.006357	-1.44%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005268	-3.17%	0.00625	+14.89%	0.1248	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005643	-3.75%	0.005801	-1.05%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005279	-3.71%	0.005801	+5.80%	0.0782	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.00483	-3.39%	0.005798	+15.97%	0.1863	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005342	-4.55%	0.006041	+7.93%	0.1135	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.004017	-1.58%	0.006107	+49.61%	0.3797	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003801	-1.62%	0.00645	+66.95%	0.5029	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003113	-3.93%	0.00544	+67.91%	0.5859	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003091	-4.66%	0.005863	+80.84%	0.6377	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002532	-15.61%	0.005483	+82.76%	0.7619	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.001179	-51.71%	0.005	+104.73%	1.4190	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006599	-0.39%	0.005597	-15.51%	0.1918	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.007149	-0.55%	0.004082	-43.22%	0.5977	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006952	+0.28%	0.003864	-44.27%	0.6663	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007825	-1.11%	0.00324	-59.06%	0.9436	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008624	-1.84%	0.003242	-63.10%	1.0452	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008822	-1.89%	0.003	-66.64%	1.1299	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008998	-1.86%	0.002442	-73.37%	1.3452	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.009147	-1.79%	0.006625	-28.87%	0.3520	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.010214	-2.28%	0.007189	-31.22%	0.3343	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.