XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s5

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +30d

assessed

90

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

71.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2171

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0452

actual -0.0978

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004184	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004178	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004195	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004139	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004334	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004356	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004392	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004174	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004025	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003979	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003889	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003915	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.00392	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003793	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.004006	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.003997	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003959	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004296	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003704	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004775	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004803	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004791	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004112	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.00436	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004284	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004429	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004529	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004886	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004263	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004199	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004187	-3.45%	0.004362	+0.58%	0.0285	✓	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004186	-4.27%	0.00434	-0.73%	0.0440	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004368	-4.28%	0.004365	-4.34%	0.0021	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004587	-4.33%	0.0043	-10.32%	0.0600	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005125	-5.95%	0.004521	-17.03%	0.1138	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004131	-4.91%	0.004544	+4.61%	0.1077	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003673	-4.27%	0.004581	+19.39%	0.2562	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003717	-4.07%	0.004339	+12.01%	0.1678	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.00351	-3.70%	0.004166	+14.28%	0.1902	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.002985	-2.33%	0.00412	+34.84%	0.3334	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003745	-3.57%	0.004012	+3.30%	0.0851	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003826	-3.58%	0.004044	+1.89%	0.0713	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003876	-3.34%	0.004051	+1.04%	0.0549	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004684	-4.43%	0.003918	-20.06%	0.1695	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004626	-4.31%	0.004142	-14.32%	0.0993	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004549	-3.58%	0.00412	-12.67%	0.0866	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004382	-3.26%	0.004078	-9.97%	0.0574	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004584	-3.37%	0.004432	-6.56%	0.0167	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.004894	-3.40%	0.003817	-24.66%	0.2383	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004805	-4.21%	0.004988	-0.55%	0.0646	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004803	-3.80%	0.005017	+0.48%	0.0714	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.00451	-3.42%	0.005013	+7.36%	0.1216	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.004881	-3.27%	0.004268	-15.43%	0.1167	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.004957	-2.89%	0.004541	-11.03%	0.0724	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005056	-2.74%	0.004455	-14.32%	0.1075	✓	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005281	-1.93%	0.004617	-14.26%	0.1207	✓	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005294	-2.28%	0.004728	-12.72%	0.0959	✓	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.00511	-2.32%	0.005116	-2.20%	0.0217	✓	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005159	-2.22%	0.004436	-15.93%	0.1324	✓	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.00504	-2.64%	0.004354	-15.89%	0.1151	✓	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.004939	-2.91%	0.004336	-14.75%	0.0937	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.004789	-2.79%	0.004372	-11.25%	0.0811	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005553	-3.94%	0.004563	-21.05%	0.2089	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005498	-4.36%	0.004794	-16.60%	0.1492	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005543	-4.76%	0.005449	-6.36%	0.0320	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005604	-4.86%	0.004344	-26.25%	0.2696	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005688	-5.04%	0.003837	-35.94%	0.4116	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005686	-5.12%	0.003874	-35.35%	0.4050	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005609	-5.19%	0.003645	-38.39%	0.4500	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005617	-5.26%	0.003056	-48.46%	0.6291	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005742	-5.37%	0.003884	-35.99%	0.4113	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006119	-5.48%	0.003968	-38.70%	0.4515	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006421	-5.54%	0.00401	-41.02%	0.4883	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006408	-5.51%	0.004901	-27.73%	0.2883	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006102	-5.46%	0.004835	-25.10%	0.2543	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006564	-5.46%	0.004718	-32.04%	0.3540	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006694	-5.40%	0.004529	-35.99%	0.4157	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.006924	-5.41%	0.004744	-35.20%	0.4011	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006216	-5.37%	0.005066	-22.87%	0.2092	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006036	-5.44%	0.005016	-21.42%	0.1819	✓	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005737	-5.47%	0.004993	-17.74%	0.1353	✓	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005622	-5.61%	0.004669	-21.61%	0.1726	✓	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005668	-5.69%	0.005046	-16.03%	0.1037	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005648	-5.54%	0.005104	-14.63%	0.1016	✓	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.00569	-5.63%	0.005199	-13.77%	0.0875	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005529	-5.55%	0.005385	-8.01%	0.0216	✓	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005774	-5.67%	0.005417	-11.50%	0.0607	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.005991	-5.44%	0.005231	-17.44%	0.1277	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.005958	-5.64%	0.005276	-16.43%	0.1038	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.005919	-5.72%	0.005177	-17.53%	0.1152	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.005877	-5.38%	0.005087	-18.09%	0.1357	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005827	-4.97%	0.004926	-19.66%	0.1688	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006008	-5.49%	0.00578	-9.08%	0.0386	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.005875	-6.00%	0.005749	-8.03%	0.0163	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.00549	-5.36%	0.00582	+0.32%	0.0583	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005496	-5.25%	0.00589	+1.54%	0.0684	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005489	-5.34%	0.00599	+3.30%	0.0835	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005686	-5.88%	0.005993	-0.80%	0.0498	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005756	-5.75%	0.005916	-3.12%	0.0219	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006022	-6.63%	0.005929	-8.08%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005134	-5.63%	0.006068	+11.55%	0.1490	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005485	-6.44%	0.006474	+10.43%	0.1691	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005159	-5.91%	0.006798	+23.98%	0.2737	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004738	-5.24%	0.006782	+35.64%	0.3475	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005235	-6.47%	0.006455	+15.32%	0.1824	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003916	-4.06%	0.006942	+70.08%	0.5308	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003731	-3.44%	0.007076	+83.15%	0.6253	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003175	-2.01%	0.00732	+125.94%	0.8261	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003207	-1.08%	0.006568	+102.62%	0.7097	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002976	-0.81%	0.006383	+112.76%	0.7571	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002385	-2.34%	0.00607	+148.53%	0.9185	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.00645	-2.64%	0.005956	-10.09%	0.1002	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.006923	-3.70%	0.006009	-16.41%	0.1881	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006711	-3.20%	0.005979	-13.75%	0.2161	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.0076	-3.95%	0.006029	-23.81%	0.2918	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008389	-4.51%	0.005854	-33.37%	0.4308	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008585	-4.53%	0.006121	-31.93%	0.3991	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008755	-4.52%	0.006336	-30.90%	0.4086	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.008895	-4.49%	0.006314	-32.21%	0.4169	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.009937	-4.93%	0.006277	-39.94%	0.5090	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.