UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s5

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4439

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0095

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.273437	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.273758	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.246315	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.218951	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.229929	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.277427	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.275261	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.269991	-1.60%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0072	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.290665	-2.26%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0415	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.201059	+1.32%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2107	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.236433	+0.05%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0320	✗	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.211716	+1.55%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1255	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.210124	+2.11%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3205	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.203829	+2.94%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3066	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.233842	+2.03%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2004	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.247532	+1.60%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2403	✓	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.26925	+1.07%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.2121	✗	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.289235	+0.50%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1382	✗	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.292849	+0.88%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2974	✗	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.278293	+1.79%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2562	✗	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.302916	+1.01%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3523	✗	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.39951	-1.58%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5488	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.388666	-1.29%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.5130	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.297221	+2.07%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1659	✗	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.3191	+1.28%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1524	✗	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.363825	-0.18%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.2335	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.338395	+0.75%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.2232	✗	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.341888	+0.57%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.1422	✗	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.392247	-0.77%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.0539	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.47425	-1.80%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.1306	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.545451	-2.09%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5621	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.452929	-1.99%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.4266	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.474655	-2.26%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.3249	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.568781	-2.73%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5878	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.46056	-2.68%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4300	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.375201	+0.38%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0803	✗	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.325525	+2.06%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2275	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.37316	+0.63%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.2936	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.381659	+0.70%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1320	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.358198	+1.19%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.2480	✓	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.384273	+0.57%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.3688	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.397547	+0.27%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.1770	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.417399	-0.34%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0827	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.496272	-1.13%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.4049	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.549249	-1.55%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3811	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.663009	-2.39%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.5142	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.761406	-3.66%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.7332	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.615751	-2.42%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.4458	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.741448	-3.67%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5661	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.782557	-6.63%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6377	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.788398	-9.82%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4650	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.776259	-15.11%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3370	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.502911	-4.14%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.2667	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.317632	-2.07%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.8913	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.237881	-1.40%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9522	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.261259	-1.30%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0682	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.361622	-2.85%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.8626	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.157016	-0.33%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7315	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.197416	-0.62%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5382	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.140441	-0.33%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3187	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.086494	+1.64%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3066	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.111441	+0.67%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.7786	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.106626	+1.16%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8144	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.