UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s5

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +1d

assessed

62

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

54.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1494

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0042

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.275571	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.27625	-0.48%	0.276795	-0.28%	0.0088	✗	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.248009	-0.34%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0817	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.219409	-0.11%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1308	✗	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.230702	-0.16%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0671	✓	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.280592	-0.53%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1908	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.278427	-0.54%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0308	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.272949	-0.52%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0094	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.295055	-0.78%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0295	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.19899	+0.27%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3661	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.236213	-0.05%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1260	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.209147	+0.32%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1034	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.206679	+0.44%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0003	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.199181	+0.59%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0115	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.23015	+0.42%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1128	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.24443	+0.33%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0117	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.26697	+0.21%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0867	✗	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.288023	+0.07%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0611	✗	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.290791	+0.17%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0503	✗	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.27441	+0.37%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0508	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.300482	+0.20%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0866	✗	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.403822	-0.51%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3288	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.392061	-0.43%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0367	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.292405	+0.42%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.2930	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.315871	+0.25%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0567	✗	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.364105	-0.10%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1457	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.336339	+0.14%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0725	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.340312	+0.10%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0061	✗	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.394288	-0.25%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1484	✓	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.479906	-0.63%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1548	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.552731	-0.78%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1268	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.45912	-0.65%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.0900	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.481866	-0.77%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0404	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.578634	-1.05%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1822	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.469259	-0.84%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1473	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.373973	+0.05%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2319	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.320285	+0.42%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1451	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.371239	+0.11%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1165	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.379489	+0.13%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0421	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.354829	+0.24%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0727	✓	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.382466	+0.10%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0782	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.396603	+0.03%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0470	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.418341	-0.11%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0311	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.500224	-0.35%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1755	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.555226	-0.48%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0927	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.673935	-0.78%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1733	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.780714	-1.21%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1456	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.626035	-0.79%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2310	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.759769	-1.29%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1659	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.819238	-2.25%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.1123	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.843216	-3.55%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.863831	-5.53%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0270	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.515903	-1.66%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.5608	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.321682	-0.82%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.4964	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.239927	-0.55%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.2964	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.263047	-0.62%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0556	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.367149	-1.36%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.3429	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.157158	-0.24%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8559	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.197722	-0.47%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.2214	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.140545	-0.25%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3300	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.085402	+0.35%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.4920	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110818	+0.11%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2477	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.105668	+0.25%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0237	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.