SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s5
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +7d
assessed
49
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
55.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2611
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0340
actual +0.0251
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.090935 | 0.088928 | -2.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.090825 | 0.089155 | -1.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.089712 | -1.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.090136 | -1.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.091621 | -2.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.091565 | -2.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.09282 | -2.34% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.086876 | -2.04% | 0.090935 | +2.53% | 0.0848 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.087956 | -2.14% | 0.090825 | +1.06% | 0.0783 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.100802 | -2.71% | 0.091445 | -11.74% | 0.1008 | ✓ | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.098138 | -2.81% | 0.09194 | -8.95% | 0.0632 | ✓ | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.097574 | -2.65% | 0.093595 | -6.62% | 0.0769 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.097262 | -2.80% | 0.09361 | -6.45% | 0.0709 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.096076 | -2.85% | 0.09504 | -3.89% | 0.0332 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.096049 | -3.00% | 0.08869 | -10.43% | 0.0704 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.093725 | -2.74% | 0.089875 | -6.73% | 0.0784 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.095903 | -2.50% | 0.10361 | +5.33% | 0.0243 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.0827 | -2.09% | 0.100975 | +19.55% | 0.1143 | ✗ | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.090773 | -2.24% | 0.10023 | +7.94% | 0.0379 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.088778 | -2.22% | 0.100065 | +10.21% | 0.0783 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.091568 | -2.25% | 0.09889 | +5.56% | 0.0325 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.09301 | -2.24% | 0.099015 | +4.07% | 0.0094 | ✓ | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.105639 | -2.35% | 0.096365 | -10.92% | 0.0981 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.123275 | -2.73% | 0.098365 | -22.39% | 0.1832 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.120239 | -2.67% | 0.084465 | -31.63% | 0.3020 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.151875 | -3.99% | 0.092855 | -41.30% | 0.4421 | ✓ | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.124069 | -3.00% | 0.090795 | -29.01% | 0.3044 | ✓ | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.102861 | -2.43% | 0.09368 | -11.14% | 0.0836 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.101512 | -2.40% | 0.095145 | -8.52% | 0.0537 | ✓ | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.101374 | -2.41% | 0.10818 | +4.14% | 0.0452 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.092786 | -2.14% | 0.12674 | +33.67% | 0.2533 | ✗ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.100635 | -2.14% | 0.123535 | +20.12% | 0.1318 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.110155 | -2.62% | 0.15819 | +39.84% | 0.4470 | ✗ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.11564 | -2.75% | 0.127905 | +7.56% | 0.1833 | ✗ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.116228 | -2.82% | 0.10542 | -11.86% | 0.0138 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.124816 | -3.48% | 0.10401 | -19.57% | 0.2824 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.134915 | -3.93% | 0.10388 | -26.03% | 0.3641 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.124997 | -3.71% | 0.094815 | -26.96% | 0.4078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.148716 | -4.50% | 0.10284 | -33.96% | 0.4712 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.148776 | -5.01% | 0.11312 | -27.77% | 0.3292 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.17186 | -7.38% | 0.11891 | -35.91% | 0.4184 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.177232 | -9.62% | 0.1196 | -39.01% | 0.4397 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.166794 | -10.28% | 0.12931 | -30.44% | 0.2521 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.128996 | -5.64% | 0.14044 | +2.74% | 0.1127 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.128346 | -6.43% | 0.129815 | -5.36% | 0.0486 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.111282 | -5.28% | 0.15573 | +32.55% | 0.3477 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.098392 | -4.40% | 0.156615 | +52.18% | 0.5099 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.07448 | -3.25% | 0.18555 | +141.04% | 0.9455 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.073266 | -3.14% | 0.196105 | +159.26% | 1.0160 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.071213 | -2.83% | 0.18591 | +153.66% | 1.0195 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.068168 | -2.78% | 0.1367 | +94.95% | 0.6833 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.068095 | -2.41% | 0.13717 | +96.57% | 0.6868 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.068074 | -2.00% | 0.117485 | +69.14% | 0.5390 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.069991 | -2.03% | 0.102915 | +44.06% | 0.3517 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.070529 | -1.58% | 0.07698 | +7.42% | 0.0673 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.073504 | -1.51% | 0.07564 | +1.35% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 1.00 |