SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s5
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3039
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1222
actual -0.1438
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.090935 | 0.084791 | -6.76% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.090825 | 0.085927 | -5.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.086291 | -5.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.086535 | -5.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.0878 | -6.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.087469 | -6.56% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.088425 | -6.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.082941 | -6.48% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.083866 | -6.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.096062 | -7.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.093161 | -7.74% | – | pending | – | – | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.093093 | -7.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.092536 | -7.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.091177 | -7.80% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.090821 | -8.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.088974 | -7.67% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.091647 | -6.83% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.07845 | -7.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.086602 | -6.73% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.084046 | -7.43% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.086613 | -7.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.087995 | -7.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.100552 | -7.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.117287 | -7.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.114449 | -7.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.142356 | -10.01% | – | pending | – | – | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.117728 | -7.96% | – | pending | – | – | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.097883 | -7.15% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.096494 | -7.23% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.096291 | -7.31% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.087939 | -7.25% | 0.090935 | -4.09% | 0.0116 | ✓ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.096095 | -6.56% | 0.090825 | -11.68% | 0.1161 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.104341 | -7.76% | 0.091445 | -19.16% | 0.0857 | ✓ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.10953 | -7.89% | 0.09194 | -22.68% | 0.1592 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.109825 | -8.17% | 0.093595 | -21.74% | 0.1301 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.116452 | -9.94% | 0.09361 | -27.61% | 0.2822 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.125333 | -10.76% | 0.09504 | -32.33% | 0.3446 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.115901 | -10.72% | 0.08869 | -31.68% | 0.3506 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.137497 | -11.71% | 0.089875 | -42.29% | 0.4676 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.136366 | -12.93% | 0.10361 | -33.84% | 0.3536 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.152936 | -17.58% | 0.100975 | -45.58% | 0.4715 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.153227 | -21.86% | 0.10023 | -48.89% | 0.5049 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.142848 | -23.16% | 0.100065 | -46.18% | 0.4360 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.117178 | -14.28% | 0.09889 | -27.66% | 0.2227 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.115277 | -15.96% | 0.099015 | -27.82% | 0.1926 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.101521 | -13.59% | 0.096365 | -17.98% | 0.1037 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.09076 | -11.81% | 0.098365 | -4.42% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.069434 | -9.80% | 0.084465 | +9.72% | 0.1244 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.068429 | -9.53% | 0.092855 | +22.76% | 0.2230 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.066668 | -9.04% | 0.090795 | +23.88% | 0.2670 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.063244 | -9.81% | 0.09368 | +33.60% | 0.3039 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.06324 | -9.37% | 0.095145 | +36.35% | 0.3166 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.063165 | -9.06% | 0.10818 | +55.74% | 0.4764 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.064754 | -9.36% | 0.12674 | +77.41% | 0.5975 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.0651 | -9.15% | 0.123535 | +72.39% | 0.5760 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.067679 | -9.31% | 0.15819 | +111.97% | 0.7674 | ✗ | 1.00 |