PROLOGUE
Prologue · Robinhood · lstm_s5
- token id
- #747
- symbol
- PROLOGUE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-30
- predictions
- 135
Track record at +7d
assessed
38
of 45 predictions shown
direction hit
60.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2909
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0067
actual -0.2077
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.001203 | 0.0007638 | -36.48% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001207 | 0.000643455 | -46.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.002019 | +1.58% | – | pending | – | – | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003266 | 0.003347 | +2.48% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003638 | 0.003709 | +1.95% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003952 | 0.004012 | +1.51% | – | pending | – | – | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004829 | 0.004815 | -0.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005071 | 0.005036 | -0.68% | 0.001203 | -76.29% | 1.5292 | ✓ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004853 | -0.03% | 0.001207 | -75.14% | 1.5058 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004327 | 0.004388 | +1.41% | 0.001988 | -54.06% | 0.7837 | ✗ | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004935 | 0.004951 | +0.32% | 0.003266 | -33.82% | 0.4209 | ✗ | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005705 | 0.005644 | -1.09% | 0.003638 | -36.25% | 0.3546 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004834 | 0.004888 | +1.12% | 0.003952 | -18.24% | 0.1357 | ✗ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.005034 | +1.19% | 0.004829 | -2.92% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005437 | 0.005466 | +0.52% | 0.005071 | -6.74% | 0.0971 | ✗ | 4.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005456 | 0.005492 | +0.67% | 0.004854 | -11.03% | 0.0339 | ✗ | 4.32 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005941 | 0.005927 | -0.25% | 0.004327 | -27.17% | 0.1871 | ✓ | 4.41 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005721 | 0.005758 | +0.64% | 0.004935 | -13.74% | 0.0579 | ✓ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005961 | 0.005983 | +0.37% | 0.005705 | -4.29% | 0.1002 | ✓ | 4.44 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005959 | 0.006004 | +0.75% | 0.004834 | -18.89% | 0.1176 | ✗ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006944 | 0.006903 | -0.59% | 0.004975 | -28.36% | 0.2210 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007509 | 0.007456 | -0.70% | 0.005437 | -27.59% | 0.1445 | ✓ | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008083 | 0.00802 | -0.78% | 0.005456 | -32.51% | 0.3697 | ✓ | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007228 | 0.007194 | -0.48% | 0.005941 | -17.80% | 0.2964 | ✓ | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00827 | 0.008219 | -0.62% | 0.005721 | -30.82% | 0.3893 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00852 | 0.008472 | -0.56% | 0.005961 | -30.03% | 0.3754 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00893 | 0.008876 | -0.61% | 0.005959 | -33.27% | 0.4023 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010942 | 0.010791 | -1.38% | 0.006944 | -36.54% | 0.4457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01306 | 0.012736 | -2.48% | 0.007509 | -42.50% | 0.5338 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011093 | 0.010902 | -1.72% | 0.008083 | -27.13% | 0.2894 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.010161 | 0.010044 | -1.15% | 0.007228 | -28.86% | 0.2988 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.010187 | 0.010063 | -1.22% | 0.00827 | -18.82% | 0.1593 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.008994 | 0.008847 | -1.64% | 0.00852 | -5.27% | 0.0775 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.008861 | 0.008714 | -1.66% | 0.00893 | +0.78% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.00998 | 0.00974 | -2.40% | 0.010942 | +9.64% | 0.0773 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.008086 | 0.007926 | -1.98% | 0.01306 | +61.51% | 0.3993 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007527 | 0.007426 | -1.35% | 0.011093 | +47.38% | 0.2987 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00747 | 0.007386 | -1.13% | 0.010161 | +36.02% | 0.1876 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009209 | 0.008996 | -2.31% | 0.010187 | +10.62% | 0.0220 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007935 | 0.007823 | -1.42% | 0.008994 | +13.35% | 0.0843 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008396 | 0.008258 | -1.64% | 0.008861 | +5.54% | 0.0203 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.008184 | 0.008076 | -1.32% | 0.00998 | +21.94% | 0.1653 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00674 | 0.006733 | -0.10% | 0.008086 | +19.97% | 0.1856 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.007021 | 0.007013 | -0.12% | 0.007527 | +7.20% | 0.0984 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.009219 | 0.009132 | -0.94% | 0.00747 | -18.97% | 0.1637 | ✓ | 1.00 |