PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · lstm_s5

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 132

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 44 predictions shown

direction hit

48.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1153

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0014

actual -0.0441

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001409	0.001424	+1.02%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.002007	+0.97%	0.001409	-29.10%	0.3434	✗	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003278	+0.37%	0.001988	-39.13%	0.5517	✗	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003645	+0.20%	0.003266	-10.21%	0.1018	✗	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003957	+0.12%	0.003638	-7.96%	0.1138	✗	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.00482	-0.19%	0.003952	-18.17%	0.1930	✓	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.005058	-0.25%	0.004829	-4.76%	0.0170	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004849	-0.10%	0.005071	+4.47%	0.0186	✗	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004334	+0.15%	0.004854	+12.18%	0.1894	✓	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004935	+0.00%	0.004327	-12.32%	0.2016	✗	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.00569	-0.27%	0.004935	-13.50%	0.0443	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004841	+0.15%	0.005705	+18.04%	0.1264	✓	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.004984	+0.18%	0.004834	-2.84%	0.0489	✗	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005443	+0.10%	0.004975	-8.51%	0.1335	✗	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005462	+0.12%	0.005437	-0.33%	0.0783	✓	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.00594	-0.02%	0.005456	-8.18%	0.0332	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005728	+0.12%	0.005941	+3.85%	0.0475	✓	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005967	+0.10%	0.005721	-4.03%	0.0030	✗	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.00597	+0.18%	0.005961	+0.04%	0.0950	✗	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006943	-0.02%	0.005959	-14.18%	0.1655	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.0075	-0.11%	0.006944	-7.52%	0.0587	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.008069	-0.18%	0.007509	-7.10%	0.1432	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007229	+0.01%	0.008083	+11.82%	0.1163	✓	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008258	-0.14%	0.007228	-12.59%	0.1353	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008505	-0.17%	0.00827	-2.93%	0.0161	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008911	-0.22%	0.00852	-4.60%	0.0454	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010883	-0.54%	0.00893	-18.38%	0.2016	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012946	-0.87%	0.010942	-16.22%	0.1647	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.011019	-0.66%	0.01306	+17.73%	0.1698	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.010107	-0.53%	0.011093	+9.17%	0.1144	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.01013	-0.56%	0.010161	-0.26%	0.0077	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008955	-0.43%	0.010187	+13.26%	0.0640	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008824	-0.42%	0.008994	+1.50%	0.0200	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009916	-0.63%	0.008861	-11.21%	0.1169	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.008063	-0.28%	0.00998	+23.42%	0.1556	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007516	-0.14%	0.008086	+7.43%	0.0704	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007462	-0.11%	0.007527	+0.76%	0.0013	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.009165	-0.47%	0.00747	-18.88%	0.1708	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007916	-0.24%	0.009209	+16.06%	0.1335	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008368	-0.33%	0.007935	-5.49%	0.0472	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.00816	-0.29%	0.008396	+2.59%	0.0278	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006739	-0.02%	0.008184	+21.42%	0.1856	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.007015	-0.09%	0.00674	-4.01%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009184	-0.38%	0.007021	-23.84%	0.2663	✓	1.00