NIULAI

? · · lstm_s5

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 168

Track record at +7d

assessed

49

of 56 predictions shown

direction hit

69.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1776

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0362

actual -0.0447

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06274	0.060849	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-21	oos	0.062305	0.060468	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.060617	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.056574	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.057376	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.058119	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.063153	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.065306	-3.08%	0.06274	-6.89%	0.0781	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.067452	-3.13%	0.062305	-10.52%	0.1244	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.071735	-3.88%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1349	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.069893	-3.01%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.1891	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.075932	-4.21%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2280	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.07689	-3.98%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2309	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.072199	-2.68%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.0869	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.071608	-2.04%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0683	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.070471	-1.69%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0179	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.07699	-2.64%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0081	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.075261	-2.00%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0218	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.080329	-2.45%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0308	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.07876	-1.69%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0456	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.085534	-2.30%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1112	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.096054	-3.24%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2248	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.10121	-3.45%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3405	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.101609	-3.35%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2802	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.111324	-3.90%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4064	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.100711	-3.19%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2342	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.102349	-3.30%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2503	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.100967	-3.20%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1493	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.097663	-2.96%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0088	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.103682	-3.47%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0243	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.107903	-3.94%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0135	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.103731	-3.75%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1593	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.097885	-3.17%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0024	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.103941	-3.68%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0371	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.114437	-4.33%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1486	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.10255	-3.50%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1189	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.097322	-3.21%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.114573	-4.29%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1512	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.116746	-4.50%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1823	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.111967	-4.38%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1574	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.128448	-4.80%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2243	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.119901	-4.66%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0487	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.11533	-4.98%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0794	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.076478	-2.68%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.3014	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.097542	-4.49%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2420	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.078864	-3.41%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4500	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.087217	-4.18%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3396	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.114141	-5.32%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.2000	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.080715	-4.05%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4749	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.091956	-4.52%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3376	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.074782	-3.90%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0370	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.080037	-3.99%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2302	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.098079	-4.66%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.1900	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.095512	-5.88%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0820	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.053663	-2.32%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7892	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.054709	-2.41%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.4069	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.