NIULAI

? · · lstm_s5

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +1d

assessed

54

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

55.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0920

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0065

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.062221	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.062196	-0.49%	0.06254	+0.06%	0.0101	✗	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057776	-0.30%	0.0625	+7.85%	0.0581	✗	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058595	-0.29%	0.05795	-1.39%	0.0079	✓	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059311	-0.24%	0.058765	-1.16%	0.0210	✓	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064768	-0.38%	0.059455	-8.55%	0.0834	✓	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.067094	-0.43%	0.065015	-3.51%	0.0200	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.069335	-0.42%	0.06738	-3.23%	0.0389	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.074175	-0.61%	0.06963	-6.70%	0.0357	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071783	-0.38%	0.07463	+3.57%	0.0146	✗	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.078729	-0.68%	0.07206	-9.10%	0.0557	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.079578	-0.62%	0.07927	-1.01%	0.0168	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073956	-0.32%	0.080075	+7.93%	0.0733	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.072978	-0.17%	0.07419	+1.49%	0.0019	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071617	-0.10%	0.0731	+1.97%	0.0482	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.078828	-0.31%	0.071685	-9.35%	0.0586	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076668	-0.17%	0.079075	+2.96%	0.0342	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.082118	-0.28%	0.0768	-6.74%	0.0553	✓	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.080025	-0.11%	0.08235	+2.80%	0.0012	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.087328	-0.25%	0.08011	-8.50%	0.0900	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.09875	-0.52%	0.08755	-11.81%	0.1152	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.104201	-0.60%	0.09927	-5.30%	0.0687	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.104514	-0.59%	0.104825	-0.29%	0.0043	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.114917	-0.80%	0.10513	-9.25%	0.0918	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.10343	-0.58%	0.115845	+11.36%	0.1298	✗	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.105181	-0.62%	0.10403	-1.71%	0.0117	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.103685	-0.59%	0.10584	+1.47%	0.0153	✗	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.100112	-0.53%	0.104305	+3.64%	0.0458	✗	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.106668	-0.69%	0.10064	-6.30%	0.0583	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.11137	-0.85%	0.10741	-4.38%	0.0083	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.10692	-0.79%	0.112325	+4.23%	0.0554	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.100509	-0.57%	0.10777	+6.61%	0.0253	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.107119	-0.74%	0.10109	-6.32%	0.0566	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.11848	-0.95%	0.107915	-9.79%	0.0997	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.105581	-0.65%	0.11962	+12.56%	0.0672	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.099994	-0.55%	0.10627	+5.69%	0.0582	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.118643	-0.89%	0.10055	-16.01%	0.1729	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.121057	-0.98%	0.11971	-2.08%	0.0225	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.116003	-0.93%	0.12225	+4.41%	0.0347	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.133417	-1.12%	0.11709	-13.22%	0.1245	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.124369	-1.11%	0.134925	+7.28%	0.0808	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.119899	-1.22%	0.125765	+3.61%	0.0390	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.078253	-0.42%	0.12138	+54.46%	0.4616	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.10111	-0.99%	0.078585	-23.05%	0.2499	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.081128	-0.64%	0.102125	+25.08%	0.2383	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.090217	-0.88%	0.08165	-10.29%	0.0841	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.119006	-1.29%	0.09102	-24.50%	0.2744	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.083414	-0.84%	0.12056	+43.32%	0.3664	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.09532	-1.03%	0.08412	-12.66%	0.1052	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.077201	-0.80%	0.09631	+23.76%	0.1712	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.082624	-0.88%	0.07782	-6.65%	0.0587	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.101574	-1.26%	0.08336	-18.97%	0.1827	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.099703	-1.75%	0.10287	+1.37%	0.0198	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.054708	-0.42%	0.10148	+84.71%	0.6252	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055794	-0.47%	0.05494	-2.00%	0.0205	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.