META2

META2 · · lstm_s5

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +7d

assessed

69

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

50.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4898

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0352

actual -0.0583

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.6155	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.5741	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.4514	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.4627	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.5848	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.4419	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.5201	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.4109	-1.80%	17.7705	+0.23%	0.0045	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.5014	-2.06%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0163	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.5494	-2.25%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0036	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.8519	-1.41%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0156	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.8427	-1.51%	17.826	-1.60%	0.0224	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.6094	-1.55%	17.685	-1.13%	0.0202	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.5861	-1.58%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0025	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.8429	-1.53%	17.73	-2.15%	0.0204	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.741	-2.07%	17.87	-1.36%	0.0475	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.6977	-2.67%	17.954	-1.26%	0.0816	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.1263	-1.93%	18.108	-7.16%	0.0079	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.9257	-2.06%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0135	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.8929	-2.17%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0222	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.9721	-2.27%	17.869	-7.96%	0.0066	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.8699	-2.43%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.0359	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.2758	-2.58%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.0404	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.5845	-4.72%	18.184	-1.47%	0.0047	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.6593	-2.55%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.1216	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.1908	-2.41%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.1711	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.441	-2.56%	19.312	+14.45%	0.1535	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.667	-2.73%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.1441	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.2321	-2.62%	19.34	+16.03%	0.1904	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.2557	-2.68%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.1934	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.859	-2.58%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.2146	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.7279	-1.74%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.0866	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.3143	-0.92%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.1581	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.6386	-3.20%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.1622	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.5702	-3.38%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.2427	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.5382	-3.65%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.2732	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.4604	-4.00%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.3118	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.3919	-4.49%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.3137	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.2641	-5.12%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.2989	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.1237	-5.88%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3936	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.2928	-6.62%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0189	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	16.8961	-8.24%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.1335	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	15.8399	-14.09%	19.2405	+4.35%	0.2524	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	16.7976	-9.27%	19.2305	+3.87%	0.2145	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.5655	+1.62%	19.2555	+448.82%	1.7260	✓	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.5767	+1.51%	19.2505	+446.35%	1.8465	✓	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.4063	-5.29%	19.2555	+4.77%	0.2208	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	4.0381	+0.49%	18.5185	+360.83%	1.6493	✓	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.9992	-0.42%	18.4135	+358.50%	1.7899	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.9325	-2.25%	18.4385	+358.33%	1.4888	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.6579	-9.01%	18.5135	+360.53%	1.5601	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	6.2613	+2.59%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.6084	✗	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.1632	-1.52%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.6015	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.4878	-1.59%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.8930	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.593	-1.54%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.4319	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.1177	-1.43%	4.016	-90.13%	2.3138	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.2345	-0.97%	4.023	-85.37%	1.8905	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	39.5284	-2.81%	4.02	-90.12%	2.2713	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.2506	-1.61%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.8300	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	39.7785	-1.93%	40.783	+0.55%	0.0258	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	50.4654	-3.74%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.2194	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.2859	-1.13%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.3147	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.3426	-1.38%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.1988	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.2597	-1.47%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.2269	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	30.0896	-1.50%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.1074	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	29.7278	-2.88%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.0654	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	29.9585	-1.94%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.0903	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	30.0076	-1.85%	52.426	+71.47%	0.3569	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	29.8796	-2.48%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.1932	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	2.8353	-45.09%	30.768	+495.82%	2.2436	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.3347	-1.17%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.0764	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	30.2766	-1.50%	30.549	-0.61%	0.0090	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.4254	-1.56%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	30.1434	-2.12%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.0450	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	30.0904	-2.53%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.0455	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.3751	-1.69%	30.638	-0.84%	0.0386	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.