META2

META2 · · lstm_s5

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +1d

assessed

76

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

51.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1986

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0144

actual -0.0128

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	16.2094	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.9506	-0.20%	16.221	-9.82%	0.1040	✓	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.7083	-0.22%	17.9865	+1.35%	0.0006	✓	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5924	-0.25%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0064	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.6288	-0.27%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0028	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.7648	-0.34%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0137	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.6136	-0.40%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0137	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.646	-0.56%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0111	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.4785	-1.42%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0073	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.632	-1.33%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0281	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.7672	-1.04%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0139	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	18.0492	-0.32%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0242	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	18.0498	-0.37%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0083	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.8164	-0.39%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0111	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7841	-0.48%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0071	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	18.0082	-0.61%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0170	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.9066	-1.15%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0491	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.9975	-1.03%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0100	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.4276	-0.39%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0538	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.2418	-0.43%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0150	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.2241	-0.46%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0013	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.3174	-0.50%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0054	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.2273	-0.58%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0117	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.627	-0.71%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0389	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	18.2227	-1.26%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0260	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	17.0386	-0.33%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.0979	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.5406	-0.30%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0322	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.8203	-0.32%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0196	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	17.0794	-0.33%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0068	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.6171	-0.31%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0306	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.6551	-0.29%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0363	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.2352	-0.27%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0363	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.9543	-0.23%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0166	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.4213	-0.13%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1119	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	19.1794	-0.40%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3628	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	19.1299	-0.47%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0869	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	19.1347	-0.55%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0001	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	19.1031	-0.66%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0047	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	19.1044	-0.78%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0697	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	19.0589	-1.00%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0223	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	19.0116	-1.27%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0238	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	18.2331	-1.54%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0532	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	18.0395	-2.03%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0097	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	17.7989	-3.47%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.0811	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	18.1399	-2.02%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0208	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.4797	-0.82%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.6993	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.4768	-1.32%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.0658	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	18.0864	-1.59%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6589	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.8799	-3.45%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5475	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.795	-5.50%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.1438	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.716	-7.63%	4.016	-0.17%	0.1465	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.6031	-10.37%	4.023	+0.07%	0.1156	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.7504	-5.79%	4.02	-34.14%	0.2930	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.6475	-0.33%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9531	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.9955	-0.36%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0320	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	41.0305	-0.48%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0231	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.5193	-0.45%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0482	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.3127	-0.68%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3832	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	40.3283	-0.84%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3892	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.784	-0.24%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0533	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	40.4297	-0.32%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0551	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	51.9873	-0.84%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2569	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.5794	-0.18%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5554	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.6531	-0.37%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0709	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.5394	-0.56%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0447	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	30.2677	-0.92%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0544	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	30.095	-1.68%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0118	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	30.3028	-0.81%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0157	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	30.2771	-0.97%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0119	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	30.016	-2.03%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0177	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.37	-15.38%	30.638	+493.30%	1.9546	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.3492	-1.13%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7713	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	30.1371	-1.95%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0202	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.2624	-2.09%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0215	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	30.0503	-2.42%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0427	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	30.2189	-2.11%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0199	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.546	-1.13%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0103	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.