MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s5

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

69.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0818

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0163

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.041932	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042419	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.04308	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042903	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044272	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045708	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044454	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044659	-2.30%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0618	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043448	-2.17%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0010	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042807	-1.95%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0268	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045627	-2.36%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0087	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042257	-1.80%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.0970	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040824	-1.56%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1564	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040397	-1.51%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1109	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043456	-2.00%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0808	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.04519	-2.27%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0247	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048624	-2.83%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0376	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.04782	-2.72%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0255	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048528	-2.90%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0880	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045087	-2.66%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0490	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048335	-3.59%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1087	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.04085	-2.20%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0869	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041047	-2.22%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0865	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041251	-2.26%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1543	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042882	-2.32%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.1021	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043733	-2.45%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1278	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045303	-2.63%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0151	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043844	-2.37%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1261	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042674	-2.19%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0071	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045576	-2.08%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0377	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044459	-1.80%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0041	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.041838	-2.68%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0144	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041292	-2.58%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0221	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039857	-2.50%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0950	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034584	-2.00%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1209	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.033893	-1.82%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.1107	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033499	-1.70%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1611	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035046	-1.86%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1265	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.034781	-1.94%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1412	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036304	-2.08%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0915	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.036875	-1.99%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0448	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036179	-1.86%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0215	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038006	-1.65%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0589	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041333	-1.93%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1419	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.039597	-1.43%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.0868	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039216	-0.92%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0349	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.039787	-0.90%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0233	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038383	-0.54%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0267	✗	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040076	+0.01%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0055	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036477	-0.58%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0391	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037287	-0.41%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.1024	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037966	+0.07%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0468	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036718	+0.06%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0283	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038504	+0.24%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0143	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037522	+0.30%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0037	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039524	+1.01%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0030	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039837	+0.83%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0520	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039195	+0.76%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0257	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040562	+0.92%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0595	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042924	+0.15%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1556	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040274	+0.09%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0688	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042678	+0.47%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1231	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.036905	-2.39%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0682	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.033917	-2.79%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0226	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031146	-2.82%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0373	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031285	-2.84%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0213	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030767	-2.48%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0452	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030547	-2.19%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0041	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030524	-2.01%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0357	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031938	-2.20%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0233	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032517	-2.12%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0513	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032493	-1.95%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0383	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035383	-2.79%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1063	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.034967	-2.81%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0584	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035076	-3.01%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0743	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034271	-2.86%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0533	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034528	-2.87%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0371	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.034991	-2.99%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0255	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034807	-2.88%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0375	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.0356	-2.97%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0122	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035497	-2.78%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0166	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035573	-2.54%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0318	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035679	-2.36%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0576	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.03612	-2.38%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0058	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035726	-1.84%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0055	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038752	-2.07%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0825	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039032	-1.73%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0570	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042218	-2.39%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1068	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041654	-2.05%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.0998	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042595	-2.06%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1268	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042355	-1.88%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1283	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.04288	-1.85%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1178	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042601	-1.75%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0174	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042106	-1.57%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0259	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043344	-1.60%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0162	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043801	-1.53%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0188	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042794	-1.17%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0121	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045541	-1.21%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0810	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047447	-1.20%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1113	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048468	-1.17%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1434	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046809	-0.95%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1544	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045651	-0.96%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0570	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046148	-1.14%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0599	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046803	-1.32%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0725	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047266	-1.45%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0387	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046629	-1.48%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0276	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049469	-1.69%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0463	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048562	-1.72%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0131	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.05037	-1.85%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.0923	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051417	-1.91%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1127	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050085	-1.85%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.0919	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048683	-1.79%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0545	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044491	-1.44%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0110	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044681	-1.21%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0093	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047417	-1.40%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0443	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045187	-1.10%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0375	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046657	-1.26%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0476	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046147	-1.21%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0456	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.045962	-1.18%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0364	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.049822	-1.71%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0768	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054245	-2.28%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.0965	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054406	-2.54%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0450	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.054921	-2.76%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1048	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053152	-2.83%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0255	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055293	-3.06%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.0918	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060022	-3.46%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1812	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.055332	-3.11%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0005	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.055688	-3.13%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0713	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058271	-3.33%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0144	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.06025	-4.17%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0022	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.059764	-4.70%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.0833	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.045736	-1.96%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2222	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045358	-1.59%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3297	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042876	+0.84%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2302	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.046999	-0.45%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1279	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049516	-1.17%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1379	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048466	-0.03%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2163	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045852	+2.81%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2580	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.047433	+2.87%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0555	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.051081	+1.01%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.0994	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054521	+0.43%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2112	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054666	+0.19%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0610	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.058568	-0.95%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0082	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060283	-1.13%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0152	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062376	-1.08%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0370	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061299	-0.53%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1007	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063118	-0.44%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0800	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067043	-0.72%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0622	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067229	-0.70%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0799	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.072949	-1.31%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1301	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.076225	-1.49%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1781	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.078926	-1.53%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1861	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.079455	-1.08%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2262	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.085636	-1.57%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2472	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.081048	-0.68%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1408	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080863	-0.32%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1653	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085541	-0.53%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1500	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089289	-0.72%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1376	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.09192	-0.87%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1182	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.098807	-1.45%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1603	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.103436	-1.84%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1285	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.10183	-1.49%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1983	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.107727	-1.86%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2364	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.115911	-2.24%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2382	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.123708	-2.53%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2587	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.12241	-2.47%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2455	✓	1.00