MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s5

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

136

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

75.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1698

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0517

actual -0.1624

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.040169	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.040762	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.041351	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.041211	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.042406	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.043753	-6.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.042577	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.042663	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.041589	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.040897	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.043757	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.040378	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.038986	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.038525	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.041527	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.043325	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.046631	-6.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.045992	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.046691	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.043524	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.046572	-7.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.0392	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.039441	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.03966	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.041306	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.04215	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.043688	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.042439	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.04145	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.044515	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.043644	-3.60%	0.04289	-5.27%	0.0526	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.040445	-5.92%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0355	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.040002	-5.62%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0848	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.038623	-5.52%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.1053	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.033336	-5.54%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.2169	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.032704	-5.26%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2653	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.032316	-5.18%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2360	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.03393	-4.98%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2442	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.033589	-5.30%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1783	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.035079	-5.38%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1476	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.035682	-5.17%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1687	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.034994	-5.07%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0982	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.036939	-4.41%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0443	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.040077	-4.91%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0325	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.038523	-4.10%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0679	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.038413	-2.95%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0943	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.038992	-2.88%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1460	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.037773	-2.12%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1415	✗	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.039791	-0.70%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1657	✗	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.03563	-2.89%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.1303	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.036521	-2.46%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1797	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037459	-1.27%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0210	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036162	-1.45%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0468	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038079	-0.86%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0149	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037182	-0.61%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0550	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039732	+1.54%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0520	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040042	+1.35%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0645	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039496	+1.53%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0287	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.041161	+2.42%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0322	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.043271	+0.96%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.0744	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040702	+1.15%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0579	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.043698	+2.87%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0659	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.036225	-4.19%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0144	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.032945	-5.58%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0097	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030021	-6.33%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0603	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.030105	-6.51%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.0859	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.029494	-6.52%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1041	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.029289	-6.22%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.0928	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029279	-6.01%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0764	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.030586	-6.34%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.0769	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.031113	-6.34%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.0798	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.031101	-6.15%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.0848	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.033631	-7.61%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1394	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.033327	-7.37%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0336	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.033416	-7.60%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.0955	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.032731	-7.22%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1106	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.032926	-7.38%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1095	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.033336	-7.58%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1521	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.033145	-7.52%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1497	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.033816	-7.83%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2009	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.033735	-7.60%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.1798	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.033791	-7.42%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2069	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.03392	-7.17%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2255	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.034428	-6.95%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1627	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.034094	-6.32%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1772	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.036866	-6.83%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2552	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.03716	-6.44%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2350	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.040125	-7.22%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.2781	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.039675	-6.70%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2626	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.040598	-6.65%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2048	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.040568	-6.02%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2384	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.041236	-5.62%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2033	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.041098	-5.22%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2116	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.040611	-5.07%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2355	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.041788	-5.14%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2653	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.042309	-4.88%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2662	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.041362	-4.48%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2479	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.044056	-4.43%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3277	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.046054	-4.10%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3534	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.047147	-3.86%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3337	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.045356	-4.03%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3368	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.044402	-3.67%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.2878	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.044964	-3.68%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2145	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.045696	-3.66%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2553	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.04615	-3.77%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.2835	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.045497	-3.87%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3154	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.048359	-3.90%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3292	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.047528	-3.81%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.2896	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.049304	-3.93%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3297	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.050334	-3.98%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3251	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.049009	-3.96%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3173	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.047557	-4.06%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.2946	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.043272	-4.14%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2328	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.043343	-4.17%	0.037	-18.20%	0.2982	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.046153	-4.03%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3207	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.043873	-3.98%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.1986	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.04535	-4.02%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2143	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.044828	-4.03%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1500	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.044605	-4.10%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1465	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.048414	-4.49%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.1716	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.052642	-5.17%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2457	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.052703	-5.59%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2298	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.053081	-6.02%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.2676	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.051326	-6.17%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2025	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.053295	-6.57%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2162	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.057693	-7.20%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3029	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.05334	-6.60%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.1950	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.053757	-6.49%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1078	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.056347	-6.52%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1216	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.058245	-7.36%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1541	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.057483	-8.34%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1396	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.044227	-5.19%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0371	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.043745	-5.09%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0605	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.041142	-3.24%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0916	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.044955	-4.78%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0363	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.04727	-5.65%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0169	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.046107	-4.89%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0871	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.043665	-2.10%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0749	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.045143	-2.10%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0888	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.048406	-4.28%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0899	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.051538	-5.07%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0118	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.05167	-5.30%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0477	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.055338	-6.41%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0281	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.056951	-6.59%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1243	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.058858	-6.66%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1140	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.05785	-6.13%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0260	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.059519	-6.12%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0267	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.063132	-6.51%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0873	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.06336	-6.41%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0701	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.068643	-7.13%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0668	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.071599	-7.47%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0485	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.074037	-7.63%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.1012	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.07449	-7.26%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.1003	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.080246	-7.76%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1947	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.076069	-6.78%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0886	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.075911	-6.42%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.080317	-6.61%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1638	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.083916	-6.70%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.2130	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.08658	-6.63%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.1978	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.093349	-6.89%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2103	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.098269	-6.75%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2193	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.09657	-6.58%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.5061	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.102632	-6.50%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5645	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.110888	-6.48%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6733	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.118561	-6.59%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6337	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.117082	-6.72%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6028	✓	1.00